Stocktraider..the more glove fall..i felt more confident cos i can buy cheaper..huat la..u dont bother me how was my investment strategy, urself take care ur stock position..hehe..
Nothing negative news, is gd news cos can grab cheaper from JP MORGAN..hehe..since Jp morgan big mouth open, i will sell all my banks stocks monday to buy more gloves ,hehehe..
Future gloves high margin falling means share price & profit affected loh!!
"Then there is competition from new suppliers. even Germany is starting to make rubber gloves seeing the demand and profits companies are making, which would indicate that the barriers of entry are not high for a business that can be automated to a way larger degree than it is in Malaysia."
"Then there is the production increase from existing manufacturers and new players just in Malaysia that are entering the business."
"The glove players will make more money than prior to the pandemic but how will the supply dynamics change and prices react will bear watching over the long run."
The question is, what can we do with this unethical and unscrupulous low class JPM? Can we report them to any authority? So that their licence be reviewed and suspended?
The retail investors should stay united against the manipulators who short the glove counters everyday.Keep for the longer term. Be strong and we will overcome their modus operandi.They have to pay for the massive losses when the CWs expire.
Your statement may stand true on how revenue is booked. I'm not sure if on the receipt of an order (to be deliver 400+ days away) whether a percentage of that order's revenue is booked in immediately, or whether 100% is booked only after receipt by the customer.
Assuming the ASP figure you used is the blended ASP (for all the different varieties of gloves that they sell), your calculations still missed out one thing.
That is the value of spot orders which was sold during that particular quarter. Spot orders having a much higher ASP, and are to be delivered within a 3 month window. How you'll calculate that as a portion of revenue is something I'm uncertain of.
For something as essential as healthcare related, when you look at most of the glovemakers earning 50% of their revenue, something is not right. Such essential items usually dont command such ridiculous margins. Assuming everyone is operating at maximum capacity, TG 4.8b revenue - 2,4b profit = 2.4b cost. Assuming the average profit margin during normal times is 15%, well, 400m or so.
Yes, JP Morgan RM3.50 is a bit low... giving it just a PER of 7x based on 400m profit each quarter. I think RM6-7 is a fair value if they kept running at full capacity.
THANK YOU sutp FOR YOUR PRECISION REBUTTALS OF JPM’S RUBBISH. I WROTE A FEW WORDS EARLIER ON JUSTIN’S BRIEF ON THE SAME TOPIC. MUST BE THE COFFEE WE DRINK! CHEERS
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
herry168
345 posts
Posted by herry168 > 2020-12-13 12:22 | Report Abuse
Stocktraider..the more glove fall..i felt more confident cos i can buy cheaper..huat la..u dont bother me how was my investment strategy, urself take care ur stock position..hehe..