YC Invest
DSONIC分析!!!
最近收到好多email,一直问关于我对Dsonic的看法,其实是真的有点厌倦啦,之前我那篇文章已经说的很清楚了,主力的位置比你们任何人都有利,战不赢的,那些已经买进的,根本在下一盘死棋,要反身,除非你投入更大的资金操作而已,不过还是9死1生啦!
有好多人都是抱着"从哪里跌到,就一定要从哪里爬起来",坚持要我的看法.
好嘛!我就来继续评一下我对该股的看法.
我提倡的,就是从图中看透主力的运作,从中破解,赚取利润.
操作一只股票,一定要经过4个过程:
- 吸货
- 洗盘
- 主拉升
- 出货
不同的股票和性质,可以用不同的手法来玩.有些是1和2一起执行,然后3和4又一起执行.有些甚至1,2,3,4一起执行,只是你要会看.
玩股票,最好的方法,就是看见主力收货,你就一起收.耐心的等到他进入主升段然后出货.
至于要怎么看,我之前的文章已经略提一二,大家可以参考.
好,我们来看看Dsonic的图:
蓝色线,是该股原本的拉升趋势,当到了RM2以上时,明显脱离该趋势,前往更斜的上升趋势了.由此判断,该趋势是主升段.
主升段后,就是出货,这时主力持仓比例很低,主力不会继续大量买货,只会顾着怎么出货.大部分的货都持有在散户手里.
股价会上回去前期的高位,除非主力还有很多货还未出完,要不然,绝对不会回去.因为被套在高档的人很多,再拉回去,主力等于救了别人,套了自己.
而且观看该股过去的走势,主力明显出了很多货,没有必要再拉回去.
我不能教你们怎样看他之前怎样出货,要不然我真的写不完.
好了,该股到达RM4.80的时候,从基本面来讲,其实已经严重背离了.基本投资者根本不会买进,剩下的只有技术派人士.可是从技术来说,价格也上得很够力高了.主力要继续出货,就要压下去,让那些喜欢拾便宜的人进来买.
好,那么既然主力已经卖货了,持仓当然少.当主力持仓比例低的时候,要判断趋势,不能再单靠研究主力的心理和玩法了,而要研究市场资金浮动.
(注:有没有发觉,其实没有一套方法可以完全使用在同一只股票呢?有些人专研图形动态,你会发觉同一只股票,在特定时间可以用,在不同的时间,又用不上了,分析错误了.有些专学研究庄家手法的人,发现前期还蛮准,后期又不对了.是吗?当然,在不同的阶段,主力持仓比例不同,主导权在不同人的手上,就要用不同的手法研究.技术,基本,全部你都必须学!)
好,既然主力持仓比例低,那接下来我们要看的,就是多空双方的战斗来判断.
在紫色格子里,两个青色员圈,我们看到多方拉升,然后都被空方打下来,而且连续两次,后来量开始萎缩了,多方尝试再拉升,这次突破了.RM2.40这地方由空方阵地转做多方防守线.
股价拉至2.60,再遭遇小袭击(红小圈处),多方没停,加大火力,继续开高跑高,打上去了.RM2.60成第二道防线.
来到RM3.20(中型红圈),遭遇另一波大袭击,量也放很大,空方占优势,第二天多方还是持续炮击,反弹,不过还过不了空方阵地.第三天一开,就开过去空方阵营了,在空方基地连打5天,连续5粒十字星,就像把空方全杀了,留下5把剑,强势的证明!!!
到了RM3.50的地方(最后一个红色大员圈),再次大战,多放成功守在3.50的位置,待量萎缩了,空方大概没力了,多方再尝试拉升,又赢了.
多方防守线: RM2.40, RM2.60, RM3.20, RM3.50
现在我们看空方:
像笔者之前的文章所说那样,当进入主拉升时,100%就是关卡.RM2.40进入主升段,很明显,关卡在RM4.80.在RM4.80以上买进的,叫”疯狂跟风者”.
虽然当天是收在RM4.80以上了,但绝对是鬼门关,要和死神搏斗,逃出鬼门关,最好的方法当然是靠边站,等带头的去冲锋陷阵,情势明朗再进场嘛!
紫色圈处,接下来两天,虽然是尝试要逃过鬼门关,但还是失败了,过不了RM4.80.量萎缩了,证明多方火药用尽!接下来不用说,当然死路一条!直接冲破多方RM3.50阵线!接下来是回弹了,回到RM4.00,空方再下一层,15号当天再攻破多方RM3.20阵线,16号直接冲去RM2.60,多方最后第二条防线.多方是成功保住了,以三白兵的方式,借市场之力,一路反攻至RM3.90的位置,空方不多加犹疑,在RM3.90再设防线,持续向多方开战!连续5天被打下去!
第6天,多方尝试反攻,没效,空方持续施压,在RM3.60再设防线.
注意!空方防线越来越低!!!空方很积极!!!
多方不甘示弱,在RM3.20防线上也是做了强力对抗!
截止星期4,量开始萎缩,空方力量用尽了吗?星期5,多方再尝试挑战空方RM3.60防线,又被打下来,收在RM3.48了!
空方阵线: RM4.80, RM4.00, RM3.90, RM3.60
接下来,要看的就是多方是否有能力突破RM3.60,这一道空方第一阵线.
好,接下来就是战力分析!!!
RM4.80和RM4.00,当多方尝试挑战,都是以大败的下场做结局.会回到这两个价位,我能说的是,机率很低!如果以现在的价格买入,利润空间顶多到RM3.90!
那我们再分析,如果以现在的价格买入,预计亏损可以到达什么程度!
多方RM3.50防线,4度被攻破!
RM3.20,一度被强力攻破!
RM2.60,一度被触及!
RM2.40强力支撑,还未被触及!
以上分析来看,很明显的多方是多次受挑战了,空方占优势!以目前的价格买入,如果再触及之前的多方防线,对投资者来说都是巨大的亏损!!!
赢利和亏损的幅度和分析我都写出来了!最后决定还是在你们手里!!!
补充:在跌势中要形成反弹再度突破前期高位,需要非常强大的资金配合,基本面一定要有强大改变!公司一定要有强大利好消息配合!
我已经画公仔,连肠都画出来了,别叫我连肠里面的东西都画出来哦!好恶心! :P
还有,以上只是个人分析!!! :D
有任何疑问,请联络本人: yipchun.lee@gmail.com
本人网页: ycinvest.blogspot.com
图表:bursastation.com
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6 people like this. Showing 39 of 39 comments
so sorry, bcoz all the TA i studied are in chinese, not really able translate to english. :(
let me try to write in english...:)
2014-05-10 17:16
SATURDAY, 10 MAY 2014
DSONIC analysis!!!
Recently received a lot of email, has been asked about my views Dsonic, and in fact is really a bit tired of it , before I have to say the article is very clear , the main position than any of you who are beneficial , not win the war , those who have to buy , simply stupid move on to the next dish , to be reflexive , unless you put more money operating it , but still 9 dead a raw it !
There are a lot of people are holding "Where from fell, got up from where we will be," insisted my opinion.
Okay ! I will continue to comment about my views on the stock .
I advocate , is seen through the main operation from the figure , which crack , to make a profit .
Operating a stock , be sure to go through four months process :
Xihuo
Whipsaw
Lord pulled
Ship
Different stocks and properties , you can play with the different technique . Some are 1 and 2 run together , then 3 and 4 and perform together . Some even 1,2,3,4 run together , but you'll see .
Playing the stock market , the best way , is to see the main receipt , you will receive together . patiently until he entered the main section and then shipped .
As to how to see , my previous article has been slightly put twelve , we can refer to .
Good , let's look at Dsonic Figure :
2014-05-10 18:37
Blue line , was originally pulled the stock trend , when to RM2 or more , a significant departure from the trend , rising trend to a more oblique . Judging , the trend is the main section .
After the main section , is the ship , then a very low proportion of the main positions , a large number of potential buyers will not continue the main , only Guzhe how to ship . most of the goods are held in the hands of individual investors .
Share price will go back to previous highs , unless there are a lot of goods have not yet finished the main out , or else , will never go back . because a lot of people in the upscale quilt , and then pull back , the main equals saved others , set up their own .
And watching the trend of the stock in the past , the main apparent that a lot of goods , there is no need to pull back .
I can not teach you how to see how the ship before him , or else I really could not finish .
Well , the stock reaches RM4.80 when , in terms of fundamentals , in fact, has been a serious departure from the . fundamental investors will not buy , leaving only technical camp . Technically speaking, however , the price is on Enough power very high . main ship to continue , we must press down , let those who like to come pick up cheap to buy .
Well , since then has been the main sellers of , of course, fewer positions . When the low percentage of the time the main positions , to determine trends , can no longer rely solely on psychological research and play a main , but to study the floating market funds .
( Note : there is no notice , in fact, do not have a way to completely use it in the same stocks ? Dynamic Graphics specializes some people , you will find the same stock , at a particular time can be used , at different times , they do not have access a , analysis wrong . Some professionals who study the way the dealer , discovered quite early prospective , the latter not right . eh ? Of course , in different stages , the main positions in different proportions , the initiative in the hands of different people , necessary to study a different approach . techniques , basic , all you have to learn !)
Well , since the low proportion of the main positions , then we want to see that , that's the long and short sides battle to determine .
2014-05-10 18:38
The grid in purple , two blue circle members , we see multi-pulled , and have been playing down the short side , but twice , and later began to shrink a volume , multi try again pulled up , this time to break up . RM2. 40 This places the empty position switch to multi-party defensive line .
Shares pulled up to 2.60, and then suffered a small attack ( small red circle at ), multi did not stop , increased firepower , continue to open the high running high , beat up the . RM2.60 a second line of defense .
To RM3.20 ( medium red circle ), suffered another wave of big attacks , but also put a great amount , the short side dominant , the next day or multi-sustained shelling , to rebound , but also not too short side position . third day an open , on the open short side past the camp , even playing in the empty square base 5 days , consecutive five doji , just kill all the empty square , leaving five swords, a strong proof!!!
To RM3.50 place ( the last high-ranking officials red circle ), once again war , put in more success waited at 3.50 position , the amount to be shrunk , probably did not force the empty square, multi try again pulled , they win .
Multi defensive line : RM2.40, RM2.60, RM3.20, RM3.50
Now we look at the short side :
Like the author of the article said that before , when pulled into the main time , 100% is the hurdle . RM2.40 enter the main section , it is clear , the level at RM4.80. at RM4.80 more buying , called " Crazy follow suit . "
Although the day is close at RM4.80 over the , but it is definitely the gates of hell , and death to fight , to escape the jaws of death , the best way is to step aside , such as strikes, to take the lead , and then approach the situation uncertain thing !
2014-05-10 18:39
Purple Circle Office , the next two days , although it is trying to escape the jaws of death , but still failed , could not pass RM4.80. capacity has shrunk , proven multi gunpowder exhausted ! Next Needless to say , of course, a dead end ! direct break through multi- RM3.50 Front ! followed by a rebound , back to RM4.00, the short side and then the next layer , 15- day and then defeated No. multi RM3.20 Front , 16 No. rushed directly to RM2.60, last second multi- defense . successful multi saved , with three white soldiers the way , through the power of the market , all the way to counterattack to RM3.90 position , the short side does not pay more hesitation , at RM3.90 and then set up the defense , continued to multi war ! consecutive 5 days be crushed !
The first six days , multiple attempts to counterattack , no effect , the short side continued to pressure , at RM3.60 and then set up the defense .
Note ! short side defense getting low !!! empty square is very positive !!!
Multi outdone , at RM3.20 on defense also made a strong fight !
As of week 4 , volume begins to shrink , Kongfangliliang exhausted yet ? week of May, and then try to challenge the multi-empty square RM3.60 defense , and was shot down , to close at RM3.48 up !
Empty square Front : RM4.80, RM4.00, RM3.90, RM3.60
Next , to see whether there is the ability to break the multi- RM3.60, this road the short side of the first front .
Well , the next step is combat power analysis !!!
RM4.80 and RM4.00, when multiple attempts to challenge , is to make the outcome of the fate of defeated . would return both the price , I can say is , the probability is very low ! If current bid prices , profits space at most to RM3.90!
Then we re-analyzed , if the current bid price , the expected loss could reach what extent !
Multi RM3.50 defense , four degrees was broken !
RM3.20, was once a strong break !
RM2.60, once touched !
RM2.40 strong support , has not been touched !
The above analysis , it is clear many times by the challenge of multi-party is , the short side dominant ! buying at the current price , multi-defense if we touched before , to investors are huge loss !!!
Amplitude and profit and loss analysis, I privations ! final decision is still in your hands !!!
Supplement : To form a rebound in downtrend once again exceeded the previous high , with the need to be very strong capital , strong fundamentals must be changed ! company must have a strong positive news !
I have painted dolls , even the intestines are drawn out , do not call me even gut everything inside drawn Oh ! disgusting :! P
There , more than just a personal analysis :!!! D
Have any questions, please contact me: yipchun.lee @ gmail.com
Chart: bursastation.com
2014-05-10 18:41
thks for all the support :D
btw, after i read the article, i found that i really not able translate it into english...so bad...
but i can summarize that:
resistant level: RM4.80, RM4.00, RM3.90, RM3.60
support level: RM3.50, RM3.20, RM2.60, RM2.40
RM4.80 & RM4.00 is very strong resistant level. If you buy at current price, most probably it will only up to RM3.90
Whereas, your potential loss, price might down to RM3.20, RM2.60, RM2.40.
RM3.20 break before, RM2.60 touched before, RM2.40 strong support haven touch.
2014-05-10 22:16
股市本来就是战场，yclee，我欣赏你的技术策略，希望你的用心分享可以帮到需要的武士吧～技术指标本来就是一种整体战术，只是看那位武士会不会运用而已，希望下次可以看到你对于其他战场的分享，ichiban~
2014-05-11 00:02
Y C Lee,i m 20% fa,80% ta...dsonic as i see it has no fa support any more...at most it is a trading stock,however there are many diehards there.
Have a good day.
2014-05-11 00:14
ktan Y C Lee,i m 20% fa,80% ta...dsonic as i see it has no fa support any more...at most it is a trading stock,however there are many diehards there.
Have a good day.
give some points,,why you said dsonic has no FA support anymore??? are you trying to say this company won t receive any projects in future??
KTAN to me i feel TA, is only the moment, but FA is something that covers up the moment n also future... FA is the one that will propel forward the stock.. TA is only you enjoy it momentarily only, when to buy n exit.. two types of investors are there, one is with fear always n the other without any fear.. the one with fear will always prefer TA.. the one without fear will prefer FA, because he is more interested in long or medium term
2014-05-11 17:03
Yc lee....太压场了你的技术分析。 你对每一个小步骤都非常仔细处理。你会越来越成功，当然你现在的信心已经足够让你每一天都活得很精彩了。
希望有机会可以向你单面请教。
感恩，
初学者
2014-05-11 17:22
Yc Lee,
我在吉隆坡，我真的很想学。你很全面，我真的很想向你学，谈不上切磋。 如果有机会和您互取互长，和互补互短我就感到非常荣幸非常庆幸。
加油了高人，以你的态度，你已经办到周末不烦经济走势了。
2014-05-11 21:04
This forum will be a great success if YL n Johny work hand in hand. YL to focus on churning out more interesting lessons n Johny chips in in translation portion. Teamwork will work wonder. Lets wait patiently for the next educative lesson from YL in which Sun Tzu's art at war strategies r at work.
2014-05-11 21:34
it is prefer you write a article like investment bank.. after a technical advise, they will put a comment. either buy or sell or hold.
2014-05-12 09:39
duitkwspkita,我也KL人,找天出来聊聊 :)
kheng, u look so high on me...lol
Lim Elson, cant, to give recommendation and TP, need to have license, sad to say that i dun hold any of this license, i can only write my own analysis...hope u understand...lol
2014-05-12 09:44
You write like chinese fighting comic. My compliments. Sometimes attack sometimes defense. You could be a Writer.
2014-05-12 13:54
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4.9 / 5.0
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ChunJui Lee
I really hope that there's an English version :(
2014-05-10 17:06