[BAT] QoQ TTM Result on 30-Sep-2010 [#3]

Stock

[BAT] BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (M)

Announcement Date

20-Oct-2010

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2010

Quarter

30-Sep-2010 [#3]

Profit Trend

QoQ- 0.55%

YoY- -3.42%

Quarter Report

BAT's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	3,988,209	3,938,777	3,965,448	4,027,235	3,952,841	3,936,615	3,923,421	1.10%
YoY %	1.26%	-0.67%	-1.53%	1.88%	0.41%	0.34%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.65%	100.39%	101.07%	102.65%	100.75%	100.34%	100.00%	-
PBT	939,129	941,379	959,179	958,649	970,573	990,656	1,005,312	-4.45%
YoY %	-0.24%	-1.86%	0.06%	-1.23%	-2.03%	-1.46%	-	-
Horiz. %	93.42%	93.64%	95.41%	95.36%	96.54%	98.54%	100.00%	-
Tax	-223,057	-223,607	-228,070	-237,396	-253,240	-257,919	-258,528	-9.39%
YoY %	0.25%	1.96%	3.93%	6.26%	1.81%	0.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	86.28%	86.49%	88.22%	91.83%	97.95%	99.76%	100.00%	-
NP	716,072	717,772	731,109	721,253	717,333	732,737	746,784	-2.76%
YoY %	-0.24%	-1.82%	1.37%	0.55%	-2.10%	-1.88%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.89%	96.12%	97.90%	96.58%	96.06%	98.12%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	716,072	717,772	731,109	721,253	717,333	732,737	746,784	-2.76%
YoY %	-0.24%	-1.82%	1.37%	0.55%	-2.10%	-1.88%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.89%	96.12%	97.90%	96.58%	96.06%	98.12%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	23.75%	23.75%	23.78%	24.76%	26.09%	26.04%	25.72%	-
YoY %	0.00%	-0.13%	-3.96%	-5.10%	0.19%	1.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	92.34%	92.34%	92.46%	96.27%	101.44%	101.24%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	3,272,137	3,221,005	3,234,339	3,305,982	3,235,508	3,203,878	3,176,637	1.99%
YoY %	1.59%	-0.41%	-2.17%	2.18%	0.99%	0.86%	-	-
Horiz. %	103.01%	101.40%	101.82%	104.07%	101.85%	100.86%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	502,459	491,388	491,062	487,990	636,594	628,224	440,019	9.27%
YoY %	2.25%	0.07%	0.63%	-23.34%	1.33%	42.77%	-	-
Horiz. %	114.19%	111.67%	111.60%	110.90%	144.67%	142.77%	100.00%	-

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
Dividend
Div	790,859	856,499	876,979	874,264	865,781	865,763	673,869	11.29%
YoY %	-7.66%	-2.34%	0.31%	0.98%	0.00%	28.48%	-	-
Horiz. %	117.36%	127.10%	130.14%	129.74%	128.48%	128.48%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	110.44%	119.33%	119.95%	121.21%	120.69%	118.15%	90.24%	-
YoY %	-7.45%	-0.52%	-1.04%	0.43%	2.15%	30.93%	-	-
Horiz. %	122.38%	132.24%	132.92%	134.32%	133.74%	130.93%	100.00%	-

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	502,459	491,388	491,062	487,990	636,594	628,224	440,019	9.27%
YoY %	2.25%	0.07%	0.63%	-23.34%	1.33%	42.77%	-	-
Horiz. %	114.19%	111.67%	111.60%	110.90%	144.67%	142.77%	100.00%	-
NOSH	285,488	285,691	285,501	285,374	285,468	285,556	285,727	-0.05%
YoY %	-0.07%	0.07%	0.04%	-0.03%	-0.03%	-0.06%	-	-
Horiz. %	99.92%	99.99%	99.92%	99.88%	99.91%	99.94%	100.00%	-

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	17.95%	18.22%	18.44%	17.91%	18.15%	18.61%	19.03%	-
YoY %	-1.48%	-1.19%	2.96%	-1.32%	-2.47%	-2.21%	-	-
Horiz. %	94.32%	95.74%	96.90%	94.11%	95.38%	97.79%	100.00%	-
ROE	142.51%	146.07%	148.88%	147.80%	112.68%	116.64%	169.72%	-
YoY %	-2.44%	-1.89%	0.73%	31.17%	-3.40%	-31.28%	-	-
Horiz. %	83.97%	86.07%	87.72%	87.08%	66.39%	68.72%	100.00%	-

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	1,396.98	1,378.68	1,388.94	1,411.21	1,384.69	1,378.58	1,373.13	1.15%
YoY %	1.33%	-0.74%	-1.58%	1.92%	0.44%	0.40%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.74%	100.40%	101.15%	102.77%	100.84%	100.40%	100.00%	-
EPS	250.82	251.24	256.08	252.74	251.28	256.60	261.36	-2.71%
YoY %	-0.17%	-1.89%	1.32%	0.58%	-2.07%	-1.82%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.97%	96.13%	97.98%	96.70%	96.14%	98.18%	100.00%	-
DPS	277.00	300.00	307.20	306.20	303.20	303.20	236.00	11.30%
YoY %	-7.67%	-2.34%	0.33%	0.99%	0.00%	28.47%	-	-
Horiz. %	117.37%	127.12%	130.17%	129.75%	128.47%	128.47%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.76	1.72	1.72	1.71	2.23	2.20	1.54	9.33%
YoY %	2.33%	0.00%	0.58%	-23.32%	1.36%	42.86%	-	-
Horiz. %	114.29%	111.69%	111.69%	111.04%	144.81%	142.86%	100.00%	-

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 285,374
RPS	1,396.77	1,379.46	1,388.80	1,410.44	1,384.39	1,378.70	1,374.08	1.10%
YoY %	1.25%	-0.67%	-1.53%	1.88%	0.41%	0.34%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.65%	100.39%	101.07%	102.65%	100.75%	100.34%	100.00%	-
EPS	250.79	251.38	256.05	252.60	251.23	256.62	261.54	-2.76%
YoY %	-0.23%	-1.82%	1.37%	0.55%	-2.10%	-1.88%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.89%	96.12%	97.90%	96.58%	96.06%	98.12%	100.00%	-
DPS	276.98	299.97	307.14	306.19	303.22	303.21	236.01	11.29%
YoY %	-7.66%	-2.33%	0.31%	0.98%	0.00%	28.47%	-	-
Horiz. %	117.36%	127.10%	130.14%	129.74%	128.48%	128.47%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.7597	1.721	1.7198	1.7091	2.2295	2.2002	1.5411	9.27%
YoY %	2.25%	0.07%	0.63%	-23.34%	1.33%	42.77%	-	-
Horiz. %	114.18%	111.67%	111.60%	110.90%	144.67%	142.77%	100.00%	-

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	30/06/11	31/03/11	30/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	-
Price	46.70	48.06	45.00	48.48	43.88	44.14	42.80	-
P/RPS	3.34	3.49	3.24	3.44	3.17	3.20	3.12	4.66%
YoY %	-4.30%	7.72%	-5.81%	8.52%	-0.94%	2.56%	-	-
Horiz. %	107.05%	111.86%	103.85%	110.26%	101.60%	102.56%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	18.62	19.13	17.57	19.18	17.46	17.20	16.38	8.94%
YoY %	-2.67%	8.88%	-8.39%	9.85%	1.51%	5.01%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.68%	116.79%	107.26%	117.09%	106.59%	105.01%	100.00%	-
EY	5.37	5.23	5.69	5.21	5.73	5.81	6.11	-8.26%
YoY %	2.68%	-8.08%	9.21%	-9.08%	-1.38%	-4.91%	-	-
Horiz. %	87.89%	85.60%	93.13%	85.27%	93.78%	95.09%	100.00%	-
DY	5.93	6.24	6.83	6.32	6.91	6.87	5.51	5.03%
YoY %	-4.97%	-8.64%	8.07%	-8.54%	0.58%	24.68%	-	-
Horiz. %	107.62%	113.25%	123.96%	114.70%	125.41%	124.68%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	26.53	27.94	26.16	28.35	19.68	20.06	27.79	-3.05%
YoY %	-5.05%	6.80%	-7.72%	44.05%	-1.89%	-27.82%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.47%	100.54%	94.13%	102.02%	70.82%	72.18%	100.00%	-

	30/06/11	31/03/11	31/12/10	30/09/10	30/06/10	31/03/10	31/12/09	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	21/07/11	21/04/11	22/02/11	20/10/10	22/07/10	22/04/10	11/02/10	-
Price	46.20	47.48	46.32	48.00	43.98	42.78	42.10	-
P/RPS	3.31	3.44	3.33	3.40	3.18	3.10	3.07	5.16%
YoY %	-3.78%	3.30%	-2.06%	6.92%	2.58%	0.98%	-	-
Horiz. %	107.82%	112.05%	108.47%	110.75%	103.58%	100.98%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	18.42	18.90	18.09	18.99	17.50	16.67	16.11	9.37%
YoY %	-2.54%	4.48%	-4.74%	8.51%	4.98%	3.48%	-	-
Horiz. %	114.34%	117.32%	112.29%	117.88%	108.63%	103.48%	100.00%	-
EY	5.43	5.29	5.53	5.27	5.71	6.00	6.21	-8.58%
YoY %	2.65%	-4.34%	4.93%	-7.71%	-4.83%	-3.38%	-	-
Horiz. %	87.44%	85.19%	89.05%	84.86%	91.95%	96.62%	100.00%	-
DY	6.00	6.32	6.63	6.38	6.89	7.09	5.61	4.59%
YoY %	-5.06%	-4.68%	3.92%	-7.40%	-2.82%	26.38%	-	-
Horiz. %	106.95%	112.66%	118.18%	113.73%	122.82%	126.38%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	26.25	27.60	26.93	28.07	19.72	19.45	27.34	-2.68%
YoY %	-4.89%	2.49%	-4.06%	42.34%	1.39%	-28.86%	-	-
Horiz. %	96.01%	100.95%	98.50%	102.67%	72.13%	71.14%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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