FastMoney666

FastMoney666 | Joined since 2023-08-20

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2024-01-20 20:38 | Report Abuse

@SSLee very honest of you telling everyone that you have taken profits on Insas....May be still got momentum to go if Inari continue to lari....all the best on the remaining shares.

Ytl was stuck in 10 years bear market...when the sellers were finally exhausted, from a flip 10 year low to 10 year high and run like a mad bull but supported by fundamentals πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

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2024-01-20 20:18 | Report Abuse

TTB made investment in Airasia on behalf of iCap in 2008 and sold it in 2009 with a small profit and somehow this love for Airasia seems to be re-ignited again during Covid...both transacted during crisis but this time round when taxis grounded while rental is running is very much different.

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2024-01-20 17:20 | Report Abuse

@SSLee...haha..buy Insas better😁

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2024-01-20 14:38 | Report Abuse

I bet TTB will be smiling stu____gid gwailo......let them buy...when the price steady.....TTB will came out and claim due to his excellent fund management......iCAP remains in 1 piece. He will again claim he is the hero of small timer investors

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2024-01-20 14:34 | Report Abuse

During the recent selected counters melt down......iCAP small shareholders panic and dumped as low as 2.75....if it was not COL stepped in to buy on that day of 16 Jan 2024.....iCAP price would have crashed instead of you see a hanging man....they bought 174,900 shares. Where is TTB during that time?

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2024-01-20 14:30 | Report Abuse

The reason I put up the huge price run up was to proof a point: TTB always claims COL crashed the price by bad mouthing iCAP to buy more...

But if you look at the price action.....again and again....whenever they bought.....the price went up

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2024-01-20 14:27 | Report Abuse

@Patient Investor, the chart was posted by me laπŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚ Obviously dumbMoney is the only 1 guy you go after.

You know why I it starting from May '23? It's 3 months before a key event of the injunction was lifted(Aug '23). TTB committing something very selfish with only 1 objective that is to kill COL. He put iCap shareholder at risk by an under taking to compensate COL for the missed opportunity to buy at lower price to get an injunction to prevent COL to buy further while the court case was on-going. Do you want me to update the chart? It will look even worse on TTB if I go back another 2 years + the discount to NAV.....

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2024-01-15 20:09 | Report Abuse

O ya....I forgot tomorrow is the court case. By right they should not discuss such matter publicly like dumbMoney said especially this was published in the iCap newsletter.

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2024-01-10 20:53 | Report Abuse


>>>>>>
What shareowners should notice and acknowledge is the fact that the discount of your Fund's share price has narrowed very substantially from a high of around 40% to only about 20% recently. This did not happen by accident. It is the result of the hard work and heart work put in by Capital Dynamics and myself as the Designated Person of icapital. biz Berhad.
>>>>>

Well said Mr. Fund Manager. The discounts were narrowing, it was not by accident. Surely not by accident but got a lot of helping hands from COL by simply studying the data. It’s sickening to see the fund manager keep on claiming credits. Lembu punya susu, sapi punya nama.

Please take a look at these 3 charts in this link

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/wwb8hiq1m8x8qp96jm0c8/COL_Price_Vol.pdf?rlkey=o572yp64awjtu6tsjhjdevh7i&dl=0

Chart 1- between May 2023 till Dec 2023, there were 17 trading days with iCap’s share price shot up more than 5 sen in 1 day….that translate as strong as 3 - 8% surged especially when COL was buying after the injunction was lifted. These large price movements created a lot of breakouts. Of these 17 trading days COL buying contributed 41% of it, CDAM was buying a little here and there but only contributed to 24% - small pistol no bazooka compared to COL. Even other shareholders did a better job which contributed to 34% of these large price movements.

Chart 2 – you can see price change intensity….many of these more than lima sen price surged happened when COL was buying. When iCap started to harass the foreign investors with SICDA between mid Sept to end October, you hardly see large upward price movements.

Chart 3 – It’s even clear when you connect the dots of the price, volume, and events.

Prior to 2/8/2023 when the Fund Manager brought the lawsuit against COL and the same time trying to buy on cheap, the share price was hardly moved and discounts were getting worst from 20% to almost 40%. Pretty sure a lot of Viagra and Steroid being pump, just x naik…At the same time, the fund manager was mobilizing full propaganda against Brutus and penjajah conspiracy theory.

Here is turning point. After the Federal court thrown out iCAP appeal, the buying injunction was lifted for COL. Mama mia, iCap share price just shot up like rocket. Everybody cheers….looking forward to break $3 but he just spoilt the party. With the infinite wisdoms of the fund manager, he harassed foreign investors with SICDA. People got sick of him. One of them, Pop Investments, got an injunction from the court to stop SICDA hoax thing. With that injunction in place, COL resumed buying sikit sikit but each time they bought, it was able to create impact.

Look for the black bar in the volume.

I am really feeling sorry for COL. They had done good to help everybody to narrow the discounts between NAV and share price with a little bazooka but it was treated as enemy no 1 and painted them as a villain that will put sand in everyone’s rice bowls. What is worst, the fund manager keep running campaign to discredit them and keep on β€œblow cow”(read in Cantonese or Mandarin), let them do the discounts narrowing jobs while he kept attacking them. I think there is a limit to everything, including stxxpidity!

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2024-01-07 15:24 | Report Abuse

Putting all the emotions aside....since we are in 52WK high fever season, what will be iCAP NAV looks like if all its holdings hit 52 week high? Based on the price on 5/1 and holdings extracted from the Annual Report---> it's NAV is quite close to last week reported NAV 3.61. Given it's low portfolio turnover, we can safely deduced the NAV when all it's holdings hit 52 WK high(estimate = 4.18/share, applying 20% discount, projected share price will be 3.34)

Stock****************************************** Shares*** 5/1/2024 Price*** FValue 5/1/2024*** Price When hit 52 WK H****** Fair Value-52 WK H
'000
21 SAM Engineering & Equipment (M) Berhad *** 18,154*** 4.05*** 73,525*** 5.28*** 95,855
11 Kelington Group Berhad - Ordinary shares*** 28,383** 2.17*** 61,592*** 2.17*** 61,592
18 Padini Holdings Berhad********************** 17,007 *** 3.60*** 61,224*** 4.18*** 71,088
5 Capital A Berhad - Ordinary shares*********** 29,282*** 0.83 *** 24,304*** 1.12*** 32,796
22 Suria Capital Holdings Berhad*************** 11,894*** 1.92*** 22,837*** 2.00*** 23,789
1 Apex Healthcare Berhad********************** 3,749*** 2.60*** 14,620*** 2.63*** 9,859
2 APM Automotive Holdings Berhad*********** 4,698*** 2.91*** 13,671*** 2.98*** 13,999
24 United Plantations Berhad****************** 741*** 18.42*** 13,646*** 18.42*** 13,646
9 Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad****************** 12,430*** 2.53*** 12,579*** 2.98*** 37,042
13 Kronologi Asia Berhad 31,112 0.40 12,445 0.63 19,601
6 Capital A Berhad -
Redeemable Convertible Unsecured Islamic Debt Securities****** 9,761*** 0.85*** 8,297*** 1.09*** 10,639
12 Kelington Group Berhad - Warrants*********************** 9,461*** 0.83*** 7,805*** 0.52*** 4,872
19 Parkson Holdings Berhad********************************* 22,942*** 0.29*** 6,539*** 0.38*** 8,603
3 Bioalpha Holdings Berhad - Ordinary shares************** 49,058*** 0.11*** 5,151*** 0.13*** 6,377
23 Tong Herr Resources Berhad******************************* 1,888*** 2.37*** 4,475*** 3.25*** 6,136
15 MKH Berhad*********************************************** 2,951*** 1.45*** 4,280*** 1.49*** 4,398
17 OCK Group Berhad**************************************** 5,910*** 0.46*** 2,719*** 0.47*** 2,778
14 Luxchem Corporation Berhad***************************** 5,007*** 0.54*** 2,704*** 0.58*** 2,879
7 Capital A Berhad - Warrants******************************** 4,880*** 0.38*** 1,855*** 0.52*** 2,513
20 Salutica Berhad******************************************* 1,700** 0.81** 1,377*** 1.73*** 2,941
25 Wellcall Holdings Berhad********************************* 1,614*** 0.67*** 1,081*** 1.78*** 2,872
16 Oceancash Pacific Berhad******************************** 3,145*** 0.33*** 1,035*** 0.41*** 1,274
10 HPMT Holdings Berhad********************************** 1,803*** 0.36*** 649*** 0.45*** 802
4 Bioalpha Holdings Berhad - Irredeemable Convertible Preference Shares*** 7,665*** 0.02*** 115*** 0.06*** 422
8 EUPE Corporation Berhad**************************************** 100*** 0.88*** 88*** 0.92*** 92
****************************************TTL Shares*** 285,336*****FV 5/1/2024 358,611 *****FV 52WK H 436,866

Cash 145,722(5/1/2024) 145,722(52WK High)
Others 2,081(5/1/2024) 2,081 (52W High)
NAV 506,413(5/1/2024) 584,669 (52W High)

NAV/Share 3.617(5/1/2024) 4.18 (52 WK High)

Share price (apply 20% discount) 3.34

0 seconds ago


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2024-01-07 14:42 | Report Abuse

Haha...can buy only need to be assured that whatever they buy in excess of 20% got same right like everyone else including voting right. So they are waiting for a final ruling from the court

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2024-01-07 13:34 | Report Abuse

I hope this was zhangwin had in mind. πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

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2024-01-07 13:33 | Report Abuse

Fund manager will be caught naked... No such clause in the constitution of 20% foreign limit. In last August, when the court thrown out the fund manager lawsuit, gwailo resumed buying just a few days, it had massive breakout

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2024-01-07 11:46 | Report Abuse

So you bet gwailo can buy more? πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜

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2024-01-07 11:05 | Report Abuse

BTW, if we don't know how to evaluate iCAP, look into the technical chart. iCap newsletter says it has successfully brought through of its triangle consolidation pattern. The new target price is RM 3.6, represent 28% upside from here....wonder what will be the catalyst?

Unbelievable.....use so many tricks to talk up the share price.....waiting for John to post now

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2024-01-07 10:57 | Report Abuse

Haha....so smart people value investors got stuck with discounts together. Not so smart value investors will soar like dragon and phoenix , without having to worry about discounts or being accused as Brutus plotting to shut the fundπŸ˜…πŸ˜‚πŸ˜

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2024-01-07 00:05 | Report Abuse

Just wondering why no iCap sucker. Pay premium la, not discount. Hopefully, Ini kali lah. Pay TTB premium.

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2024-01-07 00:03 | Report Abuse

Dunno which one will be another Hong Seng. From RM .03 to 2.5, 8,322% gains, then crashed down to .03 again, 99% gone. If you try to issue warning when share price gone up from 0.03 to 0.5, people will think you are sour grape. If you issue warning again at 1, people think you must be red eyes. If you tried again to issue warning again at 2, people think you study so high, know nothing about share investment, keep your bloody mouth shut πŸ˜…

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2024-01-06 20:16 | Report Abuse

Haha...I just saw 1 very interesting name Xidelang Holdings, YTD gain 40%....This is a Chinese Shoe maker...I thought this SOB already died and berried in level 18 hell and for no reason it was resurrected....πŸ˜…

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2024-01-06 20:08 | Report Abuse

Well, Uncle Lim is crying...😭😭....Genting business was very badly hit cox all the customers gone to Bursa Malaysia

This week the Edge Weekly highlighted many counters with high turnover with loss making but generated impressive return just within 1 week....I just published top 10 with the price changed added by me comparing last trading day of 2023...29 Dec and last closing yesterday 5 Jan 2024.

Counter- Price 29-Dec-- 5-Jan-- % gain--- Share turnover %---YTD Average daily vol(mil)---PE
MMAG-- 0.095--- 0.14 --47%----26%---- 63.70--- Loss making
Fast Energy Holdings--- 0.13---0.145---12%--23%---49.50--Loss making
Green Ocean Corp---0.225--- 0.235---- 4%--20%---36.80-- Loss making
Ho Wah Genting----0.24---0.27---- 13%---17%--- 7.00--Loss making
Sarawak Cable---0.375---0.425---- 13%---16%---61.60--- Loss making
Edaran---- 0.87----1.36---- 56%---14%----8.10----- 24.5
Pasukkas Group---- 0.155---- 0.175---13%---16%--- 25.50---- Loss making
Asdison---0.105----0.125---- 19%----13%---55.90--- Loss making
Minetech Resources---- 0.145--- 0.215--- 48%---12%--- 172.90--- Loss making
DGB Asia---0.155---0.15----3%----10%---172.90----Loss making

Simple average return is 22%/week beating WB and the fund manager flat.

Chinese New Year rally is ON!

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2024-01-01 17:19 | Report Abuse

Some many fireworks .... still doing 2024 count down? πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

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2023-12-30 13:38 | Report Abuse

Everytime you air different opinions, he Macai will invite you to his den in AGM or EGM.....

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2023-12-30 13:36 | Report Abuse

There was 60% of 140 mln voting right casted yesterday. 51 mln for, 33 mln against, he got 18 mln more votes.

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2023-12-30 13:33 | Report Abuse

Forget it la....the fund manager will not listen one la...he got strong followers will back him all the time. Just like AGM or EGM....yesterday voting results on DRIP, he won hands down

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2023-12-30 11:54 | Report Abuse

These are great questions. They are trying -- not sure will succeed or not -- monetized AA brand. It will be 1 time massive gain about RM 5 bln in P&L if they succeed. Malaysia apa pun bolih?

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2023-12-30 10:35 | Report Abuse

CapA has been operating on taxi renting modelπŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚ but during Covid, they rented but parked at home while the rental was still running. They wanted to renegotiated for debt forgiveness πŸ™ˆ - if I die you die. They also suffered a lot of high costs when they restarted these grounded taxis.

About 2 weeks ago, the fund manager published CapA company analysis in his newsletter. One of them " 9M2023 cash generation however remains robust, with 9M2023 operating cash flow at more than RM 1.7 bln."

CapA is for sure is a gamble not a case for value investing. Cap A fundamentals has changed drastically, for those anchored on previous price high, it is not the fundamental that will back it up to the previous highs but it is the sentiment that will drive it up. The shareholders will risk massive dilutions when they fund it with equity.

Just a quick comment on the current liabilities on MYR 15 bln - of that 5 bln related to lease liabilities and 2 bln sales in advance(customer is lending to Cap A for free πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚) and another 1.7 billion on aircraft maintenance...in the worse case they still Tai Chi and nego for re-payment again.....But the trade and other payables 4.2 bln certainly needs to be paid else all his suppliers will stop delivery. Nett of receivables of 1 bln + 0.5 bln cash, memang x cukup. Certainly they will need to raise cash la.....first target I think 5 bln kot via SPA. Target by April 2024 per iCap newsletter analysis.

Below EBITDA - yes still have to pay for finance costs on the lese liabilities and borrowing -- so nett cash increase will not be a lot. No matter how we sliced and diced it, the best case is no bleeding but certainly need to raise more cash to meet the operating cash flow.

Full disclosure: I have neither long nor short on Cap A for now and for the future. These posts merely to point out what the fund manager had invested on behalf of the shareholders. Can win big by gambling but also can lose big when putting the chips on the wrong side.

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2023-12-30 01:24 | Report Abuse

Recently Capital A requested for extension from 31/12/2023 to 30/6/2023 to submit its regularisation plan.....The fund manager always claims about low risk, high return.....I beg to differ on this one....he committed almost 7% of fund in Capital A. It is certainly a high risk, high return bet it can exit PN 17. It's a bet on sentiment turnaround with a big gap up!

Stock: [ICAP]: ICAPITAL.BIZ BHD

1 month ago | Report Abuse

For iCAP die hard fan....in the future, you monitor yourself on what your fund manager have bought for you the combo meals on CAPA
Counter ************************************************ Qty********Cost*****Cost per share*****Price 31/10/2023*** Fair Value
Capital A Berhad - Ordinary shares******CAPITAL-A****29,282,200**24,811,409** 0.85***0.84*** 24,597,048
Capital A Berhad - Redeemable Convertible Unsecured Islamic Debt Securities
******************************************CAPITALA-LA**9,760,733**7,320,550*** 0.75*** 0.87*** 8,491,838
Capital A Berhad - Warrants**
*****************************************CAPITALA-WA***4,880,366*****0**********0******0.375*** 1,830,137
Total cost 32,131,959 Fair Value 34,919,023
Gain 2,787,064
Gain % 8.7%

Chap sang!

--------------------------

Capital A has many issues but the crux of the issue is it has negative equity. In a situation of negative equity, a company certainly cannot declare dividend and even raise concern of going concern. Hence they need to fix this first.

How big is this hole? It's about RM $ 17.3 billion, as of 30/9/2023, Capital A is still making losses about 468 million...if it keep making losses, this hole will get bigger.

However, on EBITDA basis, it made close to about $ 400 million ++/quarter or about 1.7 billion/year. This may still be able to keep them afloat but the PN17 overhang will be there.

Capital A proposed to raise about USD 1 billion + cash via SPA of a company listed in Nasdaq GMFI. They will form CAPI and combine with GMFI. CAPI will acquire 100% equity interest in Air Asia and has the right to collect royalty and responsible for the brand management. Also 100% equity interest in Fleet Consolidated Pte Ltd for the procurement and delivery of planned fleet.

They also considering equity raising exercise Philippines AirAsia and Indonesia AirAsia....

In a similar situation with AirAsia X, they had almost RM 35 billion accumulated losses and a big bulk of it was due to provision of termination claim. They did a few things. They have successfully renegotiated with creditors and at same time raised some funds. AirAsia X subsequently were profitable since Q3/2022. They undergone the capital reduction exercise. All these were the catalyst of them successful exited PN 17 and share price jumped almost 300%++ from 0.70 to as high as 2.4.

Some people wanting to bet the similar thing from 0.8++ to RM 2++, 300% profit. The key word is BET -- gamble that EBITDA will carry them through with the sufficient cash flow and be able to raise enough equity or debt, capital reduction exercise to wipe out the accumulated losses to be lifted from PN17.


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2023-12-28 09:20 | Report Abuse

NAV increases ---> All wins.

Cash dividend --> Reduces NAV, Fund Manager Losses.

Minority shareholders that don't have voting rights concern, no need to worry about dilutions for not participating in DRIP.

You control your destiny when you have cash in hand - buy more iCap when the price is lower(assuming you are still his fan-se) or invest in other shares.

Systematic way of cashing out iCAP, assuming the fund manager can grow NAV over a long if you have been thinking exiting but got stuck.

DRIP --> NAV stays the same, Fund Manager charge as % to NAV wins.

Shareholders that love the fund manager think they may continue to stay invested on dollar averaging basis.

Let the fund manager retained the cash and compound it, assuming he still has the Midas touch.

If you a big enough shareholder, gain more control over time at the expense of those do not participate in DRIP.

Tomorrow is the voting time - For or Against - DRIP. The outcome is pretty predictable - with still many old faithful, you will expect DRIP to be approved. It's a non-event.

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2023-12-25 13:55 | Report Abuse

Merry Christmas.....

Ranting here also can train our brains by sparing with the fund manager with the constant "supervision". 😎

I am kind of confused what is iCap....started with marketing of 15% CAGR return fund, then 10%, then the most innovative dividend fund and now izzit is also an ESG fund?

Peace on earth.......I shall show restraint.

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2023-12-16 10:08 | Report Abuse

Additional information: Timing - they expect to implement this by Q1 '24.

This exercise will cost shareholders RM 0.8 million - approximately 0.2% to NAV RM 3.50/share.

Para 4.4 "Save for the estimated expenses of approximately RM0.8 million to be incurred in relation to
the Proposed DRP". All these are for legal, paperwork, Aussie Prof consulting fees? Perhaps there are more coming? Don't know -🀷- better to be transparent and don't surprise shareholders or buried it under a small footnote in the future.

The language is again confusing and not direct. If you expect to incur 0.80 m, say it. Or it is an accrual instead of saying "save for" if the whole exercise is eventually not to be implemented due to various reasons.

All these are for informational purpose and certainly do not want to be blamed for opposing to the program.....as long as they return part of the cash to shareholders instead of get locked in the discounts between share price and NAV, it is a welcome initiative.

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2023-12-16 03:01 | Report Abuse

They did cause a lot of confusion with their language and did not provide price & volume when they keep mentioning about Volume wrighted average market price. However based on the illustration of fixing price 2.5819 in para 4.1, illustrative dividend of 0.096, non drip holder with 10,000 shares will get 960 cash, drip holder will get 372 shares(960/2.5819), exdividend price will be 2.604. drip holder will worth 27,009.

None Drip holder will also have 27,000=10,000*2.604+960 cash dividend.

It appears that is no discount based on the illustration though discount were mention.

Anyhow perhaps still can sign up drip and see what happens. After all we can always sell those shares but some brokerage fees will be involved. Or may be clarify in EGM.

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2023-12-14 14:47 | Report Abuse

scolding, scolding and finally iCAP announced they will convene an EGM to get shareholders to approve DRIP on 29 Dec 2023....don't think anyone will oppose, just a formality.

iCAP will stick to it's gun that those participate in DRIP may get a discount. Any shrewd shareholder will first sign on to the program, when receive the additional shares, sell it in the open market, can get more cash.

Using below illustration, if you don't participate in DRIP, you get 1,000 cash dividend
Qty of shares 10,000
Price 2.7
Dividend 0.1
Cash Dividend 1,000

If you participate in DRIP you get to buy 411.52 shares with $1,000 at 10% discount to 2.70 (in actual iCap will use average 5 trading days price)
QTY @ 10% discount 411.52
Ex-dividend 2.6
Sell 411.62 shares from DRIP $1,069.96

Additional dividend of 7% or 70 Ringgit more compare to cash dividend.

With people selling/cashing out, will this widen the discount or narrowing the discount to NAV?

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2023-12-12 13:33 | Report Abuse

After quiet for 3 weeks, no matter how quiet are his critics, JohnDough is going to continue to post angkat bakul article. So sad!

Just a couple of quick happenings update - COL tested the water by buying some small amount of shares. iCAP reaction was pending court case outcome, all shareholders can participate in DRIP. Still talking about DRIP tinge with no concrete outcome on dividend implementation date.

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2023-11-21 08:05 | Report Abuse

My condolences to all long time shareholders πŸ˜“

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2023-11-20 22:32 | Report Abuse

So dropping earnings, dilutive ROE, increased borrowing, increased working capital, declining dividend got people so upset. Those without any position is not affected buy those bought at higher price suddenly suffered capital loss with lesser dividend πŸ€•πŸ˜«

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2023-11-20 22:28 | Report Abuse

The trouble begin when they injected HR Owen UK into Sports Toto, built RM100 million showroom, increased borrowing to stock up super cars by up to 500 mln. So it changed completely on the Sports Toto that we know in the past 30+ years. It was started I think around 1985. In the past it was like 3 billion revenue and now with the supercar car dealer another 3 billion but only earning 2%, this surely will dilute ROE. One way to look at it is building the second earning engine, hence they need to retain more of its earning. The past dividend easily 0.20/share paying out all from the earnings but now 0.09/share on 0.16 on EPS.

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2023-11-20 21:29 | Report Abuse

My apology... Missed out the earnings.. Earnings just improved followed by 80% payout... But of course if earnings can go up a lot more, even at 60% payout, share price will move upwardly.. Paiseh.. Hopefully didn't disgrace your sifu yeahπŸ™πŸ™πŸ™

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2023-11-20 20:48 | Report Abuse

Back to Sports Toto, if we want to see RM 2 again, Sports Toto needs to go back to 80% payout ratio or at least RM 0.13-0.15/share. This is based on logic of M & M theorem that I have just learnt.

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2023-11-20 20:43 | Report Abuse

Since iCAP representative Patient Investor said I no longer need the minimum 1 share, even with ZERO share, I still can rant here.πŸ™Œ

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2023-11-20 20:40 | Report Abuse

BTW, sorry that I am very lazy to go to other counters. Generally, I will talk all things about "value investing" in this channel. So it is going to be rojak and will contaminate this blog as it will no longer purely on iCap

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2023-11-20 20:36 | Report Abuse

@RealValueInvestor - well said. πŸ‘βœŒ

My condolences though, you have earned a doggy badge and will be treated as public #1 enemy.

I just gave a suggestion to those dividend yield seeker to look into Sports Toto as the market was smart enough to figure out that the moustache man dragged a cash cow into HR Owen, a supercar dealer, that drained the cash. As a result, the dividend payout ratio from the past 80-100% to only about 60%. ROE from 80-100% to 50-60% and now 20%. HR Owen only a 2% margin business......Obviously the market got upset by repricing the risk, price has been adjusted down to the same past yields. The fundamental of the business has changed but yield has not changed....remains at 6%.

Then I get blasted with the long message.....thinking I am talking down iCAP again.

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2023-11-19 08:00 | Report Abuse

Dividend? Better to bet on the moustache man Sports Toto lo.....shares fallen to 10 years low from $4+(Year 2013) to $ 1.50 now, whopping 64% drop with 6% dividend yield. Management is very busy doing SBB πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

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2023-11-17 16:04 | Report Abuse

"bu zhi tau" cox FM like buat x tau

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2023-11-17 15:01 | Report Abuse

Just a quick one on iCAP 2022 vs 2023. You may need to refer to Annual Report 2023 page 42.

Investment 2023 RM 328 mln vs 2022 283 mln + 45 mln + 16%

But don't be too happy about it because he reduce cash from 164(2022) to 148 mln(2023) - 16 mln

His rough investment increase was only +29 mln or 10%.....

Because of him sitting on 37% cash in 2022, he could only translate roughly about 6+% to overall NAV.

If someone who will never fully invested, say only 70% in investment and 30% cash, he needs 22% on his 70% investment to achieve 15%. To do 22% invested stocks, he will be a true WB.

Next , please refer to page 54 and 55 on his stars and dogs. Portfolio increase roughly + 89 mln

Major stars
Padini + 58 mln
Sam Engineering + 49 mln
Kelington +24 mln

These 3 contributed to unrealized profits of 131 mln.

His dogs
Parkson -20 mln
APM -8 mln
BioAlpha -8 mln

These 3 unrealized losses of -36 mln

Plus realized losses on Boustaed -17 mln, this give total losses of -53 mln

The rest of stocks in the portfolio + or - , just marginal gains la...

His winning/losing rate is about 60/40%

If the FM is still dreaming of achieving 15% CAGR since its inception, based on his conservative of 70% invested, he needs roughly about 31% CAGR on his invested portfolio for the next 18 years. Based on 60/40 win/loss rate, I wish him all the best.

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2023-11-17 12:12 | Report Abuse

@JunHohohoho - In general you can check in the 2023 Annual Report but after the annual report was issued, we are not sure whether the fund manager sold or buy any stocks. Usually if a fund manager is having extremely low turnover portfolio, you can use his annual report as a guide. You should be able to figure out his quantity and value and substitute with the most recent price if you like to see how close to the reported NAV. In general, when we buy a fund, we will do hands off approach. The logic is the fund manager is better than us, other wise it is pretty dummy of us pay the FM the fees and we do the works.

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2023-11-15 16:07 | Report Abuse

That was what the FM did, assuming in 2014 the FM was unable to read the tea leaves well, stayed with cash 50-60% since then. Different investors will have different choice in responding to this scenario.

Investor A. She got the message, fund manager was either bearish or unclear of the future and started to liquidate the position at 10,000 shares @ 2.30, keep in FD for 10 years @ 3% --> become 30,910, bought back at $2(40% discounts) = 15,955 shares and valued at last price of 2.69 = 42,919. Gains = 87%

Investor B. Hold it long for the past 10 years growing old together, pledge his loyalty with the FM enjoying his wisdom speeches in AGM, scolding the gweilo, dogs, cats and wreckers year after year. Gains = 17% (2.69-2.3)/2.3*100%.

Return difference between investor A & B = 70%

What was your response?

Stock

2023-11-15 08:11 | Report Abuse

Not sure how the FM got into thinking the injunction filed by Pop Investments got help by a group of local running stealth dogs. If any, these dogs must be pretty amazing, they read laws that even professional lawyers taken their inputs seriously. The best thing, the judge agreed with them allowing the injunction.

Don't play, play. 😎

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By allowing the last minute injunction against iCap, the court appears to be aiding and abetting the foreigners, but to protest this will be in contempt, so just blame the foreigners for disrupting their well planned scheme to deprive some shareholders of the rightful votes at the AGM as provided for in the constitution.
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Stock

2023-11-14 23:04 | Report Abuse

☝for the benefits of others who want to know more as you often heard about this M&M theorem. It's one of the finance backbone we use it so often and taken it for granted.