Shellhouse

shellhouse | Joined since 2015-02-26

Investing Experience Beginner
Risk Profile High

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News & Blogs

2018-03-09 10:53 | Report Abuse

Thanks KC, as always learning a lot.

Do you mind performing a quick FA analysis on LCTITAN? I believe its a gem at beaten down price. Would like to hear your thoughts on it.

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2017-10-27 12:02 | Report Abuse

retard spotted


pang72resinpeace I think tis counter should benefit from budget 2018* due to its solar business n nowadays its very top biz in whole world for coming decade...
27/10/2017 11:41

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2017-10-27 09:28 | Report Abuse

so many sore losers.

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2017-10-24 16:22 | Report Abuse

Market wide correction

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2017-10-06 10:47 | Report Abuse

bodoh. 0.15 to 0.47 is just paper profit. No volume take what profit?

You wanna wait for conversion by bank? be my guest. But dont anyhow advise people hold structured warrants till June 2018. anything can happen. Bodoh

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2017-10-06 10:46 | Report Abuse

Yea, sell now la if you can. i wanna see you sell. See still 45 or not?

Bigbull99 ok then I must be blind seeing my CN now 0.47 from 0.15. sorry. hahaha.
06/10/2017 10:45

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2017-10-06 10:43 | Report Abuse

dont anyhow suka then give advise

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2017-10-06 10:41 | Report Abuse

You buy structured warrants you die. No volume.

No volume - Buy at premium then sell to who? Bodo


Bigbull99 Let's go to RM3 tomorrow or next week. Who knows behind this push could be KYY coming back to this gem stock. Wen Jun buy call warrants issued by banks. Keep it until June next year and watch your return skyrocket if mother reach rm3.50. I collected a lot a lot of CN at 12-14 sen and see where it is now.
05/10/2017 21:55

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2017-10-06 10:36 | Report Abuse

Bodoh. Wa is worth 1.31 at 2.96. undervalued/discount. Show me another warrant with dicsount
Dont know calculate but wanna advise. bodo

Bigbull99 wen jun i think it all depends on your risk appetite. WA is too exp. you have to monitor closely on those warrants and see which warrant have lesser premium and latest expiry date.

poor KYY bought sendai and jaks and both of them super red now. if only he sticks with VS he could be building another block of school now already.
06/10/2017 08:18

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2017-04-27 09:31 | Report Abuse

if wanna gamble, go Genting. as in the casino.

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2017-04-24 22:08 | Report Abuse

wah. 1% at 20k for dow.

Cant wait for tmr

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2017-04-21 16:58 | Report Abuse

supermx2 cruger12345, those volume cannot be real one. It is just their own playing, one party to another. The volume belongs to same party who distribute the shares for different person to play around.
21/04/2017 16:50



tried my best, still dosnt make sense.

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2017-04-20 11:47 | Report Abuse

puzzles me. why would someone buy something they dont know anything about.

Been sharing BE prices and values and trying my best to educate on the risks of SW.

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2017-04-19 23:01 | Report Abuse

Vzhai.. bank doesnt use the closing price on 25th. They will use 5 day vwap. Most likely lower if it closes at high of 330.

Bank will pay (5 day vwap - 2.65)/3.5

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2017-04-19 17:43 | Report Abuse

23rd is Sunday la

Check with cimb better. Your remisier might want to earn your commision.

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2017-04-19 14:13 | Report Abuse

@edkfc, anyone please correct me if im wrong. but this seems to be the logic based on current price movement. I use this to determine buy/sell price of my SW.

for C38:
= No of call warrants x (VWAP - exercise price) x 1/Conversion Ratio

For example if VWAP is 3.17 :

each warrant pays : (3.17-2.65) x 1/3.5 = RM0.148 (1 lot = RM14.80)

vwap = volume weighted average price, not so easy to calculate. 3.17 is a ballpark minimum im using

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2017-04-19 14:03 | Report Abuse

I think coming quarter results in May for Q1 will be pivotal. Definitely wont expect a higher QoQ. perhaps TF will cushion the marginally weaker earnings with the conclusion on AAC sale.

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2017-04-19 13:28 | Report Abuse

I doubt. Unless AA surges beyond 3.30-3.35 by next friday

Kyou Wish c38 hit 0.17 end of this month ...
19/04/2017 13:11

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2017-04-19 13:27 | Report Abuse

If price stays above 3.17 till maturity, C38 minimum payout is 0.15 per warrant.

If you're not confident AA will stay >3.17 till next friday, dont bother looking at c38.

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2017-04-19 13:24 | Report Abuse

Offloaded my C38. Good >50% profit within 2.5 months.

Looking at C47. Seems attractive with lowest premium and longest maturity period.

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2017-04-18 12:17 | Report Abuse

Could be true that he wants the commision. Possible that transaction costs involved. Check with you bank. I never held till maturity before. Sorry I wouldn't know.

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2017-04-18 12:08 | Report Abuse

This is a structured warrant. Issuer will settle in cash, check with your remisier on how it is settled (cheque or trading a/c). Settlement formula is in the term sheet issued by bank.

for C38:
= No of call warrants x (VWAP - exercise price) x 1/Conversion Ratio

For example if VWAP is 3.20 :

each warrant pays : (3.20-2.65) x 1/3.5 = RM0.16 (1 lot = RM16)

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2017-04-18 11:55 | Report Abuse

This is a rough calculation on my spreadsheet. Not a buy ot sell call. For those interested in C38. At 3.12 it's trading at 2% discount. (Breakeven for current C38 price is 3.06)

Here is a guide for you. If you buy C38 at 12 cents. You need to be confident AA stays above 3.07 until next Friday. That is if you intend to hold until maturity. For trading purposes trade at your own risk.


C38 Price Breakeven VWAP

6.0 286.00
6.5 287.75
7.0 289.50
7.5 291.25
8.0 293.00
8.5 294.75
9.0 296.50
9.5 298.25
10.0 300.00
10.5 301.75
11.0 303.50
11.5 305.25
12.0 307.00
12.5 308.75
13.0 310.50
13.5 312.25
14.0 314.00
14.5 315.75
15.0 317.50
15.5 319.25
16.0 321.00
16.5 322.75
17.0 324.50

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2017-04-07 17:09 | Report Abuse

Enough fun for today.

Kthxbai

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2017-04-07 17:09 | Report Abuse

Long term doesnt mean cannot talk. Give valid arguments and pointers.

BWC sound so desperate for AA price to fall quickly because she is jealous of Icon making big money. Readers can again see whether what they shout about turns out to be true or the exact opposite. Need to be careful on this forum. Keep eye on big picture. Hehe

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2017-04-07 17:00 | Report Abuse

supermx. i think he got burnt badly last time. his capital probably got smashed down so badly that he has so much vengence. RM2B profit at PE5 he calls a rubbish stock. He probably bought at 320 and panicked (as he always does...) when it touched 250 and sold.

But i enjoy reading his comments. very flowery and creative. Always trying to create the perfect judgment to match his apocalyptic "sell down". For him a 2% drop is a sell down for AA and not any other stock *wink* CAB cakaran *wink*.

Always waiting for square one to recoup his painful losses, only to see it fly higher above 3.

Oh why.

there goes the tale of supermx.

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2017-04-07 16:02 | Report Abuse

This.


Only long term investor can win in this counter


everyday scream crash and burn. ironically it moved from 2.20 3 months ago to current price.

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2017-04-07 15:39 | Report Abuse

Aiya. . Syria war is not a new thing. Been going on since 2011. Russia been bombing syria to get rid of ISIS. Oil is hedged too. Trying to come up with fairytales to justify the drop just makes you look stupid.

No need to pick reasons for the drop. It's hardly a sell down. Just a correction after 5 straight days of green last week.

Sell down? Look at CAB past 3 days.

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2017-04-05 18:01 | Report Abuse

And Mar 27 was closing date for binding bids.

Key word : binding

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2017-04-05 18:00 | Report Abuse

How bad can it be when TF said its between 900-1200 mil?

taepodong5 "By this fri....agreement AAC contract sign". And yet the share is dropping. Clearly insiders are selling and the AAC deal must be no good. I suspect Fri, AA price will trade below RM3.0 after the event. Like annoucement of qtr result.
05/04/2017 17:47

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2017-04-05 17:45 | Report Abuse

EPF u-turn @@

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2017-04-05 17:32 | Report Abuse

for oil 50-60 is the new norm.

Shale average breakeven is 50. Each time oil goes past 50 shale producers will start flooding the market with more oil.

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2017-04-05 17:30 | Report Abuse

by the time the news comes out you are too late.

Sell on news.

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2017-04-05 15:43 | Report Abuse

Company like AA need to hold to see decent returns. For a large cap company the volatility is high. Takes a mountain to move 1-2 sen. But when it moves, it really moves. Mind you EPF average price for 1.5m shares on 29 March is higher than current price.

At least until major development or bad news comes to light, dumb dumb hold wont go wrong. But if you're planning to hold till 3.20-3.30 dont bother looking. Not a buy or sell call.

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2017-04-05 14:46 | Report Abuse

coz he sold at 281

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2017-04-05 11:24 | Report Abuse

big baits to lure the sharks

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2017-04-04 17:41 | Report Abuse

revenue barely moved.

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2017-04-04 17:40 | Report Abuse

TA's depreciation projection increased substantially FY16 vs FY17. Along with finance charges.

Its as if AAC has not been sold.

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2017-04-04 17:21 | Report Abuse

Took them long enough.

the train has finally arrived.

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2017-04-04 16:43 | Report Abuse

Icon, why this woman hates you so much. LOL

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2017-04-04 11:29 | Report Abuse

thats old new. 2016

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2017-04-04 11:22 | Report Abuse

Analysts are hypocrites

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2017-04-04 09:36 | Report Abuse

Macquarie TP 4.00

News & Blogs

2017-04-03 16:39 | Report Abuse

a very conservative margin 5% is an impressive 100mil

Orderbook is great, but only time will tell if the margins are well managed.

News & Blogs

2017-04-03 16:36 | Report Abuse

I had a bit of WC.

Like your Jaks, this is a long term thing

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2017-04-03 14:03 | Report Abuse

its an acknowledgement of their poor valuation previously

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2017-04-03 10:57 | Report Abuse

price hitting new milestones every day.

When TF himself says SPA SSA on Apr 7... apa lagi u mau.

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2017-04-03 10:55 | Report Abuse

sigh.

Up until i tired. big picture too big for me to keep up.

News & Blogs

2017-04-02 19:49 | Report Abuse

Being frugal

Rare trait among gen x to gen z. It scares me sometimes.

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2017-03-31 18:53 | Report Abuse

Wah, my old friend....

Fantastic results indeed!!!