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Market Outlook, Stay With Cash.
DJI
相对而言，S&P500 连要站上回补缺口之上都失败，由此可见S&500 比DJI 的走势还弱。所以，我对美国指数依然维持不乐观的看法。
S&P500
KOSPI
KOSPI，亚洲其中之一最大的消费电子产品和记忆体出产国 - 韩国主要指数也正在盘头，目前来看就是否能守在颈线之上或支撑 2362。基本上，我认为KOSPI 这样的走势应该反应了投资市场对消费电子产品的未来并不乐观，也代表了过去几年靠消费电子产品推动的经济而走到了瓶颈。
NIKKEI
一个比美国还放肆印钞的国家- 日本，NIKKEI 很早已经出现了一个小假突破，而目前只是看能不能重新站上23079，如果一旦跌破支撑，一个更大的假突破就会出现，届时NIKKEI 走势会更危险。
HSI
身为亚洲金融中心的香港，HSI 目前的形态是非常的弱，连续出现了多次的假突破，HSI 这样的虚弱表现，本质上应该是出现了一些问题，而如今支撑在30000 点，一旦跌破往下就一大波段的修正。
KLCI
KLCI 在4月初一天大跌之后，连续10 几天的上涨终于来到了之前的波段目标1890，这样的走势让我见识到主力撑盘的能力；可是，这是不是说KLCI 由空转多？我认为还是言之过早，因为一旦到达了目标后都会有一段修正整理，所以目前对于KLCI 我是看为保守，虽然相对美国指数，KLCI 表现得比较强，但这应该是不是有大选因素在内，所以操作上我宁可观望，等待修正整理的结果，届时才做判断是否要进场布局。
基本上，其他的各国主要指数也同样在高档的位置，也出现一样的现象，这些种种在我看来都是转空的迹象，而过去各个主要国家已经由宽松变紧缩，利率也已经开始逐步上升，再也没有更多的资本来推高股市；所以，在这个时候我宁愿错过也不要作错。
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3 people like this. Showing 10 of 10 comments
@Patron, nice. just remember to cut lose if anything happen, if tomorrow go down further then you can enjoy.
2018-04-23 23:32
Today KLCI touch the neckline, support at 1863. So it probably have rebound, so the support for short is at 1877.
2018-04-25 04:21
i added more shorts yesterday morning. my personal support level is at 1825-1830ish.
2018-04-25 09:24
@Patron, Maybe have to careful when near 1845 for short, cause i just worry there is a rebound happen.
2018-04-26 01:20
boys and girls , thats why i say again and again Jack Kong is one of the best TA out there. CI touched 1846 and bounced off. ( i myself did not take 6 digits profit at that level and yesterday I covered my positions after bursa raised its FKLI margins with much lesser profits )
2018-04-28 09:46
I'm 70-80& on cash, I think any buying will have to wait after election, not sure what is going to happen.
2018-04-28 10:06
hollandKing , now I am 100% on cash. I will take a short break. decides again after 5/9.
2018-04-28 10:17
boys and girls , analysis (direction) is only 30% of the game. execution is 70%.
you have to know when to make concentrated bet , stay with the trend, cut losses quick , let profits run and etc.
Tan End is doing the exact opposite - diversify into 100 downtrending stocks , never cut loss , take profit when general market sentiment starts to turn bullish.
2018-04-28 10:22
@Patron, Totally agree! Execution is another part of the investment. By the way, Tan End is a person?
2018-05-04 00:38
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Ride The Bull Short The Bear
CS Tan
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Patron
个人上个星期在新高点放空马股指数。
2018-04-23 10:48