THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

Reposted Article by Calvin Tan: CPO OVER RM5,000: A LOOK AT SOME COMMENTS FROM FELLOW FORUMERS IN PALM OIL

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 03 Nov 2021, 03:56 AM
calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

CPO OVER RM5,000: A LOOK AT SOME COMMENTS FROM FELLOW FORUMERS IN PALM OIL (Comments by Calvin)

Author:    |    Publish date: 

 



Hello Friends,

This nice evening in Singapore I was looking through the comments of fellow i3 Forumers

They all seemed happy & bullish

And these are some samples of their comments (Please refer to the respective forums to check)

 

1) THPLANT

Johnzhang Just to share some historical data of past 10 years .
Plantantion share price on day closing high (H) in year 2012 were as below (adjusted for RI or BI if any)

Thplant. $2.45
Sop. $6.62
MHC. $1.46
Cepat. $1.18
Swkplt. $3.24
Taann. $4.50
Hsplant. $3.18
Bplant. $1.34
Note :Bplant H was in 2018. Listed in 2014.

CPO high was about $3,600 pmt in Mar 2012
CPO now reached almost $5,100 yesterday.
Cost of production may have increased by $200 pmt since 2012.
After factoring in the higher production cost , today 's CPO price is still about 35% higher than 2012.
On the contrary, share price for most of the plantantions companies are trading at about 30- 50% below the high in 2012. What a divergence!

I believe the share price increase yesterday is just the beginning of the recovery. Enjoy the recovery ride .
07/10/2021 7:02 AM

 

John obseved that in year 2012 Cpo price was only Rm3500 a ton. Today is Rm5,000 (42% Higher)

Yet Plantation share prices are trading at 30% to 50% discount to year 2012 prices

So he concludes that price increase yesterday is just the beginning of recovery.

 

2) TSH RESOURCES

 

Investorrr whole year 2021 net profit should be around rm140mil that would translate to 0.10 EPS on 1832 TSH share issued.based conservative computation of 20xPE ,target price rm2/. If sales if palm old land is successfully closed by end year ,that would be a one time big profit for TSH
.AT least a profit if rm100 mill.If added to whole net profit ,total net profit should be rn240mil (,one time profit). ESP should be 0.13.what tp would be?based on 20x PE.
05/10/2021 10:03 PM

 

Investorrr has computed the target price of TSH to be Rm2.00

 

pvd_investor Very encouraging to see company directors buying tirelessly along with a stable share price uptrend..
07/10/2021 2:41 PM

 

Correct: Insider Boss kept up buying relentlessly

 

TSH RESOURCES BERHAD

 

Type Announcement
Subject DEALINGS IN LISTED SECURITIES (CHAPTER 14 OF LISTING REQUIREMENTS)
DEALINGS OUTSIDE CLOSED PERIOD
Description
Pursuant to Paragraph 14.09(a) of the Listing Requirements of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad, the following Director has transacted dealing in the securities of the Company as set out in Table 1 hereunder.
Name Date of acquisition No. of shares purchased Average purchased price per share (RM) % of shares purchased
Kelvin Tan Aik Pen 07.10.2021 500,000 1.2300 0.0362
 

Rm1.23 is the new support price of Tsh Resources

 

3) BPLANT

 

 

Starisborn From BPlant latest annual report, it shows that it has 98,212 hectares of land. Going by the latest sale of land to YTL @ RM645,833 per hectare with an historical net book value of just RM93,527 per hectare......it point to a huge unrealised revaluation gain of those land that remains unsold in the Company.

On the assumption that even if we recognised that not all lands held deserve a huge valuation, a simple simulation of just 15% value of what was sold recently or @RM96,875 per hectare, the potential valuation surplus stands at RM2.57 per share and if we are to deduct all borrowings, the net cash per share stands at RM2.01.

This couple with the all time high of CPO price which will yield better earnings and dividends in the coming quarters.

I am not at all surprise by lots of people queueing to buy into future success! This counter deserved to be rerated upwards!
07/10/2021 10:19 AM
Yippy68 this is the way haha haha i like it
07/10/2021 10:57 AM

 

Star Is Born said that Net cash per share of Bplant is Rm2.01 a share. And expect better dividends

 

 

4) SOP

 

TheSecret *Good afternoon from RHB Plantations Team!*

*CPO one month futures shot past MYR5,000/tonne*

♦️ *What should investors do?* Ride the wave. This is practically one of the first times this year that share prices are moving in tandem with CPO prices. For investors who have been waiting for this sector to do something all year, now is the time to ride the wave and wait for a good opportunity to lock in some profits.
♦️ *Can this rally last?* There was no fundamental change that happened over the last few days to trigger this sudden spike. Plantation monthly stats due to come out next week are likely to show a reduction in stocks on the back of improved exports, however the reduction is expected to be minimal, therefore insignificant. We believe this jump above MYR5,000 may be short lived as we continue to expect next year's fundamentals of supply to improve, with a moderation of CPO prices in 2022. Main risk to this thesis is weather abnormalities.
♦️ *If I want to partake in the rally, what should I BUY?* We would recommend liquid big cap names like Sime and IOI. Sensitivity to CPO price movement may not be as significant as the smaller cap names, but liquidity is there so that investors are able to be nimble.
♦️ *Any change to our UW sector call?* Not at this moment. Our call is a 12 month call, and we still believe in the wake of improving fundamentals and moderating prices in 2022, earnings will be weaker YoY, while ESG concerns will still have a part to play in valuations of the sector as a whole. We continue to like the smaller cap names like SOP and Ta Ann in Malaysia, integrated players like First Resources and Wilmar in Singapore and London Sumatra In Indonesia.

♦️ *RHB Research*
06/10/2021 4:42 PM

 

TheSecret reposted RHB INVESTMENT BANK BUY CALL FOR SOP

 

 

5) TAANN

 

 

Invest_888 Nice to compare the highest share price level with CPO RM3500 in year 2012 to current CPO RM5000 above.

Just compare TAANN with SOP

TAANN:
Latest quarterly financial result, EPS= 16.83 cent, NAV= RM3.46, Share price = RM3.15

SOP:
Latest quarterly financial result, EPS= 17.20 cent, NAV= RM4.48, Share price = RM3.93


Obviously, SOP latest quarterly earning EPS is just 0.37cent more than TAANN, but the share price of SOP is almost 80cent more than TAANN. This indicates that TAANN share price got big discount. If SOP share price can hit RM6.62, TAANN also can reach at least RM6.00.

TAANN make good profit from its associate oil palm company, SWKPLNT. TAANN is the largest shareholder of the SWKPLNT. Both TAANN & SWKPLNT give dividend generously.
07/10/2021 9:53 AM

 

INVEST_888 said TA ANN can reach at least RM6.00

 

6) JAYA TIASA

 

 

CCWONG Jtiasa's adverse historical performance is past and now, it is on the way to good/excellent financial performance in view of the shear size of its plantations and good CPO market price.

Buying for LT is always the correct and right choice.

No need to think so much like a Rocket Scientist.
06/10/2021 1:07 PM

 

 

miniminer Wow ! .... continuous 2 days big volume, uptrend, iniKali la !!

CPO price up more than 50% now, Jtiasa Sept a clear increase of Fresh Fruit Bunches and Crude palm oil production, Q1 profit must be very chun chun punya while this Q1 fair value gain also expects to be significant. Mari-mari cepat..... Aiyo...management must consider to give dividend if not bonus share ler ......hehehe.................
06/10/2021 11:55 PM

 

CCWONG & miniminer sounded quite bullish in Jtiasa Forum

 

 

Best regards

 

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your remisier/fund manager

 

Showing 23 comments.
X
calvintaneng "What should investors do?

RIDE THE WAVE.

By RHB RESEARCH
08/10/2021 8:02 AM
stockraider Go for it loh!

High cpo price loh!

Farmland very cheap now mah!

Plantation a protection against inflation mah!
08/10/2021 1:31 PM
X
calvintaneng Anyone got palm oil should hold for 3, 6 or 9 months to see the upside difference

In bull market the best and wise thing to do is to buy, sit still, do nothing and let the profits run

"Sustain your patience great movements take time to develop "
08/10/2021 4:25 PM
Mat Cendana I had bought plantation counters, including THPLANT, after reading a few of Calvin Tan's posts a few months ago. These companies had `looked so obvious' in terms of profits due to the rise and rise in CPO prices. But they were unloved, with many investors at Bursa ignoring them.

However, with tech counters being so pricey, plantations are finally seeing some attention. I'm confident we'll be seeing very satisfying gains in their share prices over the coming weeks. For serious investors, one must have at least a couple of plantation counters in his portfolio.
08/10/2021 6:05 PM
DickyMe3 It is evident that it is high time to abandon plantation stocks as CPO price is ridiculously high.
08/10/2021 6:09 PM
TheContrarian Syndicates don't want to push up palm oil counters. You need huge buying for price to rocket up.
08/10/2021 6:37 PM
X
calvintaneng Hi guys,

Yesterday & today I spoken to 3 Remisiers & one Top Boss of IB Bank

This is what I gathered

From Kl Stock Broker (25 years to 30 years experience)

How many people make or lost money you know by experience after so long time as a Remisier

"90%" he replied

"What? 90% of market players lost money in share market" I asked in great surprise

He said, "No! More than 90% made losses!"

I really curious and asked further, "You mean up to 95% of people are losing money playing shares?"

He said, "NO! TO BE EXACT 98% OF MARKET PUNTERS/TRADERS LOST MONEY"

He said, "Only 2 persons out of 100 can make money because they don't play short term or contra but invest"


From Johor Lady Stock Broker

She said 80% to 90% of her customers lost money in the share market. Her best friend who opened a trading account with her also lost money & now no more her friend as she refused to speak to her.

Oh boy! JB also so bad?

So i called friend in Melaka to check from Melaka Remisier since it is a more relaxed place

The whataspp came back, "80% TO 90% Market players mostly lost money eventually"

WOW! ALL PEOPLE EVERYWHERE THE SAME - LOSSES AFTER MORE LOSSES?

So I called asked on TOP IB BANK BOSS

He replied, "90% of Traders lost money"!

THAT'S IT

THE SHARE MARKET IS A REALLY HORRIBLE PLACE FOR THE CARELESS & CAREFREE

90% WILL EVENTUALLY LOST MONEY OR WASTED THEIR TIME

ONLY THE SMALL 10% WILL MAKE MONEY

Calvin wants to be in that small minority & happy to stay out of limelight
08/10/2021 7:23 PM
周 海 Believe in Robert Kiyosaki or Calvin, sell all your stocks now.
08/10/2021 7:34 PM
X
calvintaneng Yes that is what Calvin has been doing

Kiyosaki said buy farm lands

SO CALVIN BUYS PALM OIL STOCKS (ALL FULL OF FARM LANDS)
08/10/2021 7:38 PM
investor2021trading agreed with Kiyosaki! if anything happened to oil palm stocks due to govt issues (eg. FGV privatisation), harvesters shortage (strict intake of foreign workers), adverse weather conditions hampering harvesting, crop evacuation, ffb production n CPO quality plus global demand for edible oil palm...., d land n its value will always b intact.
08/10/2021 8:33 PM
ooi8888 Post removed. Why?
08/10/2021 8:38 PM
X
calvintaneng Mat Cendana I had bought plantation counters, including THPLANT, after reading a few of Calvin Tan's posts a few months ago. These companies had `looked so obvious' in terms of profits due to the rise and rise in CPO prices. But they were unloved, with many investors at Bursa ignoring them.

However, with tech counters being so pricey, plantations are finally seeing some attention. I'm confident we'll be seeing very satisfying gains in their share prices over the coming weeks. For serious investors, one must have at least a couple of plantation counters in his portfolio.
08/10/2021 6:05 PM

{{{For serious investors, one must have at least a couple of plantation counters in his portfolio.
08/10/2021 6:05 PM)))

Well done!

Yes you are correct


Well done!

Yes you are correct!

Great Sifus like Dr Neoh Soon Kean of Dynaquest (Jtiasa, Thplant, Subur, SOP, WTK ), Cold Eye (Innoprise Plant) & Dr Tan Chong Koay & Value Partner Hong Kong all like Palm Oil Stocks
08/10/2021 9:56 PM
X
calvintaneng Unbelievable Strength

Today October 2021 Fcpo closed at another RECORD HIGH OF RM5,139

All the records smashed just like in the Olympics

CPO IS PERFORMING SPECTACULARLY

https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/derivatives_prices
08/10/2021 10:27 PM
TheContrarian The genuine palm oil traders/punters would probably trade and speculate in CPO futures. Palm oil companies are good for dividend play and will remain laggards unless there's rumours of privatisation, takeover, merger etc.
08/10/2021 11:56 PM
X
calvintaneng TheContrarian

There is a time for every Cyclical stock as the Bible says "God made everything beautiful in His own time"

I fully believe the time for Palm oil bull run has come

You missed Opcom because you did not understand the Nfcp theme (belated)

Take 10 days off and study palm oil

Next month when all the Palm oil companies report their once a cycle earning first

And if Cpo prices march above Rm6000 or higher then it could be once a Century Super bull for palm oil
09/10/2021 8:01 AM
investor2021trading i see SOP a gud plantation stock to invest with CPO price sustaining at around n above RM 4,888 per ton!
09/10/2021 9:21 AM
law7587 Personally, I love Sime Plantation. I saw how Sime Plantation skyrocketed from RM 3.60 to RM 4.20 last wednesday. Other plantation theme stocks perform exceptionally well too. Calvin, may I know what is your outlook on Sime Plantation and how it will perform in these 2 weeks in short term, considering it very much undervalued?
09/10/2021 1:26 PM
TheContrarian Calvin, I did invest in Cepat, MHC and FGV and have taken good profits.
09/10/2021 2:07 PM
X
calvintaneng investor2021trading i see SOP a gud plantation stock to invest with CPO price sustaining at around n above RM 4,888 per ton!
09/10/2021 9:21 AM

Yes investor2021trading

Calvin fully agree with you

In fact I told all that SOP is a "MUST HAVE" in every Palm Oil Stocks investor/trader

With 300,000 Acres and over 200,000 Acres now Maturing into Prime Production Age SOP will see Incremental Harvest of FFB (Latest is 109,000 Tons of FFB), SOP also has a Property Division called SOP Property which is like SimeDarby's Property Arm SIMEPROP. Ioi too in time grew a branch called IOI Property as well as others.

One of the greatest potential is the very high profit product called "Merris Red Palm Oil" by SOP

And SOP also went further downstream into Healthfood supplements like Vit E & Vit A (Beta Carotene)

So SOP is evolving into a vertically integrated company - capturing every step of the Value Chains from Upstream to mid-stream and down stream and from there still spreading its new wings of Growth in Every Direction Posible

To Calvin SOP Below Rm4.00 is just a Crazy Price. Its Earnings beat both Uplant & BLD Plant & it is selling below NAV

I see Longer Term SOP will rise up to be a Blue Chip over Rm10.00

Read this carefully (spend at least 3 days to digest what is written)

https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/www.eaglevisioninvest.com/2021-10-06...
09/10/2021 3:07 PM
X
calvintaneng law7587 Personally, I love Sime Plantation. I saw how Sime Plantation skyrocketed from RM 3.60 to RM 4.20 last wednesday. Other plantation theme stocks perform exceptionally well too. Calvin, may I know what is your outlook on Sime Plantation and how it will perform in these 2 weeks in short term, considering it very much undervalued?
09/10/2021 1:26 PM

Law7587

Among Palm oil Companies SimePlant is a Real Giant like Wilmar of Singapore

In bad times we buy Strong Blue Chips like Simedarby Plant but in Good Times like now Buying 2nd & 3rd smaller Palm Oil shares better

Simedarby Plant is like a Very Big Ship so it is the safest in Very Stormy weather. During North-east Monsoon few fishermen Off Trengganu or Kelantan dare to venture out at sea for fishing as the sea is unsafe with waves as high as 12 to 15 feet which can over turn their small fishing boats

So in Very Bad Times Many small Cap Palm oil companies Collapsed to very low prices

Now we are in BOOM TIME again so buying Small or Mid Cap Palm oil stocks will be better just like after March every year FISHERMEN WILL FIND VERY CALM AND PEACEFUL WATER TO FISH AGAIN AND ALSO IN ABUNDANCE

To illustrate let Calvin tell you of a Cruise Ship Trip from Spore to Phuket Thailand in Year End 2019

We started sailing from Spore and all the way was ok until we reached off shore Trengganu then suddenly I heard "THUD"
and a sudden "SHAKING". My wife started to feel very giddy & sea sick. Only then we found the reason why they offered "GOOD Discounts" because knowledgeable people will avoid sailing in Cruise Ship near off shore Trengganu or Kelantan

That was an experience of the powerful North east Monsoon

I asked the Ship Captain Team, "How long will this choppy sea last"?

He said "By tomorrow as we get nearer the Gulf of Thailand where the sea is sheltered from the Monsoon"

Now there is also a Monsoon called "ESG" Sime Darby Plant is facing

See this

EPF outsourced RM155.18 billion to external fund managers
https://www.nst.com.my/business/2021/10/734785/epf-outsourced-rm15518-...

These OUTSIDE ENTITIES ARE SELLING SIMEDARBY PLANT SHARES DUE TO ESG CONCERN WHICH IS VERY UNFORTUNATE

EPF is the Top 2nd owner of SIMEPLANT with over 1 Billion shares

That was why SIMPLANT Still Trade Below Rm4.00 until lately

Let's hope they awake to the Wrong Notion of ESG which is overdone & Stop selling and start buying back Palm oil shares. These Across the Board dumping of Palm Oil shares by EPF "OUTSOURCED FUNDS" are detrimental to Malaysia.

Datuk Zuraida has done a lot of good to Palm Oil industry so far. And may she look into this

This is what Datuk Zuraida said

Touching on the anti-palm oil campaign, she said it had been running for decades and among the issues being disputed were the health aspect of palm products, environmental impact of oil palm cultivation and, most recently, labour-related issues

“These issues seem to be raised by the European Union (EU) and the United States (US) on purpose due to market competition and not on actual facts,” she said during the winding-up session for the 12th Malaysia Plan (12MP) in the Dewan Rakyat today.

Read full article

https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/www.eaglevisioninvest.com/2021-10-07...
09/10/2021 3:44 PM
X
calvintaneng TheContrarian Calvin, I did invest in Cepat, MHC and FGV and have taken good profits.
09/10/2021 2:07 PM

Very good

I sold cepat but keeping Mhc Plant & FGV

Since MHC Plant owns Cepat I got MHC Plant enough

I also got Tsh Resources but not Innoprise Plant

Since TSH is Top 2nd holder of Innoplant having TSH is good enough

So is TAANN Which is Top holder of Swkplant.

I also bought SOP, Thplant, Jtiasa & BPlant all of which are very excellent as well.
09/10/2021 4:26 PM
Law7857 Thank you Calvin for the wonderful insights and illustration of the ship also taking time to read and reply to me. As you can see, the reason I buy simeplt is because I think it can reach RM 5.00 in near future. I able to get myself a position at RM 4.00 during the rapid bull run of SimePlt on Wednesday and it was my biggest bag holder of my portfolio. I am quite worry that it will drop below RM 4.00
09/10/2021 6:11 PM
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calvintaneng Palm oil cpo in strong uptrend above Rm5,000 very hard for Simeplant to go below Rm4.00 as bull run will give strong buying support now

All palm oil companies this year will move up in their turns just like glove and medical stocks have their good runs last year

Don't sell too early as the palm oil bull is still young
09/10/2021 6:18 PM

 

More articles on THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 43 of 43 comments

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2021-11-03 04:08

AdCool

No movement at all in the whole industry. Operators not interestd to goreng plantation even with CPO 5300 now

2021-11-03 15:38

Huatexpert

China effect... Gov asked the citizen to stock up more oil... CPO reversed..

2021-11-03 16:18

calvintaneng

AdCool No movement at all in the whole industry. Operators not interestd to goreng plantation even with CPO 5300 now
03/11/2021 3:38 PM

Not yet move not no movement as Massive Cash INFLOW by Very High Earnings just like Non stop Water FLOWING INTO A DAM

Once the CASH OVERFLOWS IT WILL TRIGGER HUGE DIVIDEND PAYOUT SOONER OR LATER

2021-11-03 16:40

calvintaneng

Huatexpert China effect... Gov asked the citizen to stock up more oil... CPO reversed..
03/11/2021 4:18 PM

This actiion by 1.4 Billion Collectively will Set of a Chain Effect

1) ALL 1.4 BILLION PEOPLE WILL RUSH TO SUPERMARKETS & BUY UP ALL BISCUIT, BREAD , TOOTHPASTE, COOKING OIL & OTHER ESSENTIALS

SO SUPERMARKET SHELVES WILL BE EMPTY AND THEY WILL TRIGGER ORDERS FOR MORE GOODS TO REPLENISH THE SHELVES

AND FACTORIES WILL BUY EVEN MORE PALM OIL TO PRODUCE THESE GOODS

ONCE THE STORE OF PALM OIL DEPLETES CHINA WILL START BUYING MORE PALM OIL FROM MALAYSIA

SO OIL PALM COMPANIES WILL GET A FURTHER BOSSTER FROM MORE SALES!

AS WINTER BITES PEOPLE NEED MORE FOOD AS ENERGY TO KEEP THE BODY WARM

This is THE CAUSE & EFFECT DEMAND!!

2021-11-03 16:45

Jonathan Keung

What's surprising our local planter stocks has failed to ignite ( unlike the glove mania } but the cukai makmur overnight has cast a gloom on the market sentiment

2021-11-03 16:50

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2021-11-03 16:54

bulldog

Accumulation in progress

Huat chaiii

2021-11-03 18:08

AdCool

Calvin, when the time ripe, CPO on downtrend already.

2021-11-03 18:09

AdCool

For gloves, even before ASP reached the peak or before companies released supernormal profits and declared high dividends, it already peaked up in August 2020. The highest supernormal profit only reported in Q4 2020, Q1 2021 and Q2 for some. But the price started to uptrend in April 2020. 8 - 12 months in advance. Now for plantation, are we saying that CPO would continue to peak until June 2022 and beyond as there is still no movement in plantation?

2021-11-03 18:12

calvintaneng

Adcool you cannot see what I SEE

Ok let you take a peek from Eagle's vision

For Cpo prices will be sustained due to these two factors

1. The complete failure of canola (Rapeseed crop ) in Canada leading to very very very high canola prices now at Us1,060

The world's canola crop will not see another good harvest till August 2022 as in the Southern Hemisphere only Australia will produce a fair crop of canola while Brazil and Argentina only got Soybean and Corn

As such if canola oil remain at such elevated prices for the next 10 months long both Soybean oil and By proxy palm oil cannot fall any lower

2021-11-03 18:32

calvintaneng

With Rapeseed oil or canola oil out of the way both palm oil and soybean oil will reign supreme for now

Plus

2. With USA and whole world turning to climate change many many Fossil Refinery in USA are reconfiguring to Biodisel Use

The demand for soybean now stems from both food and as a clean energy

SO PRICES OF SOYBEAN OIL WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AS WELL

AS A RESULT WITH BOTH CANOLA AND SOYBEAN OIL AS HIGH AND SUSTAINED PRICED PALM OIL CANNOT FALL MUCH LOWER

THIS WILL BE A NEW PARADIGM EQUATION FOR PALM OIL TILL ALL OF YEAR 2022

2021-11-03 18:37

calvintaneng

Now why Calvin is bearish on Gloves

Gloves higest Earning season was due to

Sudden upsurge of demand from Covid 19 since March 2021.

Glove companies taking advantage of the sudden demand over supply started to Raise Asp prices plus ask for Lock in High Prepayment booking for one year ahead from June 2020 to 2021

Now game over

2021-11-03 18:40

calvintaneng

Why game over for Gloves?

Answer:

Because Gloves Billionaires have awakened the Giant China !

With such lucrative earning news Glove companies have mushroomed in China as a new found competitor

They can do it

Faster

Glove auto machines are all made in China not Malaysia

So they can set up Glove factories in just 4 months

You cannot do that with palm oil

You need at least 4 years to plant palm oil and to see first harvest

2021-11-03 18:43

calvintaneng

A glove factory can continue production for 24 hours non stop by using robots

You cannot do that with oil palm as everyday only got 12 hours sunlight

2021-11-03 18:44

calvintaneng

Now China is flooding USA market with cheap gloves

No wonder that USA dare go ban and confidcate Malaysia made gloves with no fear of supply lack anymore

2021-11-03 18:45

calvintaneng

As market share shrinks and ASP prices collapse Glove will now go down, down and down

Out of 250 glove factories Topglove Boss said only 50 or 20% survived

This will soon be repeated again with many facing bankruptcies and reduced profits for all as months move into years

Verdict

Sell gloves the faster the better

Buy palm oil the faster the better

2021-11-03 18:48

Intrinsic99

Why this iddiot go every way to promote palm oil stocks?

If you so confidence what you bought, why need to go every way non-stop talking unless you start realise not the better choice so need all waterfish members here to support you and to catch your nonsense mistake

We know you had put your bet on palm oil stocks more than 6 months but end up unable to reach your desire target, so now start nervous that's why non-stop putting blog to promote

We know you had past record on what you did last time, don't con members here until loss their hard earn money

I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid keep on spamming every way

I pegging administer need to take proper action against this spammer

2021-11-04 16:18

calvintaneng

Just wait and OPEN YOUR EYES BIG BIG TO SEE

NOV 2021 Good results of all oil palm companies

Feb 2022 Fantastic Results of all oil palm companies

May 2022 results equally great as Long experienced Simedarby plant has already stated Cpo prices will trade above Rm4200 for 1qtr of 2022

So we confidently wait

2021-11-04 18:12

Intrinsic99

As I said earlier, if you so confidence to wait, why everyday promote, why everyday put up so many blog, why everyday go different stocks forum keep on promoting your palm oil stocks?

This is very obvious you want to cash out your share bought and treat other members as waterfish.

In the real world, no free lunch to people unless you want to take advantage from others

I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid further keep on spamming everyday and every way

I pegging administrator need to take proper action against this spamme

2021-11-04 20:24

calvintaneng

Good stocks like palm oil now still cheap should be promoted why not?

2021-11-04 21:30

daretocutandchange

yes,why not I support you.

2021-11-04 21:35

Intrinsic99

Other members also buying valuable stocks but not behave like this iddiot spammer

We all feel ridiculous nonstop posting nonstop promoting

As I said earlier, if you so confidence to wait and if you so confidence what you invest why everyday need to promote, why everyday put up so many blog, why everyday go different stocks forum keep on promoting your palm oil stocks?

This is very obvious you want to cash out your share bought and treat other members as waterfish.

In the real world, no free lunch to people unless you want to take advantage from others

I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid further keep on spamming everyday and every way

I pegging administrator need to take proper action against this spammer

2021-11-04 21:45

calvintaneng

What is wrong with you ?

We have been here since year 2013

Investment forum is to promote ideas

If you not happy just go elsewhere

No one ask you to read

A cow cannot be forced to drink water if he doesn't want to

Now if you not listening just don't bother to read

2021-11-04 22:17

Lucifer999

Agreed with Intrinsic99. The website admin should restrict users who keep promoting and spamming the forum. Even if it's always here doesn't mean it's right. It is annoying.

2021-11-04 22:28

Alwinb

Lucifer, what's wrong with Calvin sharing? There are some good insights and much better than what I get from IB reports. If you are annoyed,just don't read. Much better than many punters just spamming buy! buy! or sell! sell!

2021-11-05 10:32

Lucifer999

on what grounds it is better than IB reports? it is similar to spamming buy buy sell sell, in a different form.

2021-11-05 10:34

Intrinsic99

Most of the fund managers have predicted the cpo price shall be normalised to RM 3000 to RM 3500 by next year

This is the reason why fund managers not aggressive to buy because they know the trend same with glove sector

More important is western countries still banning cpo imported products due to ESG

Very soon can see the big impact for plantation stocks (less than 2 months to go)

Now you can see fund managers start to catch out and switch to recovery stocks

You can see this iddiot why keep on promoting due to this iddiot wants to cash out to avoid further losses

2021-11-05 11:04

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2021-11-05 15:04

Intrinsic99

Sorry to inform, Redtone not my favor to buy

I never tell you I have redtone, did I?

Don't mislead the market to cover your mistake




Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 5, 2021 3:04 PM | Report Abuse

Intrinsic99

Did you take Calvin's warnings to escape Redtone?
Calvin promoted Redtone around 45 sen to 50 sen
And told all to above 70 sen

2021-11-05 15:28

calvintaneng

You sorry?
By stopping Calvin from warning people to sell Redtone you have done them a disservice

Now because of you they did not take heed to Calvin's word and escaped. So you are to be blamed

Same thing here

By your ignorance you try to stop people from buying into good undervalue oil palm stocks

2021-11-05 18:52

Intrinsic99

Other members also buying valuable stocks but not behave like this iddiot spammer

We all feel ridiculous nonstop posting nonstop promoting

As I said earlier, if you so confidence to wait and if you so confidence what you invest why everyday need to promote, why everyday put up so many blog, why everyday go different stocks forum keep on promoting your palm oil stocks?

This is very obvious you want to cash out your share bought and treat other members as waterfish.

In the real world, no free lunch to people unless you want to take advantage from others

I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid further keep on spamming everyday and every way

I pegging administrator need to take proper action against this spammer

2021-11-05 19:28

Intrinsic99

No need to raise flag, you more raise up the more admitted what I said is correct

You are trying cash out what you did the mistake that's why keep on promoting

2021-11-05 19:28

calvintaneng

No mistake at all

Just wait all palm oil news

Nov 2021 results will be good

February 2022 results will be fantastic

May 2022 results should be very good as well as Simedarby plant with decades of experience stated Cpo prices will be at least Rm4200 per ton till 1st quarter of 2022

So Calvin will hold till June 2022 to SEE maximum upside

2021-11-05 21:25

Intrinsic99

CPO prices expected to be lower in 2022, say market analysts (The Star - Saturday, 16 Oct 2021)

UOB Kay Hian Research maintains its “underweight” rating on the plantation sector

The research unit is keeping its CPO price forecast for 2021 and 2022 at RM3,300 and RM2,800 per tonne respectively

CPO prices may sustain at the current levels due to the continued disappointing palm oil production as yield recovery from the previous drought is taking longer than expected

It also notes that risks include rising fertiliser costs due to supply constraints. As fertiliser cost (30% of ex-mill cost) is one of the biggest components besides labour cost, the surge in fertiliser prices could lead to a cost increase of at least 15% to 20%


RHB Research also maintains its “underweight” rating on the plantation sector

It advises investors to ride the wave and look for opportunities to sell into strength, with CPO prices currently at a peak, and some strength being seen in share prices.

“The main risk to this thesis is weather abnormalitie. Share prices have, for the first time this year, started moving in tandem with CPO prices. We believe now is the time to ride the wave, and wait for a good opportunity to lock in some profits, adding that environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns will still impact sector valuations”


https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2021/10/16/cpo-prices-expected-to-be-lower-in-2022-say-market-analysts


What we can observe market behaviour now is most of the fund managers start to revise outlook for CPO in the upcoming season, most of experts had expected the CPO prise shall be normalised in tandem.

Fund managers strongly believe that plantation companies shall be adjusted lower heading Trailing Twelve Months (TTM), that’s why most of the research houses given underweight outlook.

This is the reason why plantation sector not so fancy like year 2020 glove sector, fund managers strongly believe that once the CPO price normalise so ASP also simultaneously adjusted lower.

One of the good example to review is glove sector, what happen for the year 2020 compare with year 2021. Once most of the fund managers revise neutral or underweight outlook, we all can see the respective sector (or respective stocks) will start decelerating.

Despite glove sector still handsomely profitable for the next few years but most of the share traders more bias to ASP will be adjusted accordingly. This scenario is same with plantation sector as well.

If we want to enjoy fancy profit from the share price margin at this moment, we need to thoroughly consider is it the right time to challenge current circumstances since market had given cognitive lesson for the past of glove sector.

If we want to enjoy dividend yield (only selective planters), it’s fine to accumulate rather than putting your funds at the banks but now not aware current share price is it wisely to enter since plantation sector bias to neutral or underweight.

2021-11-06 14:08

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2021-11-06 17:28

Mikecyc

Post removed.Why?

2021-11-14 07:38

Mikecyc

Post removed.Why?

2021-11-14 07:41

stockraider

Very good analysis of calvin sifu loh!

Investment into farmland or plantation is the best defensive investment strategy now loh!

Invest now...b4 its share price rerate & shoot up mah!

U see...sifu calvin should continue to promote plantations share when there is still deep margin safety for plantation stock mah!

This is the very safest strategy mah!

No need to heed the naysayers complaining spamming mah!

Bcos naysayers had very bad ulterior motives mah!

2021-11-14 12:57

stockraider

Remember why investing into palmoil stock is greatleh ??

Plantation land beside having huge tract of cheap land to protect us against rampant inflation, it also produce food and also provide good & safe dividend yield of 3% t0 6% pa much superior compare to fixed deposits of yield less than 2% pa.

In other words plantation is a perfect investment at the moment loh!

2021-11-14 13:03

stockraider

If u want surefire safe & steady accumulation of wealth, stick with plantation mah!

Do not sway loh!

2021-11-14 13:07

Intrinsic99

Other members also buying valuable stocks but not behave like this iddiot spammer

We all feel ridiculous nonstop posting nonstop promoting

As I said earlier, if you so confidence to wait and if you so confidence what you invest why everyday need to promote, why everyday put up so many blog, why everyday go different stocks forum keep on promoting your palm oil stocks?

This is very obvious you desperately want to cash out your share bought and treat other members as waterfish.

Now all open your eye and see this iddiot spammer sold all MHC stock since this iddiot spammer so confidence about the palm oil sector earlier and keep on promoting to all members everywhere.


https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/forum/600571451.jsp


I so pity members here listen to this iddiot end up you can burn you hard earned money and this iddiot laughing at you later.


In the real world, no free lunch to people unless you want to take advantage from others

I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid further keep on spamming everyday and every way

I pegging administrator need to take proper action against this spammer

2021-11-14 23:49

calvintaneng

You are the one spamming while Calvin posted facts

See what is spam

What does spam mean on social media?
unsolicited messages
Spam can be defined as irrelevant or unsolicited messages sent over the Internet. These are usually sent to a large number of users for a variety of use cases such as advertising, phishing, spreading malware, etc.6

2021-11-15 00:11

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