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Ride The Bull Short The Bear
CS Tan
4.9 / 5.0
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
stockraider
31,556 posts
Posted by stockraider > 2022-01-12 13:46 | Report Abuse
This uncensored & silly & ignorant loh!
Posted by stockraider > Jan 10, 2022 12:17 PM | Report Abuse X
This uncensored Talking like Silly fellow loh!
The latest past 30 years...China has more billionaires than US Mah!
This tell u that anybody can make it well in china loh!
Konman Uncensored is totally naive & wrong loh!
Posted by uncensored > Jan 9, 2022 11:47 AM | Report Abuse
"By the age of 40, your fate is already set"/China's class structure has become more solidified
After more than 70 years of development, China’s economy seems to be maturing. However, many indications suggest that the ascension from bottom to top in social class has virtually come to a halt.
On the path to the upper echelons of society, children from the rich and politically connected elite families have a clear advantage, and children of poor or rural families have less and diminishing access.
Posted by stockraider > Jan 10, 2022 2:28 PM | Report Abuse X
Do not be silly, if u compare the USA great recession and sub-prime problem vs china current temporary property setback....is just a small issue, but being blow out of proportion by this conman uncensored with intention to bad mouth china & to mislead u loh!
China temporary property setback are driven by the smart chinese govt, to release air prematurely in order to avoid the future & further risk like the usa subprime that affect the whole economy, when the bubble eventually burst in 2008 loh!
This reflect strength of Chinese Govt, in its ability able to recognise things early & take appropriate corrective action earlier, unlike the west who always need to do deal with boom & burst situation loh!
The china govt system is definitely more superior than the west mah!
Posted by uncensored > Jan 10, 2022 2:14 PM | Report Abuse
Andrew Hunt is CEO of Hunt Economics and former adviser to Dresdner Asset Management in Asia. Ben Ashby is a former managing director in JPMorgan's Chief Investment Office.
The well-documented problems at some of China's largest property developers are merely symptoms of the deeper structural challenges the country now faces.
We previously highlighted in the article "Why Ray Dalio is wrong about China" published online on July 11 that China was highly incentivized to encourage foreign investment in order to delay hard domestic decisions.
These inbound capital flows are however unlikely to be sufficient, and they would leave China vulnerable to foreign monetary policy. Since China will likely prioritize domestic order and control over a shorter lived but painful structural adjustment, a Great Pause in their economic growth seems probable.
How long this 'great pause' will take is hard to say. Yet despite the clear signs, investors are still to fully price the implications of this hiatus and what it means for industrial commodities or regional demand for goods.
Given many developing countries' high dependence on the Chinese economy, the next few years could be particularly difficult and make their recovery from COVID even harder.
The roots of these problems run deep. China's economic model has traditionally relied on the intensive use of credit in order to finance the country's impressive growth. As a result, the rate of increase in China's debts has been fast, outgrowing the economy itself: a dynamic that is ultimately not sustainable.
Though some of this credit was used to fund the creation of industrial capacity, much of it was used to fund a rapid and massive expansion of housing stock.
China's property and construction sectors have therefore become extremely large by comparison with the overall economy. Our research suggests that these sectors have been more than twice as important to the overall economy as their equivalent sectors were in Japan during that country's property bubble, or even the U.S. in 2005-2006.
We also estimate that property wealth is at least as important to China's savers' wealth as financial assets are to U.S savers at present. A decline in the fortunes of the property market will therefore depress domestic growth for a considerable time.
China's property-driven growth has run into several constraints of late, including affordability, market saturation and access to funding. Its banking system has also reached an unprecedented size, not just in relation to the size of China's own economy but increasingly in relation to the entire global economy.
Real estate-related lending and property-based collateral have come to dominate the system. China's banks themselves are deeply exposed to the sector, to the exclusion of other sectors, and will struggle to maintain their balance sheets if problems in the sector increase.