[BAT] QoQ TTM Result on 31-Mar-2009 [#1]

Stock

[BAT] BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (M)

Announcement Date

23-Apr-2009

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2009

Quarter

31-Mar-2009 [#1]

Profit Trend

QoQ- -0.67%

YoY- 8.0%

Quarter Report

BAT's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	3,923,421	3,904,918	4,083,437	4,119,436	4,135,220	4,081,009	3,991,704	-1.14%
YoY %	0.47%	-4.37%	-0.87%	-0.38%	1.33%	2.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	98.29%	97.83%	102.30%	103.20%	103.60%	102.24%	100.00%	-
PBT	1,005,312	993,212	1,074,335	1,068,807	1,081,166	1,073,497	1,038,479	-2.13%
YoY %	1.22%	-7.55%	0.52%	-1.14%	0.71%	3.37%	-	-
Horiz. %	96.81%	95.64%	103.45%	102.92%	104.11%	103.37%	100.00%	-
Tax	-258,528	-246,419	-262,059	-262,587	-269,483	-282,942	-275,298	-4.09%
YoY %	-4.91%	5.97%	0.20%	2.56%	4.76%	-2.78%	-	-
Horiz. %	93.91%	89.51%	95.19%	95.38%	97.89%	102.78%	100.00%	-
NP	746,784	746,793	812,276	806,220	811,683	790,555	763,181	-1.43%
YoY %	-0.00%	-8.06%	0.75%	-0.67%	2.67%	3.59%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.85%	97.85%	106.43%	105.64%	106.36%	103.59%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	746,784	746,793	812,276	806,220	811,683	790,555	763,181	-1.43%
YoY %	-0.00%	-8.06%	0.75%	-0.67%	2.67%	3.59%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.85%	97.85%	106.43%	105.64%	106.36%	103.59%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	25.72%	24.81%	24.39%	24.57%	24.93%	26.36%	26.51%	-
YoY %	3.67%	1.72%	-0.73%	-1.44%	-5.42%	-0.57%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.02%	93.59%	92.00%	92.68%	94.04%	99.43%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	3,176,637	3,158,125	3,271,161	3,313,216	3,323,537	3,290,454	3,228,523	-1.07%
YoY %	0.59%	-3.46%	-1.27%	-0.31%	1.01%	1.92%	-	-
Horiz. %	98.39%	97.82%	101.32%	102.62%	102.94%	101.92%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	440,019	439,675	596,595	614,109	405,753	451,295	542,188	-12.96%
YoY %	0.08%	-26.30%	-2.85%	51.35%	-10.09%	-16.76%	-	-
Horiz. %	81.16%	81.09%	110.03%	113.26%	74.84%	83.24%	100.00%	-

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
Dividend
Div	673,869	713,882	756,803	756,702	756,702	751,011	742,489	-6.24%
YoY %	-5.60%	-5.67%	0.01%	0.00%	0.76%	1.15%	-	-
Horiz. %	90.76%	96.15%	101.93%	101.91%	101.91%	101.15%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	90.24%	95.59%	93.17%	93.86%	93.23%	95.00%	97.29%	-
YoY %	-5.60%	2.60%	-0.74%	0.68%	-1.86%	-2.35%	-	-
Horiz. %	92.75%	98.25%	95.77%	96.47%	95.83%	97.65%	100.00%	-

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	440,019	439,675	596,595	614,109	405,753	451,295	542,188	-12.96%
YoY %	0.08%	-26.30%	-2.85%	51.35%	-10.09%	-16.76%	-	-
Horiz. %	81.16%	81.09%	110.03%	113.26%	74.84%	83.24%	100.00%	-
NOSH	285,727	285,503	285,452	285,632	285,742	285,629	285,362	0.08%
YoY %	0.08%	0.02%	-0.06%	-0.04%	0.04%	0.09%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.13%	100.05%	100.03%	100.09%	100.13%	100.09%	100.00%	-

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	19.03%	19.12%	19.89%	19.57%	19.63%	19.37%	19.12%	-
YoY %	-0.47%	-3.87%	1.64%	-0.31%	1.34%	1.31%	-	-
Horiz. %	99.53%	100.00%	104.03%	102.35%	102.67%	101.31%	100.00%	-
ROE	169.72%	169.85%	136.15%	131.28%	200.04%	175.17%	140.76%	-
YoY %	-0.08%	24.75%	3.71%	-34.37%	14.20%	24.45%	-	-
Horiz. %	120.57%	120.67%	96.72%	93.27%	142.11%	124.45%	100.00%	-

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	1,373.13	1,367.73	1,430.51	1,442.22	1,447.19	1,428.78	1,398.82	-1.22%
YoY %	0.39%	-4.39%	-0.81%	-0.34%	1.29%	2.14%	-	-
Horiz. %	98.16%	97.78%	102.27%	103.10%	103.46%	102.14%	100.00%	-
EPS	261.36	261.57	284.56	282.26	284.06	276.78	267.44	-1.51%
YoY %	-0.08%	-8.08%	0.81%	-0.63%	2.63%	3.49%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.73%	97.81%	106.40%	105.54%	106.21%	103.49%	100.00%	-
DPS	236.00	250.00	265.00	265.00	265.00	263.00	260.00	-6.23%
YoY %	-5.60%	-5.66%	0.00%	0.00%	0.76%	1.15%	-	-
Horiz. %	90.77%	96.15%	101.92%	101.92%	101.92%	101.15%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.54	1.54	2.09	2.15	1.42	1.58	1.90	-13.03%
YoY %	0.00%	-26.32%	-2.79%	51.41%	-10.13%	-16.84%	-	-
Horiz. %	81.05%	81.05%	110.00%	113.16%	74.74%	83.16%	100.00%	-

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 285,632
RPS	1,374.08	1,367.60	1,430.13	1,442.73	1,448.26	1,429.28	1,398.00	-1.14%
YoY %	0.47%	-4.37%	-0.87%	-0.38%	1.33%	2.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	98.29%	97.83%	102.30%	103.20%	103.60%	102.24%	100.00%	-
EPS	261.54	261.55	284.48	282.36	284.27	276.87	267.29	-1.43%
YoY %	-0.00%	-8.06%	0.75%	-0.67%	2.67%	3.58%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.85%	97.85%	106.43%	105.64%	106.35%	103.58%	100.00%	-
DPS	236.01	250.02	265.05	265.02	265.02	263.02	260.04	-6.24%
YoY %	-5.60%	-5.67%	0.01%	0.00%	0.76%	1.15%	-	-
Horiz. %	90.76%	96.15%	101.93%	101.92%	101.92%	101.15%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.5411	1.5399	2.0894	2.1508	1.4211	1.5806	1.8989	-12.96%
YoY %	0.08%	-26.30%	-2.85%	51.35%	-10.09%	-16.76%	-	-
Horiz. %	81.16%	81.09%	110.03%	113.27%	74.84%	83.24%	100.00%	-

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	-
Price	42.80	44.04	44.75	45.50	44.50	41.50	44.25	-
P/RPS	3.12	3.22	3.13	3.15	3.07	2.90	3.16	-0.84%
YoY %	-3.11%	2.88%	-0.63%	2.61%	5.86%	-8.23%	-	-
Horiz. %	98.73%	101.90%	99.05%	99.68%	97.15%	91.77%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	16.38	16.84	15.73	16.12	15.67	14.99	16.55	-0.68%
YoY %	-2.73%	7.06%	-2.42%	2.87%	4.54%	-9.43%	-	-
Horiz. %	98.97%	101.75%	95.05%	97.40%	94.68%	90.57%	100.00%	-
EY	6.11	5.94	6.36	6.20	6.38	6.67	6.04	0.76%
YoY %	2.86%	-6.60%	2.58%	-2.82%	-4.35%	10.43%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.16%	98.34%	105.30%	102.65%	105.63%	110.43%	100.00%	-
DY	5.51	5.68	5.92	5.82	5.96	6.34	5.88	-4.22%
YoY %	-2.99%	-4.05%	1.72%	-2.35%	-5.99%	7.82%	-	-
Horiz. %	93.71%	96.60%	100.68%	98.98%	101.36%	107.82%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	27.79	28.60	21.41	21.16	31.34	26.27	23.29	12.46%
YoY %	-2.83%	33.58%	1.18%	-32.48%	19.30%	12.80%	-	-
Horiz. %	119.32%	122.80%	91.93%	90.85%	134.56%	112.80%	100.00%	-

	31/12/09	30/09/09	30/06/09	31/03/09	31/12/08	30/09/08	30/06/08	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	11/02/10	19/11/09	23/07/09	23/04/09	19/02/09	23/10/08	17/07/08	-
Price	42.10	45.08	44.75	45.00	44.00	41.25	41.25	-
P/RPS	3.07	3.30	3.13	3.12	3.04	2.89	2.95	2.68%
YoY %	-6.97%	5.43%	0.32%	2.63%	5.19%	-2.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	104.07%	111.86%	106.10%	105.76%	103.05%	97.97%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	16.11	17.23	15.73	15.94	15.49	14.90	15.42	2.95%
YoY %	-6.50%	9.54%	-1.32%	2.91%	3.96%	-3.37%	-	-
Horiz. %	104.47%	111.74%	102.01%	103.37%	100.45%	96.63%	100.00%	-
EY	6.21	5.80	6.36	6.27	6.46	6.71	6.48	-2.78%
YoY %	7.07%	-8.81%	1.44%	-2.94%	-3.73%	3.55%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.83%	89.51%	98.15%	96.76%	99.69%	103.55%	100.00%	-
DY	5.61	5.55	5.92	5.89	6.02	6.38	6.30	-7.42%
YoY %	1.08%	-6.25%	0.51%	-2.16%	-5.64%	1.27%	-	-
Horiz. %	89.05%	88.10%	93.97%	93.49%	95.56%	101.27%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	27.34	29.27	21.41	20.93	30.99	26.11	21.71	16.56%
YoY %	-6.59%	36.71%	2.29%	-32.46%	18.69%	20.27%	-	-
Horiz. %	125.93%	134.82%	98.62%	96.41%	142.75%	120.27%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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