[CARLSBG] QoQ TTM Result on 31-Dec-2004 [#4]

Stock

[CARLSBG] CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA BHD

Announcement Date

23-Feb-2005

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2004

Quarter

31-Dec-2004 [#4]

Profit Trend

QoQ- 2.81%

YoY- 9.31%

Quarter Report

CARLSBG's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	911,942	920,760	939,742	984,807	951,019	922,854	901,014	0.80%
YoY %	-0.96%	-2.02%	-4.58%	3.55%	3.05%	2.42%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.21%	102.19%	104.30%	109.30%	105.55%	102.42%	100.00%	-
PBT	107,207	104,303	106,724	113,330	114,014	112,324	107,691	-0.29%
YoY %	2.78%	-2.27%	-5.83%	-0.60%	1.50%	4.30%	-	-
Horiz. %	99.55%	96.85%	99.10%	105.24%	105.87%	104.30%	100.00%	-
Tax	-21,683	-21,527	-22,157	-24,616	-27,725	-28,590	-26,214	-11.87%
YoY %	-0.72%	2.84%	9.99%	11.21%	3.03%	-9.06%	-	-
Horiz. %	82.72%	82.12%	84.52%	93.90%	105.76%	109.06%	100.00%	-
NP	85,524	82,776	84,567	88,714	86,289	83,734	81,477	3.28%
YoY %	3.32%	-2.12%	-4.67%	2.81%	3.05%	2.77%	-	-
Horiz. %	104.97%	101.59%	103.79%	108.88%	105.91%	102.77%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	85,524	82,776	84,567	88,714	86,289	83,734	81,477	3.28%
YoY %	3.32%	-2.12%	-4.67%	2.81%	3.05%	2.77%	-	-
Horiz. %	104.97%	101.59%	103.79%	108.88%	105.91%	102.77%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	20.23%	20.64%	20.76%	21.72%	24.32%	25.45%	24.34%	-
YoY %	-1.99%	-0.58%	-4.42%	-10.69%	-4.44%	4.56%	-	-
Horiz. %	83.11%	84.80%	85.29%	89.24%	99.92%	104.56%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	826,418	837,984	855,175	896,093	864,730	839,120	819,537	0.55%
YoY %	-1.38%	-2.01%	-4.57%	3.63%	3.05%	2.39%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.84%	102.25%	104.35%	109.34%	105.51%	102.39%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	480,220	452,433	458,615	499,788	506,027	478,478	539,717	-7.48%
YoY %	6.14%	-1.35%	-8.24%	-1.23%	5.76%	-11.35%	-	-
Horiz. %	88.98%	83.83%	84.97%	92.60%	93.76%	88.65%	100.00%	-

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
Dividend
Div	87,884	87,884	87,887	152,844	122,330	122,330	114,667	-16.23%
YoY %	0.00%	-0.00%	-42.50%	24.94%	0.00%	6.68%	-	-
Horiz. %	76.64%	76.64%	76.65%	133.29%	106.68%	106.68%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	102.76%	106.17%	103.93%	172.29%	141.77%	146.09%	140.74%	-
YoY %	-3.21%	2.16%	-39.68%	21.53%	-2.96%	3.80%	-	-
Horiz. %	73.01%	75.44%	73.85%	122.42%	100.73%	103.80%	100.00%	-

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	480,220	452,433	458,615	499,788	506,027	478,478	539,717	-7.48%
YoY %	6.14%	-1.35%	-8.24%	-1.23%	5.76%	-11.35%	-	-
Horiz. %	88.98%	83.83%	84.97%	92.60%	93.76%	88.65%	100.00%	-
NOSH	305,872	305,698	154,039	152,840	152,878	152,868	152,894	58.70%
YoY %	0.06%	98.45%	0.78%	-0.02%	0.01%	-0.02%	-	-
Horiz. %	200.05%	199.94%	100.75%	99.96%	99.99%	99.98%	100.00%	-

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	9.38%	8.99%	9.00%	9.01%	9.07%	9.07%	9.04%	-
YoY %	4.34%	-0.11%	-0.11%	-0.66%	0.00%	0.33%	-	-
Horiz. %	103.76%	99.45%	99.56%	99.67%	100.33%	100.33%	100.00%	-
ROE	17.81%	18.30%	18.44%	17.75%	17.05%	17.50%	15.10%	-
YoY %	-2.68%	-0.76%	3.89%	4.11%	-2.57%	15.89%	-	-
Horiz. %	117.95%	121.19%	122.12%	117.55%	112.91%	115.89%	100.00%	-

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	298.14	301.20	614.73	644.34	622.07	603.69	589.30	-36.48%
YoY %	-1.02%	-51.00%	-4.60%	3.58%	3.04%	2.44%	-	-
Horiz. %	50.59%	51.11%	104.32%	109.34%	105.56%	102.44%	100.00%	-
EPS	27.96	27.08	55.32	58.04	56.44	54.78	53.29	-34.92%
YoY %	3.25%	-51.05%	-4.69%	2.83%	3.03%	2.80%	-	-
Horiz. %	52.47%	50.82%	103.81%	108.91%	105.91%	102.80%	100.00%	-
DPS	28.73	28.75	57.50	100.00	80.00	80.00	75.00	-47.22%
YoY %	-0.07%	-50.00%	-42.50%	25.00%	0.00%	6.67%	-	-
Horiz. %	38.31%	38.33%	76.67%	133.33%	106.67%	106.67%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.57	1.48	3.00	3.27	3.31	3.13	3.53	-41.70%
YoY %	6.08%	-50.67%	-8.26%	-1.21%	5.75%	-11.33%	-	-
Horiz. %	44.48%	41.93%	84.99%	92.63%	93.77%	88.67%	100.00%	-

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 152,840
RPS	298.27	301.15	307.36	322.10	311.05	301.83	294.69	0.80%
YoY %	-0.96%	-2.02%	-4.58%	3.55%	3.05%	2.42%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.21%	102.19%	104.30%	109.30%	105.55%	102.42%	100.00%	-
EPS	27.97	27.07	27.66	29.02	28.22	27.39	26.65	3.27%
YoY %	3.32%	-2.13%	-4.69%	2.83%	3.03%	2.78%	-	-
Horiz. %	104.95%	101.58%	103.79%	108.89%	105.89%	102.78%	100.00%	-
DPS	28.74	28.74	28.75	49.99	40.01	40.01	37.50	-16.23%
YoY %	0.00%	-0.03%	-42.49%	24.94%	0.00%	6.69%	-	-
Horiz. %	76.64%	76.64%	76.67%	133.31%	106.69%	106.69%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.5706	1.4798	1.50	1.6346	1.655	1.5649	1.7652	-7.48%
YoY %	6.14%	-1.35%	-8.23%	-1.23%	5.76%	-11.35%	-	-
Horiz. %	88.98%	83.83%	84.98%	92.60%	93.76%	88.65%	100.00%	-

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	-
Price	5.30	5.50	5.70	5.30	5.05	5.40	5.85	-
P/RPS	1.78	1.83	0.93	0.82	0.81	0.89	0.99	47.80%
YoY %	-2.73%	96.77%	13.41%	1.23%	-8.99%	-10.10%	-	-
Horiz. %	179.80%	184.85%	93.94%	82.83%	81.82%	89.90%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	18.96	20.31	10.30	9.13	8.95	9.86	10.98	43.88%
YoY %	-6.65%	97.18%	12.81%	2.01%	-9.23%	-10.20%	-	-
Horiz. %	172.68%	184.97%	93.81%	83.15%	81.51%	89.80%	100.00%	-
EY	5.28	4.92	9.71	10.95	11.18	10.14	9.11	-30.46%
YoY %	7.32%	-49.33%	-11.32%	-2.06%	10.26%	11.31%	-	-
Horiz. %	57.96%	54.01%	106.59%	120.20%	122.72%	111.31%	100.00%	-
DY	5.42	5.23	10.09	18.87	15.84	14.81	12.82	-43.64%
YoY %	3.63%	-48.17%	-46.53%	19.13%	6.95%	15.52%	-	-
Horiz. %	42.28%	40.80%	78.71%	147.19%	123.56%	115.52%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	3.38	3.72	1.90	1.62	1.53	1.73	1.66	60.57%
YoY %	-9.14%	95.79%	17.28%	5.88%	-11.56%	4.22%	-	-
Horiz. %	203.61%	224.10%	114.46%	97.59%	92.17%	104.22%	100.00%	-

	30/09/05	30/06/05	31/03/05	31/12/04	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	24/11/05	22/08/05	30/05/05	23/02/05	24/11/04	25/08/04	19/05/04	-
Price	5.20	5.35	11.00	5.35	5.40	5.15	5.20	-
P/RPS	1.74	1.78	1.79	0.83	0.87	0.85	0.88	57.46%
YoY %	-2.25%	-0.56%	115.66%	-4.60%	2.35%	-3.41%	-	-
Horiz. %	197.73%	202.27%	203.41%	94.32%	98.86%	96.59%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	18.60	19.76	19.88	9.22	9.57	9.40	9.76	53.65%
YoY %	-5.87%	-0.60%	115.62%	-3.66%	1.81%	-3.69%	-	-
Horiz. %	190.57%	202.46%	203.69%	94.47%	98.05%	96.31%	100.00%	-
EY	5.38	5.06	5.03	10.85	10.45	10.64	10.25	-34.90%
YoY %	6.32%	0.60%	-53.64%	3.83%	-1.79%	3.80%	-	-
Horiz. %	52.49%	49.37%	49.07%	105.85%	101.95%	103.80%	100.00%	-
DY	5.53	5.37	5.23	18.69	14.81	15.53	14.42	-47.18%
YoY %	2.98%	2.68%	-72.02%	26.20%	-4.64%	7.70%	-	-
Horiz. %	38.35%	37.24%	36.27%	129.61%	102.70%	107.70%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	3.31	3.61	3.67	1.64	1.63	1.65	1.47	71.70%
YoY %	-8.31%	-1.63%	123.78%	0.61%	-1.21%	12.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	225.17%	245.58%	249.66%	111.56%	110.88%	112.24%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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