星洲日報／投資致富‧企業故事
6月全面封锁 下行风险加剧
（吉隆坡11日讯）穆迪分析（Moody's Analytics）表示，由于大马政府最近实施更严格的管制措施和产能限制，将无可避免地削弱产出，工业生产指数接下来的增长将放缓。
穆迪表示，4月IPI大幅波动主要是由于去年同期的低基数效应（-32.10%），实际上按月下跌4.5%。
所有3个类别按月产出都下降，其中采矿业降幅最大。此结果与4月制造产品出口值下降3亿令吉的走势相符。
“虽然至今为止大马贸易和工业生产的表现都超越预期，但我们需要密切关注不确定性和下行风险加剧，可能破坏大马复苏步伐。”
兴业研究表示，4月的强劲IPI预料持续至5月，因为基数效应将消散。去年4月和5月的产量明显受干扰，5月之后便恢复正常。
“由于MCO3.0的严格管制，6月IPI将疲软，但冲击比去年的MCO1.0温和。”
https://www.sinchew.com.my/content/content_2492949.html
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