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买卖股票,你准备好了吗?
看到这个标题,相信又让大家失望了.喂!说好的怎样抓反弹呢?怎么又跳文章了?
嘿!不好意思,因为我还是觉得,重要的东西要先处理,反弹这种高风险高技术的,还是稍后再教会比较好,大家给点耐性. :P
好,我们先来谈谈,股票几时应该买和需要怎样的心态?
对于一般新手来说,这个蛮伤脑筋的.对于基本分析的投资者就不会有这问题,只要价格低于价值,买入就对了.要学的东西就是基本分析,有兴趣的可以看看笔者过去的文章来学个基本分析的概念.
至于技术派的玩家呢,股票其实几时应该买?有没有发觉一个现象,每每买入股票,没多久,价格立刻就下跌了?立刻就进入洗盘状态被洗出去了?有时候呢,就不升不跌,慢慢消耗你的耐性.问题在于你买早了,或者买迟了.
当收市后,你对某股做分析,你发现该股明天有很高的机率会上升,你一早便买入,结果却不动了.有时股价真的往上跑了,你却又不敢买入,当你买的时候,又迟了,要回调了.
在这里教大家”其中一个方法”- 1. 预测行情, 2. 观察行情走势, 3. 再介入
打个比如,如果今天价格从RM0.30上升去RM0.40,那你分析后,预测明天应该会继续往上跑,去到RM0.50.其实你的预测是50/50,你应该要做的是观察明天开市过后的走势,如果价格跑到RM0.45,那就代表你的预测对了一半!接下来会上升到RM0.50的机率就会来得高,75/25,而不是50/50了.对吗?
虽然,价格上涨至RM0.45是赚少12.5%了,但却能降低很多不必要的风险,这不更好吗?
很多人都会在搞不清楚状况的时候胡乱介入,这是不对的,你要懂得如何去增加自己胜算的机率,而不是一昧的买最低,卖最高.你越贪心就越容易变成买最高,卖最低.
股市就像打战,不在乎你杀了多少人,而是你在多少场战争中生存下来.管你这一场干掉多少人,下一场你被干掉,你就注定不会被记录在历史里面.
想当年在股市里吃大茶饭的,现在又剩下几个?
技术分析有很多种,玩股票也有很多方法,你可以自己分析,也可以听谣言,但切记,买入股票一定要增加自己的胜算!
好,再来就是卖股票.
玩股票大概一两年后,就懂得几时该买了,但却搞不懂几时该卖.明明是盈利,却变成亏损.明明是亏一点,却又越亏越多.这是因为你们都缺乏”应对措施”.你们设定了买入价格,和卖出目标价,却没为中途可能发生的意外做”分析”和”怎样面对”.
技术分析,只是一门统计学,一门对过去的数据做分析,觉得有可信度,然后运用在计算未来的行情罢了,他不可能完全正确,只是过去的数据实验告诉我们,他的可信度很高,不过错误还是有,就这样罢了.应对措施和止损盘是每一个交易最重要的东西!
买卖股票,别忘了初衷,我们都是为了盈利而来,不是为了亏钱.
盈利要抓的稳,亏损要止得住.
很多人都只懂得分析股票和买卖股票,却缺乏了”管理”.
管理指的不只是风险管理,还有资金管理.
主力玩股票,同样要预算自己的内部资金,查看目标公司的基本面,股票流通率,市值,大股东资料,大市环境,经济走势.再到资金介入,洗盘,拉高,出货所有的手法,主力都有非常完整的计划.而最主要的部分,就是资金和风险管理.只要市场走势不如预期,主力可能要调动更多的资金,风险也会随之增高.这些全部都会计算在内,一步出错,主力就会亏很多钱,一败涂地.
看到这里,你有没有觉得主力是很”强势”的机构?他们对公司本身的了解,再对经济的大环境都有深入的了解,你认为要赚他们的钱有那么容易吗?
主力是属于不能被击败,也不可能被击败的人!
面对这种强者,一定要有万全的计划!
关于股票几时该卖(十种信号,你要卖掉股票),我之前也有和大家分享了一条短片,有兴趣的可以联络我.
yipchun.lee@gmail.com
source: ycinvest.blogspot.com
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Discussions
4 people like this. Showing 14 of 14 comments
就說：预测明天0.5，但上升到0.45，如果再買就75/25。但是预测0.5，通常就是賣的點，0.45 已經很高風險了，如果再買，就因該是25/75，不是嗎？
2014-05-22 18:16
sometimes i am thinking, since stock is an asset, why do people trade on asset? Isn't it trading on index is more suitable? No offence but i think the above method is not reliable at all, you will never know what the other side is doing, stock operator with their advance system can easily bring you to holland. just my 2 cents
2014-05-22 19:31
the so called technical analysis sometimes is just your fantasy,you are on the lucky side if you win
2014-05-22 19:34
有意思,你们的回复让我更有兴致继续写下去了.:D
BBB79,对,你的意思应该是价格越靠近目标,下跌的风险就越大,对吧?
其实目标价只是你个人的分析,可以对,也可以错,他可能0.45就跌了,也可能继续奔上去0.60.
我们要做的,是对目前的情势做分析.
打个比喻,只是比喻,你去赌钱,买大小,6个骰子,庄开其中3粒给你看,3个5.那么开大的机率会比较大,还是开小的机率比较大?
同样嘛,股票价格已经开了一半给你看了,你的预测已经对了一半了,就看你敢不敢去冒这个险,你不冒这个险,你的分析和预测再准也没用.
2014-05-22 20:59
ipomember, yup, u r correct, u can never know what they are doing and they can bring u to holland, this is absolutely right, and this is their purpose mah...hahahaha..
but, put it this way, if u r operator, will u simply bring anyone to holland? or bring the rich one to holland?
u will only be the lucky one, if u stand at the opposite of rich...but, u definitely wont be the lucky one forever, you will have right and wrong, the matter is how much you can win when you are in profit position, and how much losses u can stop when trend goes against u...
operator can always use any tactic to cheat all ur money, but in different timing, they will have different weakness also, u need to know what is their weakness, and how to put your money lo...:D
i know the tactic not really work, but for newbie, dun u think it is a better tactic instead of simply follow rumors or buy blindly? haha
2014-05-22 21:12
to win against the stock operator is very unlikely. they got their advance system as well as strategies. they are better off in experiences. they received information way faster than you all and contra players are the victims most of the times. you will definitely loss your money if you act like a lost sheep. basically normal investors are not in the same league with all the traders out there.
As for the newbie, certainly they should avoid this kind of method. Guessing and hoping is an act of lost sheep. They will change their stance very fast following the movement of share price and that is the danger part. Just for the sake of discussion, i think investment can be easy can be hard. You do not have to know a shit about TA, common sense will guide you well. I know someone who invests based on common sense, and with little knowledge on accounting(know to calculate the financial ratios)and he really did well. The key point when we talk about common sense is, you dont invest on what you do not know. Do what you know well is the best way for you to avoid mistakes. (eg: why care to buy into o&g companies when you know shits about their business?)
2014-05-22 22:02
just for the sake of discussion too, maybe it is good to look at Mpay if you are free, i personally take it as highly manipulated stock. Let's see whether you can outsmart the operators?
2014-05-22 22:07
not to say unlikely, but nearly impossible, the money u earn is only the money from others who loss...
as u know there are a lot of newbie, a lot people losing money, operator is bad, why not you teach them from basic to advance, as what im doing? your comment will not make them better, those newbie are very exciting to play shares with their money, they know ntg bout fundamental or technical, but they still wanted to play shares. I know that is dangerous, but i really cant stop them, i can only try my best to stop them losing more...me alone dun hv enuf power to wake them up! Without you, they will keep loss their money.
your comment is totally asking them stop trading, go for invest, learn fundamental and common sense, but i dun see u teaching them! where ur blog brother? U hv enuf knowledge, but u didnt use it!
Come do the same thing bro, we have the same vision, which is teach them to be smart and stop losing money. Then invest with the right way.
Btw,mpay is really a highly manipulated stock, i wont try to outsmart the operators, i will only outsmart others.
2014-05-22 22:31
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
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thanks for sharing
2014-05-22 16:11