The Miami land estate is the crown jewel for GENM, and indirectly GENB too .. let's not forget that .. a price tag of RM5 billion to its book value of RM1 billion will nett a gain of RM3-4 billion after corporate expenses ..
GentingM doing way better than Genting Singapore. Was at the genting SG casino recently and it was very empty. No wonder gambling license only renewed for 2 years..
Its now a very expensive game because after key in buy orders BMS do not allow cancel order for biggies 2,500 lots and above etc. You will get a verbal warning from Bursa. Small fries cancel 100 lots BMS dun disturb. So Whales forced to swallow some lots. But overall Whales still make money. Just cost of Bursa scamming had gone up a lot.
Ever since Bursa implemented the Bursa Monitoring System aka BMS, Whales need to slowly build up the buy queues and slowly collapse buy queues. Just like GenM scam done today. Essentially those kena scammed are given more time to dump sell to avoid mass slaughter. Before BMS, buy queues just can collapse many layers or even many whole RM as Whales cancel orders within fractions of seconds.
Currently all who cancel huge orders are interrogated over phone or invited for coffee at Bursa.
Posted by Balian de Ibelin > Nov 29, 2024 5:29 PM | Report Abuse
Its now a very expensive game because after key in buy orders BMS do not allow cancel order for biggies 2,500 lots and above etc. You will get a verbal warning from Bursa. Small fries cancel 100 lots BMS dun disturb. So Whales forced to swallow some lots. But overall Whales still make money. Just cost of Bursa scamming had gone up a lot.
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Wow, Balian Sir , u are freely a instructor for PN17 billis。 TQVM
Genting Malaysia Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: RM0.10 (up from RM0.031 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: RM2.75b (up 1.5% from 3Q 2023). Net income: RM569.2m (up 221% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 21% (up from 6.5% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.9% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Malaysia.
Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 110% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
=> Mr Market always values shares as more than their real theoretical mathematical worth. The price difference some refer as Goodwill.
The reason why GenM has extreme over valuation 1) Public facing corporate body. General public sees Genting name often. 2) People assume Genting is branded. 3) Inertia by past shareholders who bought in at extreme high prices. 4) People brainwashed bv past unable to accept reality a mature company unable to generate good profits anymore. 5) Many still living in the past.
Posted by Balian de Ibelin > Nov 30, 2024 2:08 PM | Report Abuse
Your logical logic is even more Fatal because the Kisah Benar is actually the opposite / reverse.
GenM ability to generate profits had dropped by 80% Whereas GenM share price had ONLY dropped 25%
=> there is a huge headroom for share price to drop further.
? Balian said that GenM ability to generate profits had dropped by 80% Whereas GenM share price had ONLY dropped 25% please provide prove.., → Where is the fact and figures from the past 5 yrs from Genm?
Honestly just take word from the "shifu" here like the advice of a uncle that talks about stock in the koptiam. I lurk here from time to time and his arguement always macam yes. Quoting idiom left and right, explaining the composition of alzheimer drugs then disect qr report like he is mr market. Like chill dude genting has been range bound for years now u can pray it goes to 0.8-0.9 due to bad QR but its not realistic cuz that QR is 2month old by the time u get it market alrd priced it.
Genting moves based on FED rates just overlay the chart and u will see the corelation high rates = genting suffer, steady low rates = genting rebound. 2009-2016 is a good example, genting strives when monetary policy is loose it will be loose next year so stop looking at the 2 month old micro data and focus on macro genting will get their turn when rates goes back to 0. 25-1%.
Interest-rate forecast. We project the federal-funds rate target range to fall from 4.75%-5.00% currently to 4.50%-4.75% at the end of 2024, 3.00%-3.25% at the end of 2025, and 2.00%-2.25% by the end of 2026, after which the Fed will be done cutting.
Ya after they said inflation is transitory when inflation 1st started then they started hiking after things gone up 2x - 3x untill the labour sector is in a recession. Then they proceed to change their official definition of recession and revamp their way to calculate CPI, then proceed to cut rates after a few bank went down and a few more are on the brink of credit crunch.
In reality the fed is always late and wrong they tend to act tough untill they get hit in the face then proceeds to bail everyone out and keep rates low. U can argue 2% but i am going with 0.25 cuz they fked up after hiking in 08 and 18 and in both case they lowered to 0.25 cuz the banks and treasury couldnt handle a 2% enviroment.
But what would i know, the "shifu" here are conversing with us like they are the second coming of charlie munger and pavlov. We are lucky genting dint invest in nuclear, if not u guys will turn into the 2nd coming of oppheimer talking about how atoms create energy.
You got it backwards. Though there is equivalent balance after the creation event. Many believe energy creates atoms at the instance of the creation of the Universe, and not the other way round atoms create energy. Nuclear chemistry was one of the academic units I specialized in as well to get my degree. 😁
Thanks Junkit, I learnt something from you, regarding correlation with ZIRP! I have another thesis as to why GENM recovery might be muted - the rise of online gambling. I look around me and I don't see young people going up to Genting to gamble as often. But I DO see people at the mamak openly gambling on mobile apps in broad daylight! The vice of gambling and the addiction will always be there, we just need to look around and see where it's flowing to. I'm not certain the offline casino business can even last another 20 years. These days I'm eyeing US listed companies that do online gambling.
By the way the reason why i am in this ticker is simple, 2 catalyst not mentioned here.
Fed rates and its effect on genting
China stimulus and the hidden slush fund.
The 2 will be the big catalyst for genting since genting has been in a high rate cycle from 2016-2024. In reality genting never had a chance to get a breather like the other stocks since business were suffering from 16-19 rising rates, 20-21 business was shut due to covid, 21-24 rising rates. A long term low rate enviroment + china stimulus spending spree will start 09-16 rising spree
China GDP is expected to drop continously for the next 5 years. So far China solution to help economy is make announcements. No one gets any free money.
Statistics of China 50% youth unemployment are now censored.
How will this affect GenM ultra high PN17 level debt that exceeds equity?
A possible solution out of this dilemma is to sell off the plantation and power companies to infuse cash into entire Genting group. Alarms are ringing and lights strobing. Self destruction sequence T minus already announced and running.
Also to fight fires at GenT level GenM had to reduce NTA to donate dividend money to GenT
You bought wrong, people did not sell wrong price to you.
Honestly i am seriously doubting your source of information, its the same as the uncle from the kopitiam.
The best place to see if they are doing QE or QT is just by looking at their bond yeild they went from 2.5% in 2020 to 3.3% in 2021. This was the time they started to dump US treasury intesively to bail out their own economy. Today the China 10y is at 2% and still dropping while their US bond holding is back at 08 levels. This is the real data that they are lowering rates to bail the economy out, its better than the news u mention that make anouncement then not doing anything.
Next the big spenders have never been the kids, its the VIP and the higher ups that go out and spend lavishly. (hence the term slush fund)
Next debt to asset, genting have been playing around a 45% - 50% asset to liability ratio since 2019 they held out the 1st rate hike cycle then covid then the 2nd ratr hike cycle and ur main worry is equity when rate cut comes?
Genting plantation just got a target raise by a few banks recently, stop looking at the data from Q3 its 2month old now 3 aggresive fed cuts had alrd happen. The only thing i would focus on is how bad will the black swan be for fed to cut back down to lower rates and how much genting will fall since its was alrd in a downtrend when everything else is near bubble territory.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ckwee168
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Posted by ckwee168 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse
The Miami land estate is the crown jewel for GENM, and indirectly GENB too .. let's not forget that .. a price tag of RM5 billion to its book value of RM1 billion will nett a gain of RM3-4 billion after corporate expenses ..