THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

COMING WORLDWIDE FAMINE CAUSED BY EL NINO/ LA NINA WILL PROPEL CPO PRICES OVER RM6,000 A TON

calvintaneng
Publish date: Sat, 23 Apr 2016, 11:30 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,793
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

DIFFICULT TIMES AHEAD

Charted: The harsh impact of El Niño on East and southern Africa’s food supply

 Quartz Africa

For farmers in southern and East Africa, April, the start of the harvest season, will have seen them confront a difficult reality—the lowest cereal production levels in years. This is a result of the most extreme El Niño impact in 75 years as the weather phenomenon, the result of climate cycles in the Pacific Ocean has resulted in droughts across most of the region.

 

 

The effect on agriculture and the drop in cereal production levels is crucial as locally harvested grains constitute a major part of food supply in the regions. Malawi, with 2.8 million people potentially at risk of hunger, has declared a food emergency. Similarly, Zimbabwe has announced it will spend $200 million on food imports to assuage the dip in local grain production.

 

 

Ethiopia, where output of cereal has dropped by as much 75%, is now desperately seeking donor aid to make up the shortfall to mitigate the threat of famine for millions in Africa’s second most populous country.

 

 

To make up for the shortfall, Ethiopia projects that its emergency aid need is around $1.4 billion. But Ethiopia is not alone as other affected countries now desperately seek donor aid to fund food imports.

 

 

While the effects of El Niño have had dire effects on jobs and income for farmers in East and southern Africa, another offshoot of the shortages has been a spike in grain prices. Owing to scarcity, corn prices have doubled since last year in some parts of South Africa.

 

 

Regionally, the effect of El Nino has most affected East and southern Africa adversely. In southern Africa, cereal production levels are projected to fall to the lowest levels in four years (pdf).

 

 

The sudden scramble for aid and cash for food imports by affected nations is perhaps the latest testament to a general lack of planning and proactive thinking in African leadership. As Quartz reported last month, signs of a possible escalation to high levels of hunger have been“coming for at least six months.”

What has CPO Prices got to do with Famine?

As You Know We Get Our Vegetable Oils from Oil Palm, Canola , Sun Flower Seed, Ground Nut, Soy, Maize & Other Oil Seed Plants.

And when famine strikes! There will be Great Shortage of Cereals on planet earth - thus leading to less and less Soybean, Maize or Ground nuts being processed into Vege Oils. This will result in less competion from other Oils like Corn, Soy or Peanut Oil.

And with competing Vege Oils being removed CPO Prices MUST THEN SKYROCKET IN PRICES TO RM6,000 A TONNE!

This is really simple logic

SO BUYING ALL OIL PALM COUNTERS NOW IS YOUR BEST INVESTMENT FOCUS.

Regards,

Calvin,

Republic of Singapore

 

 

 

 

 

More articles on THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 25 of 25 comments

calvintaneng

Hi Guys,

The sudden clamp down on illegal steel imports from China plus China reigning in unproductive steel mills have resulted in a shortage - thus leading into a spike of price increase in long steel bars.

Those who bought Long Steel Bar counters at dirt cheap unwanted prices have suddenly made a huge windfall.

You missed the Steel Counters Price Surge? Never mind.

There is a More Powerful & Gradual Price Surge for

ALL OIL PALM COUNTERS DUE TO EL NINO & LA NINA

Get on Board now while they are still SO CHEAP!

THE INVESTMENT GOING INTO 2016, 2017 & 2018

WILL BE OIL PALM COUNTERS!

2016-04-23 11:53

klee

If you are so sure abt cpo trend,go long the cpo futures and make millions.Why buy palm oil counters?Will they rise in tandem with cpo prices?
That is why you are only a half baked sifu wannabe.

2016-04-23 11:58

timing

which oil palm counter u recommend?

2016-04-23 12:39

calvintaneng

I bought Both Oil Palm Counters & Also CPO Futures!

I bought lots of Oil Palm Counters

But I think these will have more potential to rise by percentage

1) Dutaland.
Insider bought 16 million shares at 47 cents lately. After that they announce land disposals. Selling at Huge Discount to NTA.

2) CBIP & CBIP Warrants
A champion in Modipalm

3) MHC Plant & MHC warrant
Very deeply undervalue lands. Own lands in Damansara. Book Value less than Rm1.00 psf. Amazing value!

4) BPlant (Very high dividend)

5) ThPlant (Well supported by EPF. Dr Neoh also in Top 25 Major shareholders)

6) WTK & JTiasa (WTK still lacks behind JTiasa) With Japan Earthquake reconstruction WTK should rise nearer to JTiasa price

7) KWANTAS (Selling at Huge Discount to NTA)

8) Others are RSawit, Pinepac, Mkh, Cepat and all others.

2016-04-23 12:56

FayeTan

U are right on the lower competition from soybean oil. But not from corn oil and peanut oil. These are too small oil to compete with palm oil in terms of volume.

2016-04-23 13:11

chyokh

Your lack of empathy for your fellow human beings is simply ASTOUNDING. You seem to be celebrating when the world is starving just so you can make some money. Pls take this rubbish elsewhere. Do not contaminate i3.

2016-04-23 13:40

chyokh

I have never heard of anyone praying so hard for famine to strike.

2016-04-23 13:48

teareader

Money is the root of all evils.

2016-04-23 15:26

donfollowblindly

Agree. El-Nino will cause CPO output to drop so not all planters will benefit.

Posted by klee > Apr 23, 2016 11:58 AM | Report Abuse
If you are so sure abt cpo trend,go long the cpo futures and make millions.Why buy palm oil counters?Will they rise in tandem with cpo prices?
That is why you are only a half baked sifu wannabe.

2016-04-23 15:29

oregami

Ask planters for their opinions.

2016-04-23 16:47

shortinvestor77

Yesterday, CPO dropped. Calvin did not show it.

FCPO / Jul 20162689.00 (-46.00)Expand
Futures/Months Last Change Vol
FCPO/Jul 2016 2689.00 -46.00 20,384
FCPO/Aug 2016 2670.00 -45.00 5,629

2016-04-23 16:50

oregami

Cop 6000/ton. It will only happened if all palm trees in Indonesia wipe out by outbreak.

2016-04-23 16:52

rockthefellow

why u guys bully calvin? calvin is a nice man. face thicker and harder than public toilet bowl. u guys got face thicker than calvin meh!

2016-04-23 16:58

oregami

Saying cpo will hit 6000 is like saying crude oil will hit usd180.

2016-04-23 17:04

rockthefellow

calvin is almighty. calvin prediction never masuk jamban busuk because calvin at the bottom of sewage deep pit. now u know!

2016-04-23 17:16

oregami

If cpo will hit 6000 fast2 go buy an oil palm estate. I know many ppl wan2 sell but can't get buyer. I can b your broker.

2016-04-23 17:26

calvintaneng

FayeTan U are right on the lower competition from soybean oil. But not from corn oil and peanut oil. These are too small oil to compete with palm oil in terms of volume.
23/04/2016 13:11

Yes, CPO main competitor is from Soy Oil. However, the entire ocean is made up from each drop of water.

So the depletion of rice, maize, soy, wheat, barley and all other food crops will also cause all food prices to go up due to a synchronized shortfall.

As a result CPO prices will go up as demand will continue to exceed supply.

2016-04-23 17:34

calvintaneng

shortinvestor77 Yesterday, CPO dropped. Calvin did not show it.

FCPO / Jul 20162689.00 (-46.00)Expand
Futures/Months Last Change Vol
FCPO/Jul 2016 2689.00 -46.00 20,384
FCPO/Aug 2016 2670.00 -45.00 5,629
23/04/2016 16:50

Yes! You are observant! I did not post as I am still buying more on weakness.

i3 Forum is a place to observe, learn, interact & improve.

I don't like to go into fruitless debate or those who impute motives.

So please keep it cordial.

2016-04-23 17:37

rockthefellow

calvin! u crawl out from sewage! thanks god u r alive. go bathing because u smell so stink!

2016-04-23 17:38

chyokh

i3 is not a place for you to SHOUT so pls write in small letters. We are already half deaf from your shouting everyday.

2016-04-23 18:58

calvintaneng

Posted by chyokh > Apr 23, 2016 06:58 PM | Report Abuse

i3 is not a place for you to SHOUT so pls write in small letters. We are already half deaf from your shouting everyday.

Ok, Ok

see my next post on vietnam and thailand then in small letters

2016-04-23 19:12

curious2

Agree with chyokh. Faminity is not good.

Blog: COMING WORLDWIDE FAMINE CAUSED BY EL NINO/ LA NINA WILL PROPEL CPO PRICES OVER RM6,000 A TON

2016-04-23 19:20

calvintaneng

Calvin agrees with all that Worldwide famine is no good for all as every body will be impacted by higher food price - one way or another.

However, this is an investment forum. So you have to be pragmatic but still keep to your humane nature.

2016-04-23 19:26

hsong

Net Commodity producing countries will benefit. If prices r low there is no incentive to produce more

2016-04-23 20:09

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