Based on my few years experience in this counter, personal advice only. If profit let chicken first. Lol .... after report come out, price will drop.... let wait .05 entry again...
TEA (teh) DIVEN , Master ( should be student ! ) , TA Bebi , Don J >> sad ending to you all .- pressed the panic button this morning like headless chicken ...PITY ! advice given to you all fell into your deaf ears !....this is bursa laaa the special bolehland - don't follow the finance textbook or the kaput value investing >> PLEASE USE MICRO_ECONOMICS to make angpows @ jackpot !
what's that newbie master ? EPS is negative ?....WHO CARES..! .this is Bursa very special & unique market unlike the developed Wall Street ..market ..Here we love Warrants & Penny... the MICRO-ECONOMICS PRINCIPLE is MORE CRUCIAL IN DICTATING the Price of Luster & SONS ( WA + WB )
Luster Industries (Luster) recorded substantial losses of RM24.6mn in 4Q16 due to goodwill written off (RM16.7mn) and asset impairment (4.0mn) and the forfeiture of deposit for casino of RM1.7mn as the project was halted. Excluding all these, Luster’s FY16 core losses of RM6.1mn trailed our expectation. The variance was due to the absence of profit guarantee from its Cambodia NFO units, which failed to rake in US$1mn for FY16. Luster’s core losses increased by 17.8% to RM6.1mn as the manufacturing unit failed to turnaround on the back of increased operating cost arising from 1) increase in minimum wage in Malaysia; 2) additional cost incurred on factory relocation, and 3) one-off retrenchment cost. Meanwhile, the gaming unit also failed to report profit for FY16 due to poor luck factor. The lottery business in Cambodia recorded RM2.0mn loss in FY16. Despite losses, Luster’s net cash position remained unscratched with cash surplus of RM16.4mn in Dec-16 (RM15.3mn as at Sep-16) as the losses arising mainly from non-cash expenses. The near-term liquidity risk remained low with current and quick ratio of 3.6x and 3.1x respectively. Impact
No change to our FY17-18 earnings projections. We believe FY17 earnings of RM3.4mn is achievable as there will be maiden contribution from property division as explained below. Outlook
Luster booked in RM11.1mn as property development cost in Dec-16 and we believe the company has completed the abandoned housing project, known as Taman Tasik 1Malaysia, in Perak. As such, we can expect sales of 106 units of properties to begin in 1Q17. Note that this is a build-then-sell project and Luster has recently upgraded the project status to “Kediaman Kos Sederhana”. Based on an indicative selling price of RM250k/unit, the project is expected to contribute RM26.5mn to FY17 revenue. The group has charged out the deposit for casino project as expenses this quarter, indicating the group is no longer going ahead with its warehousetype casino in Cambodia. We believe this is after taking into account the move to lift casino ban in Vietnam. Note that the Vietnamese government announced that from Mar-17 onwards and for a three-year trial period, citizens aged above 21 and earning at least 10mn dong per month would be allowed to gamble at two new casinos in Vietnam. Recommendation
We maintain Luster’s DCF valuation at 10sen/share, based on unchanged discount rate of 14%. However, given the share price has appreciated by 80% YTD, we downgrade the stock to Hold with upside potential of 11%. Future catalyst will come from Phase 2 of Taman Tasik 1 Malaysia project, which the group has the first right of refusal in completing the jobs. From Oct-16 to Feb-17, there was a number of off-market deals initiated by the founder, Mr. Lim See Chea, and a substantial shareholder, SUNCITY Entertainment. Mr. Lim has disposed of a total of 76.2mn shares (4.4% of outstanding shares) at price ranging from 6sen-8.5sen/share and SUNCITY has disposed of 5mn shares (0.3% of outstanding shares) at 10sen/share. During this period, Luster share price climbed from 6sen to 9sen. Source: TA Research - 1 Mar 2017
Despite losses, Luster’s net cash position remained unscratched with cash surplus of RM16.4mn in Dec-16 (RM15.3mn as at Sep-16) as the losses arising mainly from non-cash expenses. The near-term liquidity risk remained low with current and quick ratio of 3.6x and 3.1x respectively.
Despite losses, Luster’s net cash position remained unscratched with cash surplus of RM16.4mn in Dec-16 (RM15.3mn as at Sep-16) as the losses arising mainly from non-cash expenses. The near-term liquidity risk remained low with current and quick ratio of 3.6x and 3.1x respectively. Impact
Be KOOL , please be positive on them , Mr TEA (teh) ! I am wonderingg how come you missed their angpows ( jackpot ) ? >> Hope this time you got angpows $$$$$ , my fren
WA BREWINGGGGG.....See my dear fren Mr TEA (teh) ! WA is undervalue compared to WB 4.5 sen and MOM QUOTE 9 to 9.5 SEN OPTIMISIT WA WB to HIT 6 SEN ONCE MOM TOUCH 10 SEN ## Hope our fren Mr TEA (teh) & CO taste the 1st angpows today....God Willing $
Noted Mr Crazy 127.....Pity...Serious Case >> ..Our Dear Fren Mr TEA (teh) already GIVE UP ,,..Keep Calm Mr TEA ... I hope & Pray Mr TEA will strike his VERY 1st angpow very soon but GOT TO APPLY MICRO-ECONOMICS Principle $......the Microeconomics forces of D & S.....so what is D ?...S ?...your homework ., please ...to think like an Economist ! ( can't spoon feed all )
## Trading 101 ....when there is volatility ( movement ) >> this will trigger opportunities for making GAIN $$$$$ - you see this counter Luster & sons WA WB got movement what unlike cold bluechip counters !
Mr supernova81 ----> Can....now luster got another DARLING >> PROPERTY - NOW A CASH COW $$$$$$
FROM TA Analysis >> huarttt arrrr $$$$$$
We believe FY17 earnings of RM3.4mn is achievable as there will be maiden contribution from property division as explained below. Outlook
Luster booked in RM11.1mn as property development cost in Dec-16 and we believe the company has completed the abandoned housing project, known as Taman Tasik 1Malaysia, in Perak. As such, we can expect sales of 106 units of properties to begin in 1Q17. Note that this is a build-then-sell project and Luster has recently upgraded the project status to “Kediaman Kos Sederhana”. Based on an indicative selling price of RM250k/unit, the project is expected to contribute RM26.5mn to FY17 revenue.
Despite losses, Luster’s net cash position remained unscratched with cash surplus of RM16.4mn in Dec-16 (RM15.3mn as at Sep-16) as the losses arising mainly from non-cash expenses. The near-term liquidity risk remained low with current and quick ratio of 3.6x and 3.1x respectively.
Meaning Luster CASH POSITION REMAINED SOLID ROCK $$$$$
that why the Luster price remained intact 9 to 9.5 SEN , WA 4 SEN , WB 4.5 SEN
## Pity to those PANIC SOLD & THROWWWWWWWWW like NO TOMOROW yesterday morning !
DRwarrant, Bursa Malaysia going to pace on warrant era(yours era). DNEX, CENSOF, BIOHLDB, etc...son outperformed mother!!! Does LUSTER follow the same pace? Check it out!!!
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Master
203 posts
Posted by Master > 2017-03-01 13:35 | Report Abuse
Based on my few years experience in this counter, personal advice only. If profit let chicken first. Lol .... after report come out, price will drop.... let wait .05 entry again...