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2023-10-05 15:12 | Report Abuse
Now back to two important questions : what COL knows that the rest of us don't know? What potential COL saw when they took such a big position?
2023-10-05 14:54 | Report Abuse
I will not feel aggrieved that someone buy above 20%....perhaps most of the shareholders only listen to 1 side of the story and also putting the seed of fear COL will liquidate the fund. I have not seen COL sold a single share during such a poor showing of NAV. We even have people started to work out the performance themselves in the last few days in this forum. They convinced what is cause the discount....it means losing faith in the fund manager....they vote with their wallet despite of knowing they are selling at a huge discounts.
2023-10-05 14:42 | Report Abuse
Agreed - good enough for me on the balance of probabilities and not beyond reasonable doubt, unlike in the criminal case. And also, burden of proof on civil case is on the plaintiff(iCAP), unlike criminal case the burden of proof is on the defendant. I bet on COL. Just to make things clear, I am no lawyers but just happened to read a few novels by John Grisham..ππ
2023-10-05 14:19 | Report Abuse
Thanks for the explanations on the definition because I was confused that whenever there were changes of shares, the put that in the bucket of indirect interest. Now all the dots got connected with your second part of the explanations. So just ignore all the announcement. It's just distractions.
2023-10-05 14:14 | Report Abuse
Anyway - I have learnt a hard lesson too that litigations only make lawyers rich. Hostile take over is expensive. Settle disagreements by shaking hands quickly. Let's focus on business. Grow the NAV.....if today NAV is $50 ...all will be the winners regardless of big or small shareholders.
2023-10-05 14:02 | Report Abuse
Also definition of a single shareholder.....they may be pushing a wet string trying to proof multiple shareholders is actually the same shareholder......conspiracy theory argument? Aiya.....I wish to tail along since I got no many things to do.....more exciting that watch dramas.
2023-10-05 13:59 | Report Abuse
I got it now --- iCap make such announcements were just a psychological warfare confusing people like me....π«π«Mum somebody bullies me.
2023-10-05 13:56 | Report Abuse
I know that the house will win even 1% edge will make a lot of money.....51% on the house 49% on players.
2023-10-05 13:54 | Report Abuse
dumbMoney - between COL and iCap who is the house?
2023-10-05 13:49 | Report Abuse
At the point of IPO,I don't think they have thought out this scenario of either foreign investor or local investor can be a major controlling investor. Now that they have learn this lesson, they could have retreat and employing lawyers to beef up their positions.
2023-10-05 13:47 | Report Abuse
I will hantam kuat kuat and if I am COL, I will keep buying till it cross 25% then no way they can amend their constitutions to their advantage(if by law 75% shareholders approval is required for constitutions amendment).
2023-10-05 13:42 | Report Abuse
Sorry...I missed out that you have read their constitutions 3 times, I thought you read Patient Investor post 3 timesπ. And you now said you can't find that....then that guy is naked la....no need to wait for the tides to recede. π€π€
2023-10-05 13:31 | Report Abuse
Yup - it's well possible that they may just use what they can find from SICDA and it is not written in their constitutions. But SICDA is passing back the bucks to the company by saying to enforce it that will depend on what is written in the constitutions. I am pretty sure they will guard that constitutions now very tightly and nobody has seen it. It's okay to let them hide in the dark...if they don't have it and nobody entertains them......it is just all barks.....just playing poker and calling the bluffs. I will wait it out and see when the tides recede, is the guy naked. π€£π€£
2023-10-05 07:56 | Report Abuse
Or COL can do an outright purchase another few more % to kill the whole thing....π»π»
2023-10-05 07:53 | Report Abuse
Re SICDA posted by Patient Investor & dumbMoney - looks like at hindsight iCap made a mistake for not defining the rule clearly, they may need to do amendment. Amendment will be a messy thing and will require very high percentage approval from shareholders....I am not sure of the %....2/3 majority or 75%....???
Out of my competency on company law, found a reference for comment
https://dnh.com.my/the-importance-of-a-company-constitution-in-malaysia/
If it's really true 75%, just a few % from minority shareholders + COL 23% already can easily blocking it. π
2023-10-04 20:39 | Report Abuse
Haha.....SmartMoney?π±π± Hat too big....head too small.....almost empty inside too....worried get suffocated. Leave that to TTB if he would like to join us in this forum....he will know we all are nice guys after a few rounds of sparing. π»
2023-10-04 17:59 | Report Abuse
Give me a high five......I feel like wanna to change my name to SlowMoney000 ady....π€π€
2023-10-04 17:37 | Report Abuse
Assuming you still want 1 million in your lifetime - it's really boils down to 2 things - it's either the base or the return rate....
Still at 4% ..... what is the base ?
Year ** Portfolio value RM
1 ** 150,000
10 ** 222,037
15 ** 270,142
20 ** 328,668
25 ** 399,875
30 ** 486,510
35 ** 591,913
40 ** 720,153
45 ** 876,176
50 ** 1,066,003
This is what I feel it is more human, each of us need to reach a big enough base to overcome something called escape velocity... How to find 1st 150,000 ? ππ
2023-10-04 17:22 | Report Abuse
This will what happened if it is compounded at 4% with the same 5,000
Compounding RM 5,000 at 4% p.a.
Year ** Portfolio value RM
1 ** 5,000
10 ** 7,401
15 ** 9,005
20 ** 10,956
25 ** 13,329
30 ** 16,217
35 ** 19,730
40 ** 24,005
45 ** 29,206
50 ** 35,533
If you are 24 years old now, waking up at 74 years young, remembering you supposed to have 5 million only to found out that you get 35,533.... how will you feel ? π
2023-10-04 17:15 | Report Abuse
The difference under promise over deliver....and live long enough.....compounding it for sure for a long time.....
2023-10-04 17:14 | Report Abuse
I find that Warren Buffett is really much more down to earth.
In his 1962 letter, Buffett shared the story of Queen Isabella of Spain sponsoring Christopher Columbusβs voyage in 1492 to find a βnew worldβ at a cost of around US$ 30,000. Buffett called it a low-compound investment, as the same money invested at 4% compounded annually would have amounted to something like US$ 2 trillion by 1962 (or 470 years later).
2023-10-04 17:13 | Report Abuse
I'm gonna extract some information from iCap 2023 Annual Report (page 11)
Compounding RM 5,000 at 15% p.a.
Year ** Portfolio value RM
1 ** 5,000
10 ** 20,228
15 ** 40,685
20 ** 81,833
25 ** 164,595
30 ** 331,059
35 ** 665,878
40 ** 1,339,318
45 ** 2,693,846
50 ** 5,418,287
Nothing wrong with the math....only thing it is injecting the idea to hold iCap for 50 years to get 5.4 million by just buying about 2,000 shares today. I understand the context perfectly of his point of do not interrupt compounding process unnecessarily. But we all know the higher the hope, the higher the disappointment when someone can't deliver that high rate without a single year of money losing for 50 years.
2023-10-04 17:02 | Report Abuse
If you dream to be a millionaire -- you will know why path is more realistic. π
2023-10-04 17:00 | Report Abuse
@i3gambler : Good to do your own calculation and arrive your own conclusions....ββ
2023-10-04 12:56 | Report Abuse
@Patient Investor....it will be immaterially affecting the views of EPF vs iCap with same amount of money invested regularly but with different risk: EPF guarantee no loss of money with minimum 2.5% dividend and it's written in the law and average of 6% in past 10 years. While iCap is making a lot promises of Low Risk High Return. How to translate this into numbers? I wish we can get an answer.
BTW, Dividend received in 2013 will be 17,372 and 2022 will be 62,996 = 80,836 based on above accumulated quantity....added back to my calculation the gap is still quite far.
How one want to allocate their hard earned money is very personal. I am only giving my views for other think about. Nobody is certain of anything except death and taxes. Who knows one day TTB is really able to delivery CAGR 15% in the next 20 years? Who knows? Between hope and a bit more certain, how will we allocate our capital? That's up to the readers in this forum to decide for themselves.
2023-10-04 00:32 | Report Abuse
I'm modelling real life how people will put their money to work rather than calculating cumulative return since inception and you put your money only 1 time at the point of inception or IPO....at the end of the day, it's money in our bank that counts not those nice return numbers published in annual report. ππ
2023-10-04 00:22 | Report Abuse
Okie....I am going to use iCap share price at the end of each of their FY since it's an investor return(not fund manager return -- NAV) and we are going to use the same 36 k per year for 19 years
Year ** Price ** Addition ** Qty share bought
2005 ** 1.08 ** 36,000 ** 33,333
2006 ** 1.46 ** 36,000 ** 24,658
2007 ** 2.62 ** 36,000 ** 13,740
2008 ** 1.39 ** 36,000 ** 25,899
2009 ** 1.74 ** 36,000 ** 20, 690
2010 ** 2.09 ** 36,000 ** 17,225
2011 ** 2.05 ** 36,000 ** 17,561
2012 ** 2.37 ** 36,000 ** 15,190
2013 ** 2.47 ** 36,000 ** 14,575
2014 ** 2.4 ** 36,000 ** 15,000
2015 ** 2.37 ** 36,000 ** 15,190
2016 ** 2.55 ** 36,000 ** 14,118
2017 ** 2.92 ** 36,000 ** 12,329
2018 ** 2.54 ** 36,000 ** 14,173
2019 ** 2.47 ** 36,000 ** 14,575
2020 ** 2.19 ** 36,000 ** 16,438
2021 ** 2.52 ** 36,000 ** 14,286
2022 ** 2.25 ** 36,000 ** 16,000
2023/May ** 2.32 * 36,000 * 15,517
Total accumulated quantity 330,497
Value at 4/10/2023 $ 2.64 = 872,511
Assume it's zero discount at NAV of 3.53 will be valued at 1.1 million
It's still kalah to EPF....for 19 years....EPF will work out to be 1.28 million with the same 36 k per year addition.
2023-10-03 22:51 | Report Abuse
If someone earning 10 k per month, 22% mandatory contribution will be 2.2 k + 0.8 k personal top up will get you to this 3k target.
2023-10-03 22:49 | Report Abuse
I forgot about the 36 k annual addition in my calculation that arrived at 894 k
2023-10-03 22:48 | Report Abuse
Just a correction ya...the balance at year 2022 498 k with annual addition 36 k for next 10 years compounded at 6%...by year 2032 will be 1.39 million.
2023-10-03 22:14 | Report Abuse
Aspiration and reality are 2 different things......that is why we need to be humble in the market
2023-10-03 22:12 | Report Abuse
For many people always thinking fast money....slow is actually fast....everybody understand positive compounding effects but it's just not sexy or macho enough.....I have seen many people pouring money into something that they always thinking annual compounding 15% consecutively for 20 years.....Even icap in 2023 annual report using 15% compounding rate.....subtly giving people impression he can do it at that rate
2023-10-03 22:08 | Report Abuse
No problem bro -- I still have HP12c 25th Anniversary Edition.....for memory keeping sake.....π€£π€£
2023-10-03 22:07 | Report Abuse
Let's see icap can give us that kind of return after 20 years bo......240 installments x 3 k per month.
2023-10-03 22:05 | Report Abuse
Since we don't have some so nice like PNB ASB....EPF is something closer
Year***Return***Addition***Balance at year end
2013**6.35%**36,000**38,286
2014**6.75%**36,000**79,300
2015**6.40%**36,000*122,679
2016**5.70%**36,000**167,724
2017**6.90%**36,000**217,781
2018**6.15%**36,000**269,389
2019**5.45%**36,000*322,032
2020**5.2%**36,000**376,650
2021**6.1%**36,000**437,821
2022**5.2%36,000**498,461
Average return 6.02%, std dev 0.61 Sharpe ratio = 0.87 using US risk free 5.49% for iCap calculation earlier.....
Assume 6% return from year 2022, next 10 years compounded at 6% will give us $ 894, 352.
2023-10-03 21:45 | Report Abuse
Annual additions 36 k....meaning keep topping up every month of 3 k.....228 installments(19 years x 12 months)
2023-10-03 21:43 | Report Abuse
Adding 36 k every year for 19 years not start with 36 k and no additionsππ
2023-10-03 18:33 | Report Abuse
Honestly, do I dare to do the same with iCapital ? ....... Teng teng....akan datang........close shop for today ππ
2023-10-03 18:32 | Report Abuse
If I can find such an investment, I will put every penny when I get my paycheck(100% allocation). Assuming, 3k per month, 36 k per year, 19 years compounded with 7% --> 1.57 million π
2023-10-03 17:24 | Report Abuse
Just that if we can find any investment with sharpe ratio of 1 with 27% deviation, to compensate for the risk, Expected return should be 32%.
2023-10-03 17:18 | Report Abuse
volatility means you may get caught if you try to time his NAV and decide timing to buy
2023-10-03 17:16 | Report Abuse
otherwise we won't buy iCap despite of the flaw claims.....just try to speak out nia....no angry ya
2023-10-03 17:15 | Report Abuse
we are realist....we know as long a return is okay la....but just cannot tahan when someone claim low risk high return...to us it's still high risk okay return la....
2023-10-03 17:07 | Report Abuse
So how ??? Good news is not negative....but to argue a low risk and high return case in a finance class....I think I will be same like Bill Gates or Steve Jobs-- a college drop out --- a rich one ππ
2023-10-03 17:05 | Report Abuse
Thank you for both Cikgu....(7%-5.49%)/27% = 0.055 < 1
2023-10-03 16:55 | Report Abuse
I am not saying it's a bad return but just that we should be more humble and tell it as it is.....I would say....dear shareholders, I promise you that you won't suffer permanent capital loss. Hang on to your seat belt when the seas are rough. When it is way too rough out there, we are going to the shore and hide for a couple of days(converting to cash)....when the sea is calmer and others are afraid, we will go out and do a few catches but we might get big fish but sometimes luck is not on our side, we might get a few kembong fish or ikan bilis. π€£π€£Cheers πΊπΊ
Stock: [ICAP]: ICAPITAL.BIZ BHD
2023-10-05 15:14 | Report Abuse
dumbMoney - thank you for correcting me.....it's on prosecutor.... the accused is already kesian enough. Paiseh....