“When my information changes, I alter my conclusions. What do you do, sir?” - either Lord Keynes or Paul Samuelson. Or both. As me again when my information changes
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2015-10-05 14:15 | Report Abuse
ah con ah, can summarise in petaling street terms or not? so today we will further up or back down? wanna call my kakis but have to tell them tonight we drink whisky or toddy
2015-10-05 14:13 | Report Abuse
duit: market is never fair right? thats y we can profit from it
if market is fair there will never be an undervalued FA counter, no elliot wave catching up to market info, no goreng goreng our maggi money counters
iirc correctly from my economics class (which i failed by the way, thats y became a hamtai seller at chee cheong kai), that is if Efficient Market Hypothesis holds
2015-10-05 14:01 | Report Abuse
sorry forgot duitKWSPkita only lend 6.7B, the rest comes from duitKWAPdiaorang and KhazanahBNasional
2015-10-05 14:00 | Report Abuse
$: i thought u went in to the conference of bomohs? they seemed to be absent last week
basically everytime KLCI goes up in the current upleg ppl credit the bomohs and their 20B you lend them because ppl believe that no way we can go up with the 1XYZ company scandal, the political impasse, etc etc while i observe most of those days we actually perform in line with our regional EM peers...
so if the CI is just being pushed along in the EM crowd, then our bomohs must be sleeping! fire them please
2015-10-05 13:52 | Report Abuse
the bomohs can be urban legend on some days, like when we rise and fall in line with FA40 trend.
today, FA40 up 2%+, we only 0.6%, so we are lagging. if there are bomohs they are busy sleeping. or have trouble opening up a coconut. someone lend them a parang pls
2015-10-05 13:46 | Report Abuse
FED results is quite well predicted by the market, now a hike in 2015 is only about 33% (down from 50% before Friday)
2015-10-05 13:42 | Report Abuse
hahahah that day very funny story, sifu Duit pass by AmProp house, did his trademark Chow Yuen Fatt move by lighting a cigar with a brand new Series2009A $100 USD bill, after he was done, the smoldering note dropped on cc house, half of it burnt down but we took the time to redecorate and today up up and much better dy
2015-10-05 13:37 | Report Abuse
drogonfai - that was the view two quarters ago that Fed rates will hit 1% in 2016. Check the latest projection - most of the Fed members have outlook at less than 1% in 2016 (eg max 0.5% hike) and one of them actually place his dot in the negative region, implying QE4
In the topsy turvy world right now when bad news is good news and good news is bad news, the bad news in job last week may just be the catalyst for another rally
2015-10-05 13:28 | Report Abuse
Good afternoon all in CC house, just manage to check in, and check market, hoped everyone had a good morning session on rchi's great call on johotin.
What an eventful Sunday night, but hope that is all water under the bridge now, important is we all learn together and work out those kinks
difference in opinions is actually good, like the market always need to find equilibrium between buy and sell, strategy also need difference in opinions to test the right move, so thankfully we are on a cautiously bullish consensus, at least in shortish term
2015-10-04 00:17 | Report Abuse
looks like this CC house a lot of very hardworking teachers and students
i like doing homework on weekends, dont have to look at the constant sea of data
2015-10-04 00:06 | Report Abuse
i am sure the message from our yang berhormat is, dengan izin,
dulu rugi beli, hari ini cepat ong mali
looking further into the crystal $ ball, the meaning of the number is "MEDICINE MORTAR"
2015-10-02 18:21 | Report Abuse
Actually I dont understand the doom and gloom.
I still dividends on the stocks I hold.
I still get salary and my majikan also still hiring people. Order is good.
Do you read everywhere ppl say they lose their jobs? Because of USDMYR, because of 1MDB, because of 2.6B?
No right?
Is our PM a factor? He never got credit for KLCI almost touching 1900 but definitely hit record high. Now KLCI back down, but still 30% higher than when he took office. So will KCLI down because of he is PM? Is who is PM really data or noise?
CPI core vs non core, Interest rate, PMI, employment rate, GDP growth, fiscal deficit, trade surplus, etc these are data
A lot of other things are just noise.
Read the market properly. There are still a lot of very smart and capable people running this country and its private companies.
2015-10-02 17:08 | Report Abuse
index closed at 1628.8
setting a nice stage for every to 8 next week..
have a nice weekend everyone
2015-10-02 09:55 | Report Abuse
thanks sifu tm, am watching carefully for sign of a broad reversal
FA40 pulledback 1% so not looking that good for us.
Contrary to popular belief,there are limited leeway for local witchdoctors to push opposite regional and global forces
2015-10-02 09:04 | Report Abuse
sifu trustme, i will take 1639 today! but give us a short green bar, we can have a short red on Monday (day 5) and run to exhaustion from there
2015-10-02 08:38 | Report Abuse
Oh yeah Happy Friday. Happy Flyday
Still early in the upleg, day 4/13. Too bad we can't see more this week.
2015-10-02 08:31 | Report Abuse
Totally agree on fiscal measures, will beat ValueCap's impact on the market.
Today we should be on day 4 of the upleg, so lets start waking the juggernaut C12, the dinosaur king of the c-warrants
2015-10-02 08:07 | Report Abuse
Goooooooooodddddddddddddd mmmmoooorrrrnnnniiiiinnnnnggggg yy
and goooooooooodddddddddddddd mmmmoooorrrrnnnniiiiinnnnnggggg to everyone in CC house
today, 1650 and everyone huat ahhhh
2015-10-02 07:26 | Report Abuse
Above previous high of 1692, of course.
Posted by eagle100 > Oct 1, 2015 10:29 PM | Report Abuse
btw, bro skyhawk's target is what? 1660?
2015-10-01 22:25 | Report Abuse
Hahaha talking about drinks, if index hits sifu Hawk's target, will pull a bottle of VCP or Moet out.
If it hits sifu twobits & trustme's, will reach for the Absolut - cheapest way to drown sorrows. Then sober up and pull all my duitKWSPaku that I can and dump into the highest index leveraged fund that I can legally do every quarter, execute a reverse capital flight and buy all those poor bigcaps looking for a good home for the next 2 years.
2015-10-01 22:18 | Report Abuse
I don't think who Apanama is linked or not linked to, he is here to share with us his experience and wisdom; be grateful for the insights and tips
Seriously, C12 is the lowest premium call warrants despite the long life (and therefore less affected by theta decay)
The reason it doesnt move? People are still scared to go long on anything, therefore it will have to work harder to move up compared to those MM counters with huge gearings.
Over the last month C12 have been kind to me, for that I will be grateful, a few hundred a week, just timing ins and outs over the T+3 cycle. Disclosure: I do that for HK as well, so not philosophically biased, just that there's value in things. C12 is the steady movement, HK requires faster timing to catch the herd mentality
2015-10-01 15:00 | Report Abuse
sifu Rchi!!!
That is a big nasty gun from Doom!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BFG_(weapon)
2015-10-01 14:58 | Report Abuse
just remember to keep d swagger always :-)
i lose until pants also pawned dy, now wear sarong only when out paparazzing, still will keep d swagger
and sifu or not do speak up, last time i also paiseh ... but have to say thank you at least after all d generous sifus simus here share share
Posted by bostyle > Oct 1, 2015 02:50 PM | Report Abuse
Haha bfg9000, no sifu. I'm newbie trying to learn from all of you. Thank you for thinking my bo style name very style, but actually is lose/win money also no style. xD
2015-10-01 14:56 | Report Abuse
if got batu api can i fan d flames?
d bigger d fire d better d goreng
but seriously, having 2 sides presented make the better conclusion
2015-10-01 14:48 | Report Abuse
tuan guru apanama recommending green packet ... can any of our in house chart master pls help set entry / cut loss / tps? cheers
2015-10-01 14:47 | Report Abuse
welcome bostyle, another new sifu?
yr name quite style, so i dont think it means bo style, it shd means banyak original style?
2015-10-01 14:41 | Report Abuse
this mat rempit paparazzi also have an uptrend view, for all its worth
the scandal photo orders index have not spiked so no strong interest to distract
the newspaper circulation that pays my commission also holding strong, so most malaysians still willing to pay 1.50 for what they can get free faster, online
the number of cars on the road also on uptrend, disturbing my celebrity chasing efficiency, so work rate is a bit hindered by that
in other words, no hints of a recession. slower growth maybe, but no recession, else i will suddenly find 10 more competitors (basically ppl who paid for an SLR on hire purchase and have trouble financing it)
Posted by duitKWSPkita > Oct 1, 2015 02:28 PM | Report Abuse
ya lo...tsy88 babe...
when is bangku day??? I jz came back la.. cant feel the market yet.... Think market is stable and cantik....
However, in the house not many have uptrend view except Hawk and Duit plus Connie(last upleg before the middle leg down)
2015-10-01 14:08 | Report Abuse
Its better not to subsidise, or even to tax petrol, and spend the savings/income on an expansionary budget, since our market can actually live with RM2.3-2.5/L
Fiscal measures work better than propping up the market with ValueCap, which sounds like putting a cap on value
Posted by SS1967 > Oct 1, 2015 01:51 PM | Report Abuse
Why our petrol price keep rising? today up 10 cents! RON95 RM2.05 now!
2015-10-01 11:51 | Report Abuse
connie and duit, my motor is already waiting near Shangri-la.
Just now pretend to look for people, saw Connie's name in the Lafite reservation list. Already curi take photo
Now just waiting for d stars to show up. Pls make sure take lift, can say adjourned straight to the presidential suite after lunch
2015-10-01 11:33 | Report Abuse
hahaha ah con, pls make sure got hold hands ya
in this business age is not a problem, we just spin it as Faye Wong-Nicholas Tse inspired romance, big photo of u two with small insert of them
ALl d chinese small newspapers can sell a lot more this weekend
2015-10-01 11:22 | Report Abuse
Master duit, hope bfgwong@gamil.com can make it to your regular list
2015-10-01 11:21 | Report Abuse
Hahaha paparazzin, follow car can lah. Last time have to lug big camera, now just handphone can ah. Later see Duit and Connie's photo on newspaper, outside some hotel, yeah, that will be my payday.
But no worries, nothing too compromising. Just need some capital for CBIP
Posted by Coldrisks > Oct 1, 2015 11:18 AM | Report Abuse
Duit, be careful bfg9000, secret agent, fbi, can sniff your true identity..hahaha
2015-10-01 11:19 | Report Abuse
Master Duit, formulate, previously no strategy just simply taruk here and there, portfolio's a mess. Hahaha, so certainly cannot qualify as master. Only a poor student. Been a poor student for a long long time. So now thankfully u take pity so i can get BR1Duit
2015-10-01 11:00 | Report Abuse
Thanks Master Duit! Clear explanation. Will formulate accordingly.
Btw haven't received your handouts, please add bfgwong@gmail.com to your mailing list. Many thanks!
2015-10-01 10:28 | Report Abuse
Duit, what do you think of FGV-C7 brought high. How to escape or hold?
2015-09-30 22:44 | Report Abuse
Today's nett buyers are local retail investors.
Now, lets think, huge relief rally all over the world, money flowing into equities from retail players and casual investors... now, who wants to collect all the put warrants they will be dumping?
2015-09-30 22:41 | Report Abuse
Copying from Connie's house
Posted by indicators > Sep 30, 2015 06:25 PM | Report Abuse
Thank You Ms Connie to update on this week Bursa Trading .
Daily Trading Participation (30/09/2015) Wednesday
(Brought / Sold / Net )
14.41 % Local Retail - 371.93/344.99/Net 26.94
47.49 % Local Institution - 1171.56/1190.27/Net Sell 18.71
38.10 % Foreign - 943.36 / 951.59 /Net Sell 8.23
Daily Trading Participation (29/09/2015) Tuesday
(Brought / Sold / Net )
17.93 % Local Retail - 349.1/357.83/Net Sell 8.73
52.80 % Local Institution - 1153.59/928.73/Net 224.86
29.27 % Foreign - 469.19/685.32/Net Sell 216.13
Daily Trading Participation (28/09/2015) Monday
(Brought / Sold / Net )
22.09 % Local Retail - 358.17/329.15/Net 29.02
54.24 % Local Institution - 930.33/788.11/Net 142.22
29.26 % Foreign - 267.08 / 438.32 /Net Sell 171.24
2015-09-30 17:45 | Report Abuse
Master Duit, thank you for the kind advice, will formulate my strategy accordingly - some hot money for shorter run and majority warm money for plantation play.
What do you think about IT sector? Some thinks it is a little more resilient in a down market, but our local ones seem even more volatile
2015-09-30 16:42 | Report Abuse
FOMC member Dudley will speak tonight at 8pm Malaysian time, and US oil inventories data due at 10.30pm
Keep an eye on it tonight!
2015-09-30 14:25 | Report Abuse
Thank you dear Connie, your case for the upleg is like prayers for us C-holders, as it means a rebound higher than 1692! Been holding so long that in between already did hit and run on HK, twice!
2015-09-30 10:46 | Report Abuse
Hahaha, Tuan Risiko Sejuk, I am only a lowly paparazzi investigating an online forum populated by hot chicks and dashing men, based on a tip off that they are trading on swings, twin tops, twin bottoms, penetrations and withdrawals.
Posted by Coldrisks > Sep 30, 2015 10:25 AM | Report Abuse
fbg9000, you must be the president of FBI then, information like about duit also you can get, salute..
2015-09-30 10:12 | Report Abuse
Actually he is one of the FOMC member and president of one of the Federal Reserve banks. Gonna tighten the noose and find out which one soon. Just need to see who gets to give Yellen a massage the next time.
He also owns 40% of Econsave; when he does the "gemba" walk to check on the trading floors he likes to sweep and mop mop a bit, in order to embarass his managers into action. So, his description is although a humility of epic proportions, he is also not lying
Posted by region > Sep 30, 2015 10:07 AM | Report Abuse
duit i salute ^^v.... u dont always pretended as econ staff wash floor....i think u r the kwsp Fund Director. u dont gah gah tipu me n simon...u always can manipulated klci i two hand n two leg salute
2015-09-30 10:08 | Report Abuse
Coldrisk, I think sifu duit closed his C1 and Cz positions yesterday, which I think was a good move while waiting for indicators from Eurozone and Yankeezone
2015-09-30 09:40 | Report Abuse
The adjustment is healthy, from a market addicted to cheap or almost free money, to fuel a highly inflated asset market mainly in equities.
What is happening is a correction, not a crash.
2015-09-30 09:19 | Report Abuse
US banking system, supported by a robust housing market and a healthy economy, will definitely not collapse. EU banking system, with their QE and transfer of risky debts to Euro governments, is also in pretty good shape.
Unlike 2008 where there's a toxic pool of questionable debt, the banking sector is now sitting on top of very accommodating central banks who are no longer afraid to print money (QE) if it needs to be.
The only issue for US is the missing inflation. In any other situation, high growth, low inflation is a good news.
Collapse?
Please go read a bit.
2015-09-30 01:09 | Report Abuse
tan1983
Just sharing some tips for life:
Rule no 1 is to understand what you are buying
Rule no 2 is to look up thing you don't understand - in this case, theta decay
Rule no 3 is to find a profession that suits your strength. Since you are so keen for people to believe you and your doomsday scenario, you will find better success as a religious cult leader than an investor or trader. Or you could be a tour guide specializing in bringing people to Holland
Posted by tan1983 > Sep 30, 2015 12:20 AM | Report Abuse
Ants will never understand human world
Haha
No buy sell call
Just see and believe
And wait for next round cycle in 4-6 years later:)
2015-09-29 17:39 | Report Abuse
duit - hahahah another serial begger for donations? looks like we're in good company here
donations earned in Bursa is not taxable, and unlike donations from Arabs doesn't need to be explained or take religious oath, so i'm all for begging for donations
hopefully more coming in the Connie's upleg ^^
2015-09-29 17:19 | Report Abuse
hahaha rchi i already sapu a few rounds the small change spilling out of your full pockets dy, have to be grateful mah.
duit, in 1997 i was like begging adults for sweets and wondering why i used to get 4 sweets for 20 cents now only get 3, so ok ler, let u go first, i follow behind, then can sapu the small change spilling out of your full pockets also hahaaha
CHRISSYCONN
2015-10-05 14:42 | Report Abuse
hahaha bro Duit,
market not fair only can trade, if market fair no seller or buyer can untung, then cannot trade .. trading will be like if u want to change your $100 notes in your spare change pocket with the only money i own, some $5 notes, $1 notes and a lot of coins, any combination u want