THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

IJMPLANT: FINAL DELISTING FROM BURSA: WE BID IJMPLANT SAYONARA & "BON VOYAGE" WITH KLK: TIME TO BUY SOP & TAANN, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 01 Dec 2021, 09:03 PM
calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends,

Today is a new milestone

After our recommended Palm oil stocks of TMakmur, Kulim & Kwantas were taken private today Bursa Officially Announce the Privatization & Delisting of IjmPlant

See our buy call to refresh your memory

 

THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

Author: calvintaneng    |   Latest post: Wed, 1 Dec 2021, 7:53 AM   |  >> Go to Blog Dashboard

  

IJMPLANT (2216) Rm1.86 Versus HARTALEGA GLOVE (5186) Rm9.98 COMPARE & CONTRAST THEIR PROSPECTS, Calvin Tan Research

Author:    |    Publish date: 



Dear Friends/Investors of i3 Forum, 

 

HARTALEGA HAS JUST REPORTED ANOTHER QUARTER OF GOOD RESULT

AND HARTA PRICE IS RM9.80 AMONG THE HOTTEST GLOVE STOCKS

IJMPLANT IS QUITE NEGLECTED AND UNLOVED, UNWANTED & OVERLOOKED

 

Hence IjmPlant attracts our attention

 

See

 

TOP 25 QUOTES BY JOHN TEMPLETON (of 131) | A-Z Quotes

 

PRECISELY!

90% OF THE MARKET IS NOW FULLY AWARE & BULLISH ON HARTALEGA. SO IT IS GOING TO END ON EUPHORIA  AS UPSIDE IS LIMITED

90% OF THE PEOPLE ARE BEARISH ON IJMPLANT & PALM OIL AS A WHOLE. SO THERE IS STILL LOTS OF ROOM FOR UPSIDE

 

Now let's look at 4 Qtr Forward P/E of Hartalega

 

See

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Mar 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Mar 2021
31 Mar 2020
31 Mar 2021
31 Mar 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
2,299,858
778,238
6,695,862
2,924,313
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
1,511,790
136,752
3,813,443
555,430
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
1,125,074
114,276
2,903,659
434,397
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
1,119,093
114,415
2,885,410
433,618
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
32.75
3.40
84.43
12.88
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
17.70
2.05
33.30
7.55
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.4500
0.7500
 

 

This Qtr result 32.75 sen

Forward 4 qtr P/E

32.75 x 4 = Rm1.31

At share price of Rm9.98

Its P/E = Rm9.98 divides by Rm1.31

= 7.61

It will take 7.61 years to double your money

 

Now look at IJM PLANTATION

'

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Dec 2020

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Dec 2020
31 Dec 2019
31 Dec 2020
31 Dec 2019
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
271,957
237,812
689,312
543,740
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
98,850
33,303
211,718
22,966
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
70,180
21,446
154,903
13,294
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
66,590
20,063
147,666
12,964
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
7.56
2.28
16.67
1.47
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.5700
1.3500

 

 

7.56 sen

Forward 4 x P/E

7.56 x 4 = 30.24 sen

 

Price Rm1.86 so

P/E = Rm1.86 divides by 30.24

6.15 (It will take 6.15   years to double your money)

THIS DEMONSTRATES NEGLECTED IJM PLANT HAS BETTER POTENTIAL THAN POPULAR HARTALEGA NOW.

 

HARTA BEING SO POPULAR HAS ATTRACTED MANY NEW GLOVE WANNABEES FROM MALAYSIA, THAILAND AND AS FAR AS CHINA

IT ONLY TAKE 6 MONTHS TO START A NEW GLOVE FACTORY

BUT IT TAKES 3 YEARS TO PLANT AND HARVEST PALM FRUIT

SO HARTA AFTER ONE YEAR IS NOW FACING COMPETITION (AND GETTING INTO PRICE WAR

 

See

Hartalega Gloveon Paloma Nitrile Powder Free Examination Gloves (1 Box)

Above is taken from Lazada Sg today & harta is selling at a 13% discount

Others like TopGlove (15% discount), Careplus (17% discount) Rubberex (33% discount) Supermax (40% discount)

That is not counting Gloves from China, Australia & Thailand all fighting over buyers now in both Lazada Sg & Alibaba China

 

While Palm Oil has surprise of scarcity & price rise

See

 

 

CPO HAS GONE UP FROM LOW OF RM2,000 TO RM4,000 PER TON (UP 100%)

And Singapore Wilmar just reported a jump of 100% profit

 

WILMAR International's net profit doubled to US$450.2 million in Q1 2021 from US$224.1 million in the previous year, setting a record for the agribusiness group's first-quarter results since its listing.

Wilmar said all of its core businesses put in a strong performance in the quarter. The results were boosted by a reversal of mark-to-market losses on hedging derivatives recorded in Q4 2020.

Since IjmPlant has Mills which supply CPO to Wilmar their business performance should mirror each other

Both IjmPlant & Wilmar got plantations in Sabah, Kalimantan & Sumatra together

 

AND WITH BORDERS' CLOSED IN COVID 19 LOCK DOWN IJM PLANTATION IN INDONESIA HAS PLENTY OF FFB HARVESTERS

 

AND LIKE HARTA IJM PLANT VALUE ADD TO ITS OPERATION BY SETTING UP 4 PALM OIL MILLS IN SABAH & ONE IN KALIMANTAN

IT ALSO BUY FFB (FRESH FRUIT BUNCHES FROM OTHERS TO PROCESS THEM INTO CPO

See this https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3145642

 

SO IJMPLANT HAS THESE SALIENT FACTORS

 

IT HAS A LOWER P/E THAN HARTA

IT IS MOVING UP FROM CYCLICAL LOW TO CYCLICAL HIGH WHILE HARTA NOW AT PEAK AND FURTHER UPSIDE IS LIMITED

ITS PALM OIL ESTATES HAVE NO LABOUR CONSTRAINT

WITH CPO OVER RM4,000 PER TON IJM PLANT PROFITS WILL EXPLODE UPWARD IN COMING MONTHS

 

SEE FURTHER

 

 

THIS YEAR INSIDER/DIRECTOR STARTS BUYING IJMPLANT (LOOKS LIKE LAST YEAR MAY 2020 WHEN SUPERMAX INSIDERS BUYING??) SOMETHING GOOD COMING AHEAD?

 

IJMPLANT IS NOW RM1.86

 

TARGET PRICE IS RM4.00 (YEAR HIGH OF 2014 CYCLICAL PEAK)

 

DR. NEOH OF DYNAQUEST GAVE IJM PLANT A 4.5 * RATING

 

BEST REGARDS

 

Calvin Tan Research

 

Please do not buy or sell Until AFTER doing your own due study and diligence. In doubt please consult your Remisier or Fund Manager

 

Additional comments on December 1st 2021

Buy call for Ijmplant on 5th May 2021 was Rm1.86

KLK took it private at Rm3.10 (Plus 10 sen dividend Totalled Rm3.20)

From Rm1.86 to Rm3.20 is a gain of Rm1.34 or 72%

At the same time the call to sell Hartalega at Rm9.98. Today Harta is Rm6.29 or down Rm3.69 (down 36.9%)

So if anyone from Harta had sold & bought Ijmplant would have saved 36.9% & made 72% (Total 108.9%)

That is the proof that Calvin does show the correct way to profit from the market.

 

Now we say Sayonara to Ijmplant & "Bon Voyage" in its new journey with KLK. We wish them well in their future undertaking together as One.

 

And from here Calvin still got 2 Great Palm Oil Stocks to buy: 1) TAANN. 2) SOP

We shall see why as we compare them to IJMPLANT

 

First look at IJMPLANT Latest Results

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Sep 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Sep 2021
30 Sep 2020
30 Sep 2021
30 Sep 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
299,782
211,370
571,497
417,355
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
132,422
-2,430
215,539
112,868
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
103,942
-3,201
165,728
84,723
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
101,040
-1,040
161,100
81,076
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
11.47
-0.12
18.29
9.21
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.7400
1.6300
 

 

Latest Qtr result showed

IjmPlant Revenue is Rm299.7 Milions

Nav Rm1.74

Profit 11.47 sen

Annualized 11.47 x 4

= 45.88 sen

IjmPlant last price Rm3.10

To get forward P/E divides Rm3.10 by 45.88

= 6.75 P/E

That means that all things being equal IjmPlant should double your investment in 6.75 years' time

 

Now look at TAANN

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Sep 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Sep 2021
30 Sep 2020
30 Sep 2021
30 Sep 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
486,857
353,371
1,282,822
854,676
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
125,993
69,307
277,496
110,382
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
125,965
55,659
264,198
84,439
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
103,293
42,769
218,405
66,271
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
23.45
9.71
49.59
15.05
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
20.00
10.00
30.00
10.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
3.5900
3.2500

TAANN REVENUE IS RM486.8 MILLIONS (IJMPLANT RM299.7 MILLION) Or 39% MORE REVENUE

TAANN NAV (NET ASSET VALUE) IS Rm3.59 (IjmPlant Nav Rm1.74) Or 106% MORE

TAANN Earns 23.45 Sen

Annualized 23.45 x 4

= 93.8 sen

TAANN share price is Rm3.36

To get forward

P/E divide Rm3.36 by 93.8

= 3.58 P/E

TAANN will double your money in 3.58 years

This shows that TAANN At Rm3.36 Offers Much Better value

 

SOP

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Sep 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Sep 2021
30 Sep 2020
30 Sep 2021
30 Sep 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
1,301,510
794,884
3,038,878
1,939,028
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
175,435
106,918
435,088
254,740
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
132,088
76,993
326,616
192,329
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
125,489
73,836
302,866
183,380
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
21.95
12.93
53.00
32.12
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
4.5700
4.1600
 

SOP REVENUE IS RM1.3 BILLIONS (Ijmplant Rm299.7 Millions) 433% MORE

SOP NAV is Rm4,57 (IjmPlant Rm1.74) 262% MORE

SOP earns 21.95 Sen

Annualized 21.95 x 4 

= 87.8 sen

SOP Price is Rm3.49

To get forward P/E divides Rm3.49 by 87.8 sen

= 3.97 P/E

That means that SOP will double your money in 3.97 years

 

OF THE THREE BOTH TAANN & SOP ARE SELLING AT DISCOUNT TO BOOK VALUE WHILE IJMPLANT AT RM3.10 WITH NAV RM1.74 IS SELLING AT HUGE PREMIUM TO BOOK VALUE

 

FROM ALL THESE FACTS REVEALED WE CAN SEE THAT BOTH TAANN & SOP OFFER BETTER VALUE

 

WARMEST REGARDS

 

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your remisier/Fund Manager

 

Note: You will hear lots of noise like Calvin promote stocks so that he can escape or so on and so forth

Please do not listen to rumour or swayed by who say this or who say that? And also don't just take Calvin at face value. Study deeper & more thoroughly to find the truth yourself

We urge you to do YOUR OWN INDEPENDENT THINKING & then decide for yourself

 

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