More than 50 years ago, Benjamin Graham, the 'Father of Value Investing', observed "In the short run the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine". That one quote contains as much wisdom today as it did then and it's implications have been long recognised by those we consider Investment Masters.
What Graham was referring to were the two forces acting on securities, namely human psychology and business fundamentals. In the short run, human psychology can overwhelm fundamentals. However, over the long term it's a securities earnings that determines returns.
Over short term 90% of human psychology overwhelm and distort fundamentals
OVER THE LONG RUN EARNINGS (REAL EARNINGS OF CASH) THAT DETERMINES RETURNS>
When all the hype, hooha & noise are gone ONLY STOCKS WITH REAL SOLID EARNINGS BOUGHT WITH A REASONABLE GOOD ENTRY PRICE WILL DO WELL FOR TRUE INVESTORS EVENTUALLY.
As calvin sifu said timber is at record price & palmoil at record price surely some optimism will spillover to wtk share price mah!
But this up 1 to 2 sen is chicken feed mah, why up so little leh ??
Timber & palmoil share r suffering from lack of production mah and also huge impairment losses on its assets mah & previous falling share price mah! Thus they are jittery on recovery of palmoil & timber share loh!! They want to see actual profit b4 jump in loh!! That means if u base on profit...as indicator that means the share price will be lagging loh!
Then why promote Wtk leh ?? 1. The owner , directors and insiders already accumulating quietly without fanfare mah! 2. The palmoil & timber production volume of wtk already creeping up loh...this is further support by the record price of its commodities. Just imagine u have higher prices & higher volume....that will be a very important sign of higher big profit coming mah! 3. The share price already corrected over 3 yrs of downtrend previously, when there is a big shakeout of all the weak holders...u can only grow more optimistic as time past by loh! 4. Wtk is sitting on some prime land that invested at a very low cost near major town & city, they are good development mah! 5. With all the liquidity & quantitative easing & low interest rate environment, u can see big inflation will be coming loh...!! Wtk in commodities business plus very big cheap land bank is a very good inflation protector mah!
Based on the above i think wtk is the best pick to make profit & this is concur by sifu calvin findings mah! 15/04/2021 9:46 AM
For commodities companies (whether minerals or agricultural/woods), once the market prices of these commodities keep going up for sustainable periods, and with same costs of productions, profitability will shoot up. With this, their share prices will increase.
If you look at Metals X Ltd (Australian listed co., strong in copper mining), when copper price was very low early last year, the share price went down to A$0.12 and now, AS0.24. You see, 100% increase.
Thats correctloh! This is precisely what raider is emphasizing all this while mah!
Commodity share like wtk & jtiasa are like spring, when u press down alot & when release it will....jump up or spring up...... will be very sharp & strong loh!
For commodities companies (whether minerals or agricultural/woods), once the market prices of these commodities keep going up for sustainable periods, and with same costs of productions, profitability will shoot up. With this, their share prices will increase.
If you look at Metals X Ltd (Australian listed co., strong in copper mining), when copper price was very low early last year, the share price went down to A$0.12 and now, AS0.24. You see, 100% increase.
It is not just the demand per se. The underlying factor is high inflation due to relentless money printing by the FED that dilutes the value of money
Steel, aluminium, commodities, real estate and farmlands have all gone up as a whole
Even bitcoin and ethereum have gone up as an alternate store of value
So can expect prices to stay elevated
After Usd1.9 Trillion stimulus cheques Joe Biden will next propose for Multi Trillion Usd pump priming and backed by Janet Yellen another runaway reckless money printer
Posted by stockraider > Apr 15, 2021 2:14 PM | Report Abuse X
Thats correctloh! This is precisely what raider is emphasizing all this while mah!
Commodity share like wtk & jtiasa are like spring, when u press down alot & when release it will....jump up or spring up...... will be very sharp & strong loh!
For commodities companies (whether minerals or agricultural/woods), once the market prices of these commodities keep going up for sustainable periods, and with same costs of productions, profitability will shoot up. With this, their share prices will increase.
If you look at Metals X Ltd (Australian listed co., strong in copper mining), when copper price was very low early last year, the share price went down to A$0.12 and now, AS0.24. You see, 100% increase.
ahbah We all shall have long life if we cook our food with coconut oil ! n we also got long life to make more esi moni from the mkt ! 16/04/2021 12:30 PM
Ahbah
Pure coconut oil is ok
Processed coconut milk is different as it has high cholesterol
Nasi lemak once or twice a week ok but not every day ok
lumber has long history of expensive building materials, that's why mostly roofing materials now are all mostly steels..alot of government around the world control on timbering output due to mass deforestations!! are you out of date?? Calvintaneng
U need to buy them when the share price is low, usually when profit is low or even loss making b4 they make big profit up turn with the coming announcement mah!.
U only sell....when everything is hunky dowry when every thing is bright after very major share price advancement loh!
Jump in b4 too late b4 the next up turn loh!
Today palmoii & timber price move further up mah!
Eventually it will move to the share loh!
Posted by stockraider > Apr 15, 2021 2:14 PM | Report Abuse X
Thats correctloh! This is precisely what raider is emphasizing all this while mah!
Commodity share like wtk & jtiasa are like spring, when u press down alot & when release it will....jump up or spring up...... will be very sharp & strong loh!
For commodities companies (whether minerals or agricultural/woods), once the market prices of these commodities keep going up for sustainable periods, and with same costs of productions, profitability will shoot up. With this, their share prices will increase.
If you look at Metals X Ltd (Australian listed co., strong in copper mining), when copper price was very low early last year, the share price went down to A$0.12 and now, AS0.24. You see, 100% increase.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
calvintaneng
56,901 posts
Posted by calvintaneng > 2021-04-14 19:57 | Report Abuse
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/aluminum
Aluminium price chart above
Click on the 25Y button to view
Aluminum only up about 50% from ALL TIME HIGH