Stay BUY, new MYR0.61 TP from MYR0.62, 15% upside plus 4% FY19F yield. Our TP reflects 13x P/E on FY19F EPS of 4.7 sen – as we imputed the faster-than-expected ESOS exercise, which lapses in November. Luxchem’s 1H19 core earnings are in line, at 47% of our full-year forecasts. This was from a combination of better margins, favourable FX and the absence of ESOS expenses in 2Q. Management declared an interim tier-1 dividend of 1 sen.
A flat 1H. 1H19 revenue dipped 1% YoY to MYR391m on lower contributions from manufacturing (-13% YoY at MYR65m), while the trading segment grew marginally by 1% (MYR326m). PATAMI improved by 1% to MYR19.5m, on a better blended PBT margin of 6.7% in 1H19 vs 6.5% in 1H18. The higher overall PBT margin was due to the significant improvement in the manufacturing segment, which registered a 349bps PBT margin improvement to 20%. This helped to offset the 20bps drop in its trading margin (1H19: 4%). Luxchem’s domestic Malaysian operation saw a 5% decline in revenue to MYR273m, primarily due to the softer trading segment’s performance, while its Indonesian business recorded a 22% improvement in turnover to MYR59m – which could have been better if not for seasonal factors in 2Q19 ie Aidil Fitri festive season.
QoQ, revenue declined by 7% to MYR188m due to the weaker trading segment (MYR155m in 2Q19 vs MYR171m 1Q19) which offset the manufacturing division’s improvement (MYR34m in 2Q19 vs MYR32m in 1Q19). As stated in our 2 May report titled Results In Line, a Catch-Up Play; Retain BUY, its Indonesian operation was also affected by the Aidil Fitri festive season. However, PATAMI improved 3% to MYR9.9m due to favourable forex movements, the absence of ESOS expenses (MYR0.1m in 1Q19) as well as lower administration-related outlays.
We maintain our forecasts as we expect 2H operations to normalise from the Aidil Fitri season in 2Q.
We maintain our BUY call, but cut our TP to MYR0.61 (13x P/E on FY19 EPS of 4.7 sen) as we factored in the faster-than-expected exercise of its ESOS, which expires in November. The stock has been trading flat YTD and revisiting its Dec 2018’s low, underperforming the FBMSC (+21%). Luxchem is trading at 11x P/E of FY19 EPS and with a 4% yield – which we deem as slightly cheap. It is expected to maintain its net cash position – further supported by positive cash flow generation.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....