THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
THE SHRINKING WORLD OF LIQUIDITY & ASSETS DEFLATION WORLDWIDE, Calvin Tan Research
calvintaneng
Publish date: Sat, 15 Dec 2018, 04:34 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,877
Hi Guys,
I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
Dear Friends of i3 Forum,
After The Rise of Donald Trump the US has raised trade barriers, immigration barriers & the strength of the US Dollar as a "safe" haven.
It was QE1, QE2 & QE3 that pumped cheap money into the World system. As a result of these Almost "Free Printed Monies" Funds from USA has gone round the earth inflating all Assets including Shares, Bonds, Real Estates, Gold, Collectibles & art pieces.
Now that FED is calling off QE and raising Interest rates there is a mass withdrawal of liquidity back to the USA - thus causing a worldwide deflation of assets including shares,bonds and real estate prices of practically all countries without exception.
Here in Malaysia the PH Govt is facing Cash constrain due to the perceived Rm1 Trillion Debt. Construction of ECER, HSR have been cancelled or postponed. Contracts awarded are called back or scale down - leading to very weak share prices for construction companies & construction material companies are even hit harder
Like a Dry Desert Land The POOL OF LIQUIDITY IS SHRINKING ^ SHRINKING DAILY LEADING TO LOWER AND LOWER SHARE PRICES FOR MANY COUNTERS
THE HARDEST HIT WILL BE THOSE THAT OVER EXPANDED, OVER BORROWED & OVER LEVERAGED - ESPECIALLY BY MARGINS
AND THE SAFEST ARE THOSE COMPANIES THAT HAVE HIGH CASH OR HIGH NET ASSET HOLDINGS THAT ARE LIQUID
BETTER STILL IF THEY GIVE OUT GOOD DIVIDENDS!
See the Example of An Oasis in A Desert
And see where there is no liquid (liquidity)
SO IT IS OF UTMOST IMPORTANCE THAT YOU SHOULD AVOID BUYING INTO OVER LEVERAGED & OVER EXTENDED COMPANIES IN TIMES LIKE THESE
COMPANIES IN DEBT DISTRESS WILL FIND IT HARDER TO BORROW AS BANKS TOO WILL BE STRINGENT
THE LAST RESORT WILL BE ASSETS DISPOSAL (IF ANY) OR CASH CALL BY RIGHTS ISSUE
THE BEST IS TO GO DEFENSIVE
THE POOLS OF WATER LIKE OASIS IN A DESERT THESE CASH RICH COMPANIES WILL SURVIVE & THRIVE
WARM REGARDS
Calvin Tan
Jurong, Singapore
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Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 50 of 53 comments
Posted by TheContrarian > Dec 15, 2018 04:56 PM | Report Abuse
Buy Dutaland?
I just bought at 45 sen
SO HAPPY!!!
2018-12-15 17:02
Posted by CharlesT > Dec 15, 2018 04:59 PM | Report Abuse
Sounds logical this article
Yes. Next year if Donald didn't sort out with China
Recession might come for all
If trade war averted then Ok
2018-12-15 17:03
Posted by Alex™ > Dec 15, 2018 05:00 PM | Report Abuse
Gooding Calvin bro... Buy buy buy~
Alex™
11102 posts
Posted by Alex™ > Dec 15, 2018 05:01 PM | Report Abuse
Calvin bro... My Knm game ball d.. Why I so noob?
Posted by Alex™ > Dec 15, 2018 05:02 PM | Report Abuse
My ksl also game ball
KNM Speculative. Better avoid
Ksl is so so only as House loan now very stringent
Can sell but hard to get Bank loans
2018-12-15 17:05
To add further on Calvin's criteria:
1) High net cash - 30-40% of market capitalisation
2) Strong liquid assets
3) Strong balance sheets - massive discount to book value
4) Strong FCF generation - FCF yield above 4%, higher than risk free yield
5) High dividend yield - strong FCF will support its dividend payment
6) Reasonable valuation with good earnings prospect
7) Undervalued relative to its earning power
8) Good management
Generally, reshuffling portfolio towards increased defensiveness. I have bought the following stocks
1) Hong Leong Industries
2) Oriental
3) Focus Lumber
4) Favelle Favco
2018-12-15 17:31
Rock solid and Cash rich are these
1.Eksons
2. TA ENTERPRIZE
3. DUTALAND
4. ECS ICT
5. CSCSTEEL
2018-12-15 18:40
Tan End how about bonia , Wtk , Mui , Bjcorp those you hardsell a lot last time
2018-12-15 21:25
No answer meaning already cut loss? Why you miss out MRCB, CBIP, MP Corp and many more?
FamousAmos Tan End how about bonia , Wtk , Mui , Bjcorp those you hardsell a lot last time
15/12/2018 21:25
2018-12-15 21:36
He will tell you how much he made at xyz again and not going to tell you how much he lost at abc
2018-12-15 22:01
Hahaha
MUI BHD IS GREAT
SO IS BJ CORP
BONIA NOW UNDERVALUE
SO IS CBIP, KWANTAS, TDM AND JTIASA AND WTK
I STILL HOLDING MP CORP AS WELL AS GSB AND OPCOM
MRCB IS ALSO UNDERVALUE
SO I AM GETTING READY TO BUY MORE ON FURTHER WEAKNESS
NOW Don't FORGET THESE ONES
DUTALAND GOT 5 SEN DIVVY COMING
TA VERY CHEAP
EKSONS SELLING BELOW NET CASH
ECS ALSO GIVE GOOD DIVIDEND AS WELL AS CSCSTEEL
SO MANY GOOD DEFENSIVE STOCKS TO BUY
HOHOHO!!!
2018-12-15 22:21
And don't leave out these Great chun chun calls
Padini at Rm1. 60
Super Enterprize at rm1. 28. Taken private at rm3. 80 for 200% upside
Pohuat at 40 sen after split
Super max at rm1. 60
Wangzng at 75 sen
Weida at rm1. 35
Tmakmur at rm1. 38
TheStore at rm2. 50
Kulim also at rm2. 50
Opcom at 35 sen. Went double limit up
GSB at 9 sen. Told all to sell at 20 sen
Hohoho
AND many many more....
Good night
2018-12-15 22:30
Extra extra
Chun chun buy call for Drb hicom at 92 sen
Drb up 200% to over RM2. 70
Hohoho!!!
Also Jaks at 40 sen. Told all to sell Jaks above RM1. 00
2018-12-15 22:32
Also Kpscb?
AND Cari in or currymee which belated Uncle Koon now only wake up to chase?
Wahaha!
And Hohoho!!!
2018-12-15 22:34
Dear Tan Eng
Total Debt to Enterprise Value
BJCORP 0.66
JTIASA 0.61
BONIA 0.28
eh ...
2018-12-16 01:35
Tan End christian is like the Pakatan government. He the almighty is always right.
2018-12-16 09:30
Right or wrong?
Bring out your reasons substantiated by facts and figures.
Every prudent person deals with knowledge
Since today is the LORD'S DAY
Time to visit www.chick.com
2018-12-16 09:40
The Strongman aka Calvintaneng has defamed the Lord Our Gord by choosing a Holy Day being a Sunday to twist and turn
Matthew 25:14–30
The Strongman is Telling you to choose the Third Servant who hid his money. Companies with lots of cash had hidden their talents.
It is by this small twisting of Biblical facts that the Strongman's objectives of defaming the Bible and promoting disobedience to the Lord your God is done.
Obey God and say Good Bye to the Strongman.
Turn and do not look back otherwise you will be turned to salt.
2018-12-16 09:55
i3lurker?
Let Calvin expose his sinister design
See the definition of Lurker
"LURK"
verb (used without object)
to lie or wait in concealment, as a person in ambush; remain in or around a place secretly or furtively.
to go furtively; slink; steal.
to exist unperceived or unsuspected.
A lurker is one who lie or wait in ambush
Intention is to "steal" something or catch unsuspecting prey
and try to "conceal his evil intention"
In the Bible he is the Satan
Also lurk like a Lion
See
English Standard Version
Be sober-minded; be watchful. Your adversary the devil prowls around like a roaring lion, seeking someone to devour.
So i3lurker the satan in i3 forum prowls around to catch some sorchai
ALL MUST TAKE HEED!!!
2018-12-16 10:23
the Word is written
Matthew 25:14–30
Obey God and turn away from the Strongman
the Word defines the Strongman as Satan himself.
if you are ever unsure of anything or any aspect of your investment, refer to the Bible
Invest according the Word.
and the Word says ====> Matthew 25:14–30
Obey God and whether you are prosperous or not also Give Thanks To The Lord Your God.
Titus 3:2
to malign no one, to be peaceable, gentle, showing every consideration for all men.
The Strongman promotes slander by showing it by example himself.
REPEAT ====> Invest according the Word. Matthew 25:14–30
and should you not be prosperous, also Give Thanks to the Lord Your God.
AMEN
2018-12-16 10:45
Competition?
See these stocks
Opcom
Dutaland
Bj Corp
Pba
Bpuri
Just calculate from Jan 1st 2018 till December 2018 and see how these 5 stocks perform for the year although they are not in year 2018 stock challenge
Value stocks came out bottom for year 2017
For year 2018 go study these value stocks. Will they be bottom again or not?
2018-12-16 11:40
How Long u have been holding ? How much is ur cost ? How much u bought ? Of coz you won’t tell us la! Just recommend 100 over stocks and hold for 10 years with 10 lots each. Show the winning stocks and ignore the losing stocks. What a prick. Go back to your country.
2018-12-16 11:45
Then you go and study lor
Read through Calvin's more than 20,000 posts and check them out one by one hor
So easy for everyone who wants the truth
Hohoho
2018-12-16 11:49
Good evening all
THE direction of the market now is uncertain
1. If Donald Trump and China could avert trade war then for year 2019 market should see a rebound
2. If trade negotiation failed then we might see a recession in 2019
So please invest very defensively and avoid greed.
2018-12-16 19:59
Good morning
One of very cash rich plus highest dividend share is Dutaland now
Dutaland is 45 sen
It has more than 70 sen net cash. Its Nav is now over RM1. 50
Above all Dutaland will be giving out a nice special 5 sen dividend in 6 months time
That means 11% in 6 months or annualised is a very nice 22%
While so many counters are faced with financial constraint and asking for cash by RI Dutaland is giving out cash instead
2018-12-17 08:39
What if the recession is inflationary instead of deflationary ;)
That would be an interesting scenario.
2018-12-17 08:44
Dutaland- con-artist stock/game ,better stay away far far away.data /info could be all fake
2018-12-17 15:48
fake your your own conspiracy teory? better than u buy presbhd,sapnrg or even VS.....butaland is just a slow moving tortoise and not so risky
2018-12-17 16:02
vs industries can look at if price is rite, the rest, forget it.
Posted by apolloang > Dec 17, 2018 04:02 PM | Report Abuse
fake your your own conspiracy teory? better than u buy presbhd,sapnrg or even VS.....butaland is just a slow moving tortoise and not so risky
2018-12-17 23:05
in 1997-1998 many counters kena PN 17,those were high flyers,newly listed 2nd board stocks with no experience,no reserves,empty shelf companies and hefty losses/heavy debts companies too. so beware this kinda stocks,mostly masdaq stocks.so if u holding companies that not in that categories mean likely u are safe.even the price down u also can sleep well or can even buy more and more.
2018-12-17 23:20
my favorite r uem and renong.
many retailers burnt badly.
lol..............
Posted by apolloang > Dec 17, 2018 11:20 PM | Report Abuse
in 1997-1998 many counters kena PN 17,those were high flyers,newly listed 2nd board stocks with no experience,no reserves,empty shelf companies and hefty losses/heavy debts companies too. so beware this kinda stocks,mostly masdaq stocks.so if u holding companies that not in that categories mean likely u are safe.even the price down u also can sleep well or can even buy more and more.
2018-12-17 23:22
I make from uem,renong missed out on the 4 for 1 rights isuue,that day should also make a lot from it
2018-12-17 23:28
many made on uem and renong pre-1997. those that bot after really burnt until char.
thats why i only buy large on safe stocks vital to the economy in any downturn.
lol......
Posted by apolloang > Dec 17, 2018 11:28 PM | Report Abuse
I make from uem,renong missed out on the 4 for 1 rights isuue,that day should also make a lot from it
2018-12-17 23:36
penny stocks also can make a lot just don't pick the bad apples,avoid big losses and heavy debt companies.in 1998 I bought MCL at 50-60cts and sold at 3.00-5.00.MCL now still around as jerasia
2018-12-17 23:53
So Calvin called to buy Gsb at 9 sen to 11 sen
Calvin called for a strong sell on Gsb at 22 sen
Stubborn stiff necked Demusangking went against my advise and bought Gsb at 22 sen. He suffers 35% or more losses in just weeks
Never listen so stubborn
2018-12-18 08:53
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Alex™
Calvin bro... My Knm game ball d.. Why I so noob?
2018-12-15 17:01