ITreeinvestor

ITreeinvestor | Joined since 2017-07-31

Investing Experience Intermediate
Risk Profile Moderate

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Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

A Rising Tide Floats All Boats

FPSO clients are increasingly favouring asset ownership over
leasing due to limited contractor availability and financing
challenges. Hence, the barrier of entry to the FPSO market has
also risen for potential new entrants. The tight FPSO market
remains favorable for existing players. We maintain our forecasts,
TP of RM3.39 and OUTPERFORM call.

We came away from meeting with Energy Maritime Associates (EMA)
organised by YINSON feeling more reassured about the FPSO market
outlook. The key takeaways are as follows:

1. A trend is emerging where clients (end-users of FPSO assets) opt
to own the FPSOs, securing contractors' services solely for the
Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) phase of the
project. In both 2022 and 2023, a total of 11 contracts followed this
structure, with clients taking ownership of the assets. This shift may
be attributed to a shortage of capacity among FPSO contractors
and increased challenges in obtaining debt financing from banks,
likely influenced by Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG)
considerations.

2. Traditional banks are increasingly reluctant to provide debt
financing to FPSO contractors due to growing (ESG) concerns.
This reluctance raises entry barriers for new players aiming to enter
the FPSO market, given the substantial capex required for such
projects. Established FPSO players with proven track records are
exploring alternative financing avenues, such as project bond
instruments, private equity funding, and prepayments by clients on
their leases and this has led to limited FPSO players bidding for
new FPSO jobs unless the IRR is attractive enough.

3. The FPSO market is anticipated to remain tight in 2024, as
indicated by EMA's survey, revealing record-high industry
confidence. About 93% of clients express confidence in their
companies' outlook, a notable increase in 2024 from 77% in 2023.
Easing concerns of inflation in 2024 suggest that the prices of
spare parts and labour will not experience the same rapid
increase seen in 2023. Consequently, FPSO contract awards may
also see a YoY increase in 2024, surpassing the six awards
recorded in 2023.

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

EPF start selling after their briefing meeting

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

Post Briefting Result from VS.

Key customers updates
In 4QCY23 (Oct-Dec), Customer X's orders sharply declined, impacting VSI's
1HFY24 (FYE Jul) performance. Management expects the weakness to
remain in the near term

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

After an analyst briefing yesterday, we reduced FY24F-26F
earnings by 12%/7%/9% to account for weaker sales orders
from VSI’s key customers and lower profit margin assumptions
to reflect lower economies of scale.

 Specifically, VSI’s 1HFY24F revenue will be impacted mainly by
VSI’s key customer, Customer X (which account for 25%-30%
of VSI’s FY24F revenue), as a result of its high inventory levels
coupled with current weak consumer sentiments, especially in
Western regions due to elevated inflation and interest rates.

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

Bumi Armada Berhad refers to its previous disclosures regarding its 30% associated company, Armada 98/2 Pte Ltd and wishes to announce that the Armada Sterling V FPSO has successfully achieved “First Oil” production on 7 January 2024. Following this, the Armada Sterling V FPSO will commence the necessary acceptance tests to achieve Final Acceptance, which is required for the vessel charter to commence. We will make further announcements regarding the matter as appropriate.



The announcement is dated 10 January 2024.

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

yea tothemoon, it need another 2 quarters for dividend to come.

Trend in past 9 quarters
-268,748 -446,514 -565,284 -766,294 -976,975 -1,126,698 -1,312,948 -1,498,705 -1,616,706

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

(Jan 3): Bumi Armada Bhd is poised for sequential earnings growth in the coming quarters, amid better quarter-on-quarter contributions from the Armada Kraken floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) unit, and first oil being achieved in Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd's KG-DWN-98/2 in the coming weeks.

Stock

2023-12-07 10:06 | Report Abuse

Latest update from ONGC, oil production will be commence in Dec 2023.

Stock

2023-12-07 10:05 | Report Abuse

#ONGC is eyeing commencement of #Oil production from its flagship deepwater project KG-98/2 Development Project in December 2023.

Gas production from Project has already commenced in March 2020 with plan of further ramping up by May 2024.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/oilandnaturalgascorporation_ongc-oil-ongcjeetegatohjeetegaindia-activity-7137463703498596352-aHSb

Stock

2023-11-22 08:39 | Report Abuse

Bollywood dance again

Stock

2023-11-17 09:59 | Report Abuse

Due to the vessel’s idle status,
management notes that it has been receiving standby payments since March 2023

Stock

2023-11-17 09:59 | Report Abuse

From Aminvest report : The group’s 30%-owned FPSO Armada Sterling V is expected to see first oil by 21st November, which will be followed
by the vessel acceptance test which may take up to 3 days.

Stock

2023-11-17 09:14 | Report Abuse

Highlight from Maybank: we are forecasting a record-high core net profit of MYR853m in FY24E

Stock

2023-11-16 14:26 | Report Abuse

Armada will turn into netcash company after 5-7 quarters.

Stock

2023-11-16 14:25 | Report Abuse

• Net gearing at 0.72x is the lowest since Q2 2015.

Stock

2023-11-12 16:36 | Report Abuse

McDermott has been awarded a transportation and installation contract by the Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) for the KG-DWN-98/2 development project, located off the east coast of India.

Under the scope of the contract, McDermott will perform the transportation and installation of a central processing platform (CPP) and living quarters. Once installed, the CPP will be used to process wet gas which will then be transferred from the platform to an onshore terminal.

Stock

2023-11-09 09:43 | Report Abuse

The current operated assets as follow:

3 wholly owned FPSOs
Armada TGT1
Armada Kraken
Armada Olombendo

5 jointly owned FPSOs
Armada Sterling I
Armada Sterling II
Karapan Armada Sterling III
Armada Sterling V
Armada LNG Mediterrana

2 construction vessels
Armada Installer
Armada Constructor

Stock

2023-08-10 14:39 | Report Abuse

to account for the decline in household spending. Our TP is reduced to RM1.16 after rolling over our valuation base year to 7x

Stock

2023-07-21 09:54 | Report Abuse

Kenanga Report
KUALA LUMPUR: The ongoing restoration of Bumi Armada Bhd's Armada Kraken floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel could put the facility's operations back on track within the next one or two months, says Kenanga Research.

In a note, the research firm said it is positive over the progressive restoration of the Kraken FPSO's production, which cushions concerns of a major financial impact to Bumi Armada.

This comes following the offshore service provider's announcement yesterday that it had reconditioned and reinstalled a hydraulic submersible pump (HSP) transformer on the vessel, which brought its operating level back to 90% of pre-shutdown levels.

"We applaud Bumi Armada for reinstating operations close to full capacity in less than two months since the first shut-in announcement," said Kenanga in its company update.

On June 2, 2023, Bumi Armada announced that the Kraken FPSO had experienced a production shut-in following the failure of its HSP transformer unit, guiding that that there would be material impact resulting from the Kraken's shut-in.

By June 21, the Kraken achieved start-up and was able to operate at about 60% of its pre-shutdown levels.

Kenanga said it factored in a partial loss of bareboat charter income from the Kraken for June to August 2023, which is reflected by a "benign" 9% impact in its current forecasts


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Following the latest update, Kenanga said it maintained its "outperform" recommendation and sum-of-parts target price of 62 sen a share.

"We like Armada for sustained traction in its efforts to deleverage its balance sheet (current net gearing: 0.8x), long-term earnings visibility from substantial orderbook in excess of RM20bil (including extension options), and it being the leading contender for a US$1bil EPCC contract for FPSO Cameia," it said.

However, it cautioned that investor sentiment may still be dragged lower by the possibility that the financial impact of the Kraken shut-in may be larger than expected.

It said there could also be substantial vessel repair and maintenance costs that are not fully covered by insurance, while client Enquest may request for reimbursement or impose penalties on Bumi Armada.

Stock

2023-07-20 15:47 | Report Abuse

remember buy the rumor and sell the news.

Stock

2023-07-07 09:02 | Report Abuse

Trade receivable almost as large as 1 quarter of revenue. Logic?
Especially the receivable is from China.

Stock

2023-06-27 11:56 | Report Abuse

We slash our earnings forecast for FY23F-25F by 23-42%, to account for the decline in household spending. Our TP is reduced to RM1.16

Stock

2023-06-22 22:56 | Report Abuse

Niki, where you get the update? Enquest IR or the xxx at Enquest, who operate the Kraken field
------------------------------------------------------------------
nikicheong A positive update, the Armada Kraken FPSO is targeted to return to full production in the matter of weeks, not months. We're looking at between the next 2 to 4 weeks.

Stock

2023-06-22 09:00 | Report Abuse

Trust your own research and the rest to do is wait patiently

Stock

2023-06-22 08:59 | Report Abuse

niki, no need wait for any research report. We all know well where armada can reach =)

Stock

2023-06-13 16:14 | Report Abuse

announcement later , tommorow open 0.60

Stock

2023-06-09 14:59 | Report Abuse

niki, please note that there are plan to restart this week. This doesn't mean 100% work as they did try restart before this but fail

Stock

2023-06-08 19:24 | Report Abuse

Do not forget EnQuest chat actually is just another public forum like i3investor.

News & Blogs

2022-11-29 12:03 | Report Abuse

The fact is CPO price hardly go up further.
At the same time cost of production is surging due to
1) high fernitiser price
2) min. wages raise from RM1,200 to Rm1,500

Stock

2022-11-25 10:20 | Report Abuse

Y23Q1 another additional profit coming in.

30%-owned Armada Sterling V (the remaining 70% owned by Oil and Natural Gas Corporation) has sailed away in early November this year and is expected to arrive in the east coast of Kakinada, offshore India by the end of 2022. This paves the path for maiden earnings contributions from the vessel from 1QFY23 onwards.

Stock

2022-11-24 14:25 | Report Abuse

Dun forget that no more Kraken & TGT shutdown for maintenance in next quarters.

Adjustments:
Net allowance for impairment: +RM4.5m
Reduction in residual vessels (fully owned): +RM25.9m
Reduction in residual vessels (JV and associates): +RM45.1m
Unrealised FX Gain: -RM8.2m

Adjusted Core Net Profit: RM217.0m

Stock

2022-11-23 11:21 | Report Abuse

AGM22 : Serving Shopee staffs reduce 40% from 1500 to 900.

Impact will been reflect in coming quarters.

Stock

2022-11-14 14:52 | Report Abuse

expected higher profit in coming quaters.............

Mr Targett responded to further queries from the shareholders as follows:-
(a) Foreign currency effect on the Company’s business - 85% of the Company’s revenue was denominated in USD. Generally, if the USD strengthens, BAB net profit would strengthen.

Stock

2022-11-03 14:23 | Report Abuse

ARMADA | 长期被低估的股票?解决这三个问题市值绝对会爆炸!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5JxPqhP9Pe4

Stock

2022-11-03 12:09 | Report Abuse

US stocks end sharply lower as Fed hints at more rate hikes

Stock

2022-11-03 11:34 | Report Abuse

(吉隆坡2日讯)立通国际(REDTONE,0032,创业板)建议从创业板转往主板上市,预计明年首季完成。

董事局相信,转主板上市将提升公司的声望、信誉及声誉,并获得客户、供应商、业务伙伴、金融机构及投资者等更大认可。

Stock

2022-10-07 09:23 | Report Abuse

will not official due to NDA signed, Management will not divulge such sensitive information

Stock

2022-10-07 09:06 | Report Abuse

shopee is one of major customer for scicom. it will be huge impact to revenue.

Major customers
Four individual customers representing 7%of total customers contributed 72% of the Group’s revenue.

Stock

2022-05-06 08:40 | Report Abuse

Start from Apr2022 Suria earning will reduce due to 3.4 million tax penalty !!!

It was further resolved that the LHDNM be and is hereby authorised to utilise the RPGT of RM25,838,520.65 which the Company had paid to the LHDNM in 2015 for year assessment 2013 in respect of the First Transaction, to be discharged by LHDNM and to be set-off against the Initial Payment of RM18,638,520.65 on or before 31 March 2021 as well as the twelve (12) instalments of RM600,000.00 each month for the months of April 2021 to March 2022.

The Company will only commence the monthly cash instalment of RM1,162,000.00 from April 2022 until February 2024 with final cash instalment of RM1,163,077.10 in March 2024.

Stock

2022-04-11 14:19 | Report Abuse

Y22 Mahsing earning will be drag down by their glove segment.

News & Blogs

2022-04-10 13:40 | Report Abuse

Even palm oil at RM3000 is more than enough for plantation company to make handsome profit.
Same goes to oil & gas company with oil price at USD 65.

Stock

2022-04-06 14:21 | Report Abuse

BNM okays start of talks in MBSB's planned MIDF buy from PNB

Stock

2022-04-06 14:21 | Report Abuse

国行准马建屋洽购MIDF

News & Blogs

2022-03-16 10:11 | Report Abuse

@Tan KW Thank you for the feedback , the link did bring us back to legacy site main page, but once we click on other things like "Price Target" it still bring us back to new interface.

Stock

2022-03-15 08:44 | Report Abuse

9 months no new contract award, last contract get is June-21.
we can foresee huge drop in revenue and profit in coming quarters.

News & Blogs