this fellow doesnt understand aviation industry...if u c budget airline like ryan air n southwest u will know aa is better than them...wat took southwest so many yrs to do..aa did it in 10 yrs...so u can c aa will b like them one day..aviation industry is totally different than other industry..even buffet admitted he doesnt understand them n miss their golden chance in investing...even buffets started to buy in airline stock...u cannot compare the stock price movement only...
aviation industry is a high capital low cash flow n a lot variation in profit in the beginning...for aa it took them 17 yrs...but when they start stabilsing n contributing more stable income...they are cash generating machine...aa only start to stabilise this 1 or 2 yrs...in future when they grow their ancilary income to 40% of revenue...oil price fluctuation will not be so significant to them...
when they hav 500 planes in 2028...u can c eps ofrm2 n more...with pe of 6 u r looking ar rm12 per share stock...u thin a company with rm2 eps will still be rm2-3 per share...if u can find one in the world pls tell me...
the rise of aa is a very difficult one due to gomen protecting mas n inhibiting aa growth...thats why u cannot imagine how difficult its for aa to becum the de facto national carrier of malaysia..even more difficult than ryan air n southwest ...so with that background...u can c how good aa is in their operation..u think its so easy to get so many yrs of top budget airline award...if aa cannit invest..i dun even dare buy other airline stock in the world..
with the opec cracking n aa digitisation move...n change of new gomen which is more budget airline friendly...2019 is the turningpoint for aa...mark my word..
dun need to read so many statistics one lah....the more u read the more u confused...expert only use 1 or 2 tools n few critical data to assist their analysis only..many thing u cannot c jus from numbers...especially future prospect u cannot c from past numbers... thru many years of experience n from their operation u can know something...jus Airasia this brand name already worth 10 billion...
thats why many competitors including MAS lose out becoz what they did is look down n condemn AA will not succeed ...they underestimate AA power of execution...they also look at AA statistics ah...lol...in the end they all kena beaten by AA...now no one dare to underestimate when AA wanna go into their turf to do business.. they all will alert n stand on guard...lol
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Flintstones
1,762 posts
Posted by Flintstones > 2018-12-06 12:34 | Report Abuse
This author is terrible with macro predictions. When it comes to stock picking, he is a sifu. When he discuss individual stock, we should listen