@Sslee, very smart of you to repost CalvinTan's post accusing Julius Baer of involvement in wrongful acts in Singapore. It was Julius Baer's staff by the name of Liu Kai who was implicated. Unscrupulous CalvinTan has now deleted all his slanderous posts.
Ringgit's rapid rise over the last two months is bad news for Keck Seng. I doubt if the management has pared down its foreign currency holdings before Ringgit started to gain ground.
Posted by calvintaneng > 21 hours ago | Report Abuse
These are some facts
Refer to Bursa Annual Report
1. Kseng has less than 9,000 acres oil palm lands While Tsh Resources got over 150,000 acres
2. Spore Dbs Bank in Top 10 of Tsh but not in Top 10 of Kseng
Why Dbs Bank only invest so much in Tsh Resources and not Kseng???
Why?
Calvin the Tua Pao wrote that Kseng has less than 9,000 acres oil palm lands. This is a deliberate misrepresentation of facts. 1 Keck Seng has nearly 600 acres (237 hec) of residential and commercial lands under development at Bandar Baru Kangkar Pulai
2 Keck Seng is also the owner of the 500 acre (208 hec) Tanjung Puteri Golf Resort which consists of a 54 hole golf course, clubs and other recreational facilities.
3 Keck Seng also owns the Tanjung Puteri Resort which is an 800 acre (359 hec) residential, commercial and industrial land under development.
The rest of Keck Seng's nearly 9,000 acre land is under oil palm cultivation. Keck Seng's lands are all located in Johor Bahru, a city with a population of 1.8 million. In comparison, Nusantara is expected to have a population of 1.9 million in 2045. Keck Seng's land is worth at least RM4.5 to RM5 billion but TSH's land is worth at most RM10k per acre or just RM1.5 billion in total. One is a useless stone, the other is a piece of diamond.
I would think Oriental ( 4006 ) is better bet than both TSH and K Seng. Oriental has net cash of 3.1 billion and many undervalue lands. Better buy now as it would not stay below RM7.00 next year.
When Covid 19 lockdowns triggered a world wide economic recession and resulted in Keck Seng posting losses in 2020, it immediately stopped paying dividends though it still had plenty of cash. The Genting group of companies, though suffering from several years of losses continued to pay reasonably good dividends. Keck Seng's profit increased by several folds in 2023 and 2024 but it only increased its dividend payout by a disproportionate amount.
I think Oriental Holdings is a good and well managed company worth a second look. I have never bought this company before in my few decades of investment experience but have heard of its good performance and know that it is cash rich and had lost its Honda franchise in Malaysia many years ago. Just have a brief look at its annual report and now know it is a well diversified company.
Publish date: Thu, 19 Sep 2024, 08:22 PM KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit has continued to strengthen against the US dollar, hitting a 28-month high versus the greenback after the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) kept to its words and delivered a 50-basis points interest rate cut last night, an analyst said.
At 6 pm, the local note surged to 4.2025/2105 versus the greenback from Wednesday's close of 4.2410/2460, retaining its position as one of the top performing currencies in the Asian region.
All the foreign exchange gains over the past two over years have been wiped out if the company has not pared down its foreign exchange holdings. I doubt it has.
KSeng's core business is property n development Next is hotel business
The strong ringgit will affect the Forex exchange n this loss is minimal...can easily be absorbed by it's core business gains n profits!
KSeng will continue to report higher n higher earnings every quarter!
Land is scarce! JB properties/ industrial lands ....selling like hot cakes! Sunway properties launched it's residential properties in JB n was fully sold in two hours!!!
Since Keck Seng is so grossly undervalued, the management should immediately spring into action after obtaining shareholders' mandate to buy back up to 10% of its issued shares but they practically did nothing.
Keck Seng has almost 5,900 acres of oil palm estate including 50 acres of industrial land just north of Tanjung Langsat Port. Part of the land is leasehold but the lease expires in 2115. The net book value of this piece of land is only RM32.6 million.
Should Tanjung Port need more land for expansion and buys land from Keck Seng, the cost of the land would likely be 80 to 100 times the net book value.
Those who wish to invest in Keck Seng better act fast. When the RTS is completed in two years time, you may not be able to get Keck Seng shares at below RM8.
Those who wish to invest in Keck Seng better act fast. When the RTS is completed in two years time, you may not be able to get Keck Seng shares at below RM8.
2027. After the completion of RTS... JB n Spore becomes one city! FDI will flow in.. Population of JB will increase by keeps n bounce!!! Industrial lands n JB properties will be sold at higher n higher price! EPS of KSeng will rocket high! KSeng share price may touch RM8/9/10 Be forward looking n move in the right direction!
@kk7198, I topped up some Keck Seng shares quite a few months ago. If you had recommended Oriental Holdings earlier, I certainly would consider investing in the company. Now I am holding back on further investments.
@prudentinvestor, now is a good time to buy Oriental Holding. Div yield is 7% which you need to wait for the next one. Price has weaken a bit. Just buy and keep for next year.
Fortunately for Keck Seng but unfortunately for our country, Ringgit's sudden drop over the past few weeks has substantially pared down Keck Seng's foreign exchange losses from over RM60 million as of around 30/09/24 to just over RM20 million today. This is insignificant for a company that has the ability to make over RM200 million net this year.
@kk7198, I have some investments in oil palm counters, hopefully palm oil prices would move further up, triggering a strong rally in palm oil counters just like what happened 2 years ago. Would dispose all this time and switch to Oriental Holdings. Pray for me Oriental would stay at this level for a while. 🤣🤣
is foreign currency loss a non operation siisue? Foreign currency losses can indeed be considered non-operational issues, depending on the context and the way a company's financial statements are prepared. Non-operational items are typically those that are not part of the company's core business activities. Foreign currency losses often fall into this category because they arise from fluctuations in exchange rates rather than the company's primary operations.
For example, if a company based in Malaysia has investments or operations in the United States, the value of these investments can fluctuate with the exchange rate between the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) and the US Dollar (USD). These gains or losses from currency exchange would typically be classified as non-operational in the financial statements.
I like the concept of owning Kseng and enjoying the "free landbank " dated back in 1980. Why is the land bank considered "free"? This is because the cash per share of the company is about RM3.2. + the company investment in securities RM1.15 and recurring rental income RM2.65=RM7 which is already higher than the current share price RM5.8. Kseng owns 9000+ acres of land in Johor. For every 1000 share of Kseng share is equivalent of owing 0.02365 acres of land.
Land is considered a valuable investment for several reasons:
Appreciation in Value: Over time, the value of land tends to appreciate, especially in areas with growing demand due to population growth, urbanization, and economic development.
Scarcity: Land is a finite resource; there’s only so much of it available, which makes it inherently valuable.
Versatility: Land can be used for various purposes, such as residential, commercial, agricultural, or industrial developments, giving investors multiple options to generate income.
Tangible Asset: Unlike stocks or bonds, land is a physical asset that you can see and touch. This can provide a sense of security for some investors.
Hedge Against Inflation: Land often retains its value and even appreciates during periods of inflation, making it a good hedge against the declining purchasing power of money.
Passive Income: Land can generate passive income through rental yields or leasing, particularly in the case of agricultural land or properties developed for commercial use.
Buying a listed entity solely because of its undervalued landbanks can be a risky strategy. While undervalued landbanks might seem like an attractive opportunity, there are several factors to consider:
Market Conditions: The real estate market can be highly volatile. Economic downturns, changes in government policies, and shifts in market demand can significantly impact the value of landbanks2.
Company's Financial Health: It's crucial to assess the overall financial health of the company. Even if the landbanks are valuable, the company might have other liabilities or operational issues that could affect its performance.
Development Potential: The potential for development and the company's ability to execute development plans are important. Not all landbanks are equal; their value depends on location, zoning laws, and the feasibility of development projects.
Management Quality: The quality of the company's management team and their track record in successfully developing landbanks can make a significant difference.
Regulatory and Legal Risks: There might be legal or regulatory challenges associated with the landbanks that could affect their value.
Suffering from huge foreign exchange losses, What a joke! The management needs to be blamed for keeping cash in foreign currencies instead of investing in shares, especially banks counters. DBS Bank and UOB have both risen by over 100%, including dividends over the past 4 over years. This is a better bet but the management doesn't seem to know.
agree that management should get the money invested instead of holding cash. How do we know what will be the exchange rate next month or next year? BTW, it is expected next quarter will be forex gain.
look at the retained earnings 2,222,113,000 vs the share capital 372,005,000, it should be right for the board to declare bonus every 3 years so that share will be more liquid and more appealing to institution investors. Liquidity is an issue for fund to consider buying a share.
@prudentinvestor, now is the best time for you to buy Oriental.It was thrown down heavily by some big guys. No worries....like K Seng, buy when it comes down a lot. Fundamental is still intact.
On October 20, 2022, KSM and its 99.8%-owned subsidiary, Lim & Lim Plantations Bhd, signed a comprehensive development agreement to allocate 20 acres of land to MBPG. This land will be used to develop a new administrative center in Pasir Gudang City
The Tanjong Puteri Resort TechPark in Pasir Gudang will offer several types of industrial land, including:
Freehold Industrial Land: Available for purchase at approximately RM 79.96 per square foot.
60-Year Leasehold Industrial Land: Available at around RM 52.00 per square foot for smaller plots and RM 60.42 per square foot for larger plots.
The TechPark will feature state-of-the-art facilities, including advanced infrastructure, ample parking space, and access to essential services. This development aims to attract a wide range of industries, from manufacturing to logistics and technology.
prudentinvestor, would you mind to compute the actual value to be unlock? will investor still claim that Kseng a value stock or growth stock in coming years?
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT &INVESTMENT= RM32M HOTEL BUSINESSES IN USA &CANADA =RM 10M OLECHEM MANUFACTURING =RM10M PLANTATION =RM8M INTEREST INCOME =RM9M DIVIDEND INCOME =1M FOREIGN CURRENCY SAVING (FOREX)=RM45M TOTAL PRETAX PROFIT =RM115M
Assumptions of the prediction of next qtr profit:- 1. based on current forex: USD -MYR 4.47, SGD-myr 3.33 2. businesses most affected by USD= Hotel in USA & Canada and Oleochem products for export 3. On 30sept2024, Forex USD -MYR 4.12, SGD-MYR 3.2 4. 3rd qtr FY Dec2024: Forex losses -RM76m, co. pretax loss -RM36m,--->co. pretax profit excluding Forex losses =RM76m-RM36m=RM40m (this is not a recommendation to buy or sell, purely for academic study!)
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
prudentinvestor
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Posted by prudentinvestor > 2024-08-23 15:12 | Report Abuse
@Sslee, very smart of you to repost CalvinTan's post accusing Julius Baer of involvement in wrongful acts in Singapore. It was Julius Baer's staff by the name of Liu Kai who was implicated. Unscrupulous CalvinTan has now deleted all his slanderous posts.