cgtan2020

cgtan2020 | Joined since 2013-10-20

Investing Experience Advanced
Risk Profile Not Disclosed

Investing in KLSE since 1992, long and fruitful journey.

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2024-01-15 11:24 | Report Abuse

@Plantermen a lot of the details on NVIDIA's AI DC still unclear, the MSP maybe is just what Kenanga Research speculate on.

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2024-01-15 09:34 | Report Abuse

PETALING JAYA: Foreign funds continue pouring into YTL Power International Bhd making it the top gainer among FBM KLCI-linked stocks on the local bourse this year.

In the year-to-date period, YTL Power’s shares had gained more than 44% at last Friday’s close and the gains have sustained amid some cautiousness from local investors who have been net sellers of the stock since the beginning of the year.

After an impressive 250% gain last year, the rally appears set to continue for the company, which has gradually seen a change in its growth profile as it is moved to tap revenue from new economic sectors such as green energy, green data centres and more recently, artificial intelligence (AI).

There seems to be no stopping its rise, at least for now even as recent moves have meant it is wanting to move away from the traditional utilities segment which is usually seen as a stable dividend yielding sector.

It is noteworthy that despite its rise, the stock is trading at competitive historical price-to-earnings ratio valuation of 11.3 times.

According to statistics by Dibots, YTL Power was the most net bought stock by foreign investors in the first trading week of the year with recorded net buying of RM110.2mil.

Conversely, YTL Power was among the most net sold stock among local institutional (RM22.7mil), retailers (RM41.2mil), nominees (RM41.9mil) and proprietary (RM4.4mil) investors for the same week.

Commenting on these, CIMB-KAF noted that sector-wise, foreign investors were the primary net buyers in the utilities and property sectors, while retail investors saw a contrasting trend as they were the largest net sellers in these two sectors.

The strong momentum keeps going for YTL Power, which derives most of its earnings from overseas such as the United Kingdom and Singapore.

A month ago, its widely reported partnership with US tech giant Nvidia Corp had excited investors as it was now also exposed to the strong growth prospects in AI.

For YTL Power, analysts said its outlook remains bright and valuations appear to be compelling despite its rise to recent price levels.

Its earnings remain on an upward trajectory with net profit in its first quarter ended Sept 30, 2023 rising by almost five times year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM847.9mil, while revenue rose by 15% y-o-y to RM5.45bil.

In its quarterly notes to its financial statements, YTL Power said its power generation business saw a better performance mainly due to better margins and the strengthening of the Singapore dollar against the ringgit.

In its report last month, RHB Research said it continues to have a long-term positive view on YTL Power’s collaboration with Nvidia.

It noted that the project may also boost its data centre take-up rate in Johor.

According to Kenanga Research, YTL Power’s collaboration with Nvidia will see it now being a “managed service provider” where it goes beyond providing a physical space and infrastructure to offer a range of managed services including software.

Kenanga Research has maintained its “outperform” rating on the stock with a target price of RM3.06, while RHB Research maintained its “buy” call with a target price of RM2.95.

RHB Research cited key risks to YTL Power include the execution risk for its Java and Jordan power plant projects and weaker contributions from the Wessex Water and PowerSeraya power plant.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2024/01/15/ytl-power-rises-to-become-top-gainer-on-bourse

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2024-01-15 08:51 | Report Abuse

Foreign investors switched to being net sellers on Bursa
Malaysia, ending a four-week streak of net inflows, with a
value of -RM93.1m. Every trading day saw net selling, except
for Monday when foreigners bought RM29.8m, with inflows
observed in stocks like Public Bank (RM42.2m), Sime Darby
(RM29.4m), and YTL Power (RM28.6m).
• The top three sectors with the highest net foreign inflows
were Utilities (RM181.4m), Construction (RM67.0m), and
Energy (RM51.8m). Meanwhile, the sectors with the highest
net foreign outflows were Consumer Products & Services
(-RM241.2m), Transportation & Logistics (-RM103.7m), and
Industrial Products & Services (-RM99.0m).
• Local institutions continued as net sellers for the third
consecutive week, with a total of -RM141.6m. The Technology
sector witnessed the highest net outflows from this investor
group, amounting to -RM122.6m.
• Local retailers continued to be net sellers of domestic equities,
amounting to -RM10.0m, although at a significantly slower
place compared to the previous week’s -RM383.3m.
• In terms of participation, there were increases in average
daily trading volume (ADTV) among local retailers (+2.6%),
local institutions (+3.4%), and foreign investors (+10.6%).

Foreign fund net inflow to YTL Power Int. 175.7M

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2024-01-14 19:38 | Report Abuse

@HuatRex1314 Agreed with you, TP must read together with PE and FPE and other indicators as well. TP only a guide.

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2024-01-14 13:51 | Report Abuse

TA TP Rm 2.60 ⚒
AmInvest AffinHwang TP RM 2.70 ⚒
RHB TP Rm 2.95 ⚒
MIDF TP RM 2.99 ⚒
CIMB TP Rm 3.00 ⚒
Kenanga TP RM 3.06 ⚒
D TP RM3.28 ⚒😂
HLIB TP RM 3.90 😁
MrFox TP > 4.00 😁
Uniholder TP 4.28 😁

ATH 3.68.

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2024-01-13 15:14 | Report Abuse

@chon99, Ranhill will be an exciting companies for YTLP....

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2024-01-13 15:12 | Report Abuse

@chon99, Tenaga is Monopoly electric utilities business and GLC, YTLP is more diversified utilities electric generation, water treatment, telcos, shale power and going to have AI Data Center, Digital Bank, Waste to Energy, EV Charing in SG. The future is exciting only if it can delivery the earning along the ways.

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2024-01-13 14:42 | Report Abuse

YTLPower Net Short Position is ZERO as of 12-Jan-2024. Continue the momentum next Monday, 15-Jan-2024.

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2024-01-13 12:00 | Report Abuse

@chon99 it won't be fair to compare Tenaga and YTLPower, their business nature overlap is only in Power Generation, it won't be apple to apple comparison. As for bridge the gap, YTLPOWR need to show the earning growth in coming quarters.

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2024-01-12 17:33 | Report Abuse

ATH 3.68. Market Cap 30.02B, L4Q PE = 11.08, FPE 2024 = 9.375

https://www.tradingview.com/x/vzwNkWEv/

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2024-01-12 17:32 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 FPE2024 = 10 very soon.

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2024-01-12 16:05 | Report Abuse

What @rr88 say is 100% correct if your are traders but if you are long term investor like @dragon328 whose cost is 0.6x then it might not applicable. So know your own shoes size. @dragon328, congratulations on your 5 baggers!!!

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2024-01-12 15:26 | Report Abuse

Market Cap will hit 30B soon.

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2024-01-12 14:54 | Report Abuse

YTLP market cap at 29.451B, FPE 2024 of 9.20

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2024-01-12 14:52 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 thanks for the defense.😀

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2024-01-12 11:07 | Report Abuse

YTLP Net short position back to ZERO!!!

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2024-01-11 09:29 | Report Abuse

Total Net Short is at 9,603,570 shares

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2024-01-10 13:47 | Report Abuse

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 10): RHB Investment Bank Bhd (RHB IB) has raised its target price (TP) for Kelington Group Bhd by 22% to RM2.64 (from RM2.16), as the research house remains upbeat on the group’s prospects, supported by tailwinds in the water fab industry, improved earnings delivery and margin prospects.

In a note, the research house said the integrated engineering services provider's exposure in the front-end of the chip value chain ostensibly shields it from the inventory correction or adjustments plaguing the broader semiconductor sector.

“The US-China trade tiff further strengthens its position as the East Asian nation forges ahead in its quest to be technology-independent and self-sufficient,” said RHB IB, which maintained its "buy" recommendation for Kelington.


Kelington secured its first ultra-high purity contract for 2024 that entails the engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning of a gas connection system in Shanghai, China.

The RM143 million contract was awarded by a long-standing major customer, the largest semiconductor foundry in China.

With this latest contract, Kelington’s order book stands at RM1.85 billion — reflecting a cover ratio of 1.4 times for the financial year ended Dec 31, 2022 (FY2022) — compared to RM1.51 billion as of end-September 2023, which is expected to keep the group busy over the next 12 to 18 months.

RHB IB’s TP of RM2.64 for Kelington is based on a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21 times FY2024 forecast earnings per share, supported by tailwinds in the wafer fab industry, improved earnings delivery and margin outlook.

“We lift FY2023-FY2025 forecast core earnings by circa 3%-6% after factoring in incrementally higher margins and stronger billing momentum. A 2% ESG (environmental, social and governance) premium is baked into our TP based on our proprietary scoring model,” said the research house in a note.

“Going forward, management’s [Kelington] focus on higher-margin projects should continue to fuel earnings with the timely expansion of the liquid carbon dioxide (LCO2) plant (testing and commissioning phase) set to propel the next leg up in earnings. The latter is underpinned by the insatiable demand from Oceania, which offer circa two times higher margins vis-à-vis Kelington’s conventional businesses,” it added.

At the time of writing on Wednesday, shares of Kelington were down one sen or 0.43% to RM2.33, valuing it at RM1.51 billion.

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2024-01-10 09:54 | Report Abuse

YTLPower Net short position increase to 8,232,870 from Zero.

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2024-01-09 08:52 | Report Abuse

Top Code Stock Prv Close M-Cap L4Q P/E
1 1155 MAYBANK 9.06 $109,265,743,523.52 11.69
2 1295 PBBANK 4.36 $84,630,615,964.60 12.48
3 1023 CIMB 6.03 $64,310,592,846.24 9.52
4 5347 TENAGA 10.54 $60,998,477,920.34 21.13
5 5183 PCHEM 7.22 $57,760,000,000.00 27.61
6 5225 IHH 6.05 $53,282,298,351.15 20.56
7 6947 CDB 4.19 $49,155,018,469.72 42
8 5819 HLBANK 19.1 $41,403,419,224.40 10.71
9 8869 PMETAL 4.92 $40,538,919,467.76 27.76
10 6033 PETGAS 17.6 $34,825,681,704.00 18.35
11 3816 MISC 7.37 $32,898,155,169.11 16.59
12 5285 SIMEPLT 4.37 $30,221,672,806.37 12.6
13 6012 MAXIS 3.84 $30,075,176,102.40 25.6
14 6742 YTLPOWR 3.44 $28,064,238,058.72 10.36
15 4707 NESTLE 118 $27,671,000,000.00 42.93
16 1961 IOICORP 3.99 $25,077,943,990.05 19.86
17 4677 YTL 2.25 $24,801,890,265.00 8.65
18 2445 KLK 22.3 $24,106,696,605.50 24.33
19 1066 RHBBANK 5.51 $23,617,778,036.51 7.88
20 6888 AXIATA 2.54 $23,314,874,838.28 2.72
21 4863 TM 5.68 $21,797,728,630.40 13.58
22 5681 PETDAG 21.04 $20,902,272,160.00 22.43
23 4065 PPB 14.52 $20,656,136,594.28 14.64
24 3182 GENTING 4.9 $18,996,790,885.10 12.78
25 1082 HLFG 16.42 $18,842,227,333.80 4.4
26 4715 GENM 2.87 $17,042,188,139.76
27 4197 SIME 2.39 $16,289,278,209.03 8.65
28 7084 QL 5.78 $14,066,538,263.42 34.15
29 1015 AMBANK 4.22 $13,985,860,041.68 7.97
30 5296 MRDIY 1.47 $13,881,824,301.24 25.8

YTLPower Move to top 14, value at 28B

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2024-01-08 16:18 | Report Abuse

TA TP Rm 2.60 ⚒
AmInvest AffinHwang TP RM 2.70 ⚒
RHB TP Rm 2.95 ⚒
MIDF TP RM 2.99 ⚒
CIMB TP Rm 3.00 ⚒
Kenanga TP RM 3.06 ⚒
D TP RM3.28 ⚒😂
HLIB TP RM 3.90 😁
MrFox TP > 4.00 😁
Uniholder TP 4.28 😁

ATH 3.50. Let see when can hit HLIB target...

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2024-01-08 15:50 | Report Abuse

YTLP Price Diff Point Index Up YTLP Percent of Contribution
3-Jan-24 0.23 2.6925 10.35 26.01%
4-Jan-24 0.2 2.3413 14.89 15.72%
5-Jan-24 0.22 2.5754 9.27 27.78%
8-Jan-24 0.23 2.6940 9.23 29.19%


Total 0.88 10.3031 43.74 23.56%

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2024-01-08 15:06 | Report Abuse

Foreign fund currently hold about 11% of YTLPower shares as of 29-Dec-2023, it should be higher now with last week value of RM164Millions.

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2024-01-08 14:59 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 don't include any other link like simmplywallst, it will reject your msg due to promotion of other financial web link.

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2024-01-08 14:45 | Report Abuse

@dragon328, you refer to which year?

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2024-01-08 11:09 | Report Abuse

@NatsukoMishima 非常に興奮!!!

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2024-01-08 10:08 | Report Abuse

@xiaochen this one better visually
TA TP Rm 2.60 ⚒
AmInvest AffinHwang TP RM 2.70 ⚒
RHB TP Rm 2.95 ⚒
MIDF TP RM 2.99 ⚒
CIMB TP Rm 3.00 ⚒
Kenanga TP RM 3.06 ⚒
D TP RM3.28 (just for fun)😂
NOW RM 3.32
HLIB TP RM 3.90 😁
MrFox TP > 4.00(Could consider this seriously now)😁

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2024-01-08 09:00 | Report Abuse

@dragon328, hit ur number?🤣🤣🤣

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2024-01-08 08:50 | Report Abuse

YTLPower Foreign inflow buying RM167.50 Million, Local Insituition Outflow -54.7M

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2024-01-08 08:48 | Report Abuse

In the fourth consecutive week, foreign investors continued to
be net buyers of domestic equities on Bursa Malaysia, with a
total of RM524.9m. Throughout the week, every trading day,
except Tuesday, saw a net foreign inflow. Tuesday recorded
net foreign selling at -RM23.3m, with the highest outflows
observed in Inari Amertron (-RM13.6m), My E.G. Services
(-RM10.7m) and Public Bank (-RM7.9m).
• The sectors that recorded the highest net foreign inflows were
Utilities (RM208.9m), Financial Services (RM156.0m), and
Property (RM126.9m). Meanwhile, the sectors with the highest
net foreign outflows were Technology (-RM69.4m), Consumer
Products & Services (-RM64.m), and Telecommunication &
Media (-RM16.0m).
• Local institutions continued as net sellers for the third
consecutive week, with a total of -RM141.6m. The Financial
Services sector witnessed the highest net outflows from this
investor group, amounting to -RM139.7m.
• Local retailers shifted to net sellers of domestic equities,
totalling -RM383.3m. This marks a reversal from the previous
week’s figure of RM24.3m.
• In terms of participation, there were substantial increases
in average daily trading volume (ADTV) among local retailers
(+44.8%), local institutions (+22.6%), and foreign investors
(+50.8%)

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2024-01-08 08:43 | Report Abuse

Buying and selling is parts of trading/investing, the key things is whether market can absorb the selling pressure well. I belief YTL Power volume say for itself. Currently there are no net short seller position in both YTL and YTLP shares. https://www.tradingview.com/x/p5qr4k0q/ . Can it go up to 3.50 today/this week?🤔

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2024-01-06 15:42 | Report Abuse

@Agjl that is the plan but along the way can use certain percentage of what you have to trade?

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2024-01-06 14:40 | Report Abuse

@Agjl let the profit run now, until earnings growth is slow or PE is too high or price to book is too high.

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2024-01-06 13:08 | Report Abuse

@moncmondo87 dividend visibilities is not yet there unless YTLP start quarterly dividend, with current capex for YTLP DC, i think it will take some time in the future to see a clearer picture.
03-Jan-2024 Index up 9.27 points, YTLP contributed 26% in index points
04-Jan-2024 Index up 14.89 points, YTLP contributed 15% in index points
05-Jan-2024 Index up 9.27 points, YTLP contributed 27% in index points. Let's see if this can sustain.

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2024-01-06 11:47 | Report Abuse

Price of 4.28 is FPE2024 of 10.93 and FPE2025 8.75
Price of 5.14 is FPE2024 13.11 and FPE2025 10.48. All the FPE still below FBMKLCI PE.
With current portfolio readjustment happening in FBMKLCI, foreign fund and local institutional is actively get rid of laggards stock and switch over to movers like YTLP and YTL with lower PE better earnings in the coming quarter. Do wait and see.

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2024-01-06 10:54 | Report Abuse

Currently YTLPower is traded at FPE 0f 8.21 based of 3.2B earning in 2024. L4QPE of 9.7.
FBMKLCI PE is now at 13.22, i belief foreign fund will push YTLP and YTL to move the index to a higher level like 1550 or 1600. For the last 3 days when index is move up by 10 points, YTLP and YTL contribute about 2.5 point and 2.67 point or about 50 percent of the index increase, but YTLP only contribute 2.36% of the index weightage. Based on this assumption and calculation, if index is push to 1550 or 1600 in one year time. And YTLP contribute only 20 percent of the index increase instead, it will be traded at 4.28 and 5.14 respectively. I belief it will be very exciting for shareholder of YTLP, these things happened only once in a lifetime. If you owned YTLP shares, you know what to do. Currently YTLP and YTL is the key movers of the index with price increase and volume, and the game is just started. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell.

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2024-01-05 15:07 | Report Abuse

L4QPE 9.52 ,FPE 8.08. FMBKLCI is at 13.20

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2024-01-05 08:59 | Report Abuse

@xiaochen I love the story!!!

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2024-01-04 14:08 | Report Abuse

@xiaochen most TP is reach. kind of too stretch....?
https://www.tradingview.com/x/boWzKj0A/

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2024-01-03 19:47 | Report Abuse

@ChloeTai need to be at least 2% before it is attractive to convert