Coming is a sure thing as Ecrl will need a lot of long steel bars. One ton of cement is rm350
One ton of long steel rebar ranges from Rm2,300 to Rm3,000
So masteel stands to reap high profit when all the engines of construction for infrar firing up again
Of course there might be a time lag or delay as thousands of contractors are shortlisted for selection in the Ecrl project
Maybe my buy call still early
Never mind. I called for a buy on Carimin way too early in Jan 2018 and price of carimin even weakened further. But more than one year later price shot up double
So my buy call on masteel may be too early
Never mind. I am prepared to hold as Ecrl is a sure thing. Bandar Malaysia is also a sure thing and Pan Borneo highway is now a reality..it is still a work in progress.
So the verdict is
Coming bull run time again for masteel
When?
That I cannot tell for sure
For now what we should do is buy while still cheap
All the China red chip companies listed in KLSE like Xinquan, XDL, CSl, Maxwell & all the others no exception are all failures
NOW LET ME TELL YOU WHAT I KNOW ABOUT MASTEEL FOR MORE THAN A DECADE
1) MASTEEL RAISED ITS FUNDS BY PRIVATE PLACEMENTS EASILY (SO NO HIGH BORROWINGS)
2) MASTEEL HAS HIGH MARGIN OF SAFETY WITH NTA OVER RM1.50. PRICE IS ONLY 1/3 OF NET ASSET VALUE
3) MASTEEL HAS A COMPETITIVE EDGE AS IT USES CHEAP SCRAP METAL WHICH CHINA ALSO NOT BUYING (JUST LIKE MUDA BENEFITED FROM CHEAP RECYCLE PAPER) NOW IRON ORE PRICE ALMOST DOUBLED WILL HIT OTHERS HARD
4) MASTEEL BUSINESS WAS DOWN JUST LIKE LAFARGE CEMENT DUE TO CANCELLATION OF MANY HIGH VALUE INFRAR PROJECTS AFTER PH GOVT WON GE14
CAPACITY WAS REDUCED TO 50% BECAUSE OF LACK OF DEMAND (NOT DUE TO CHINA STEEL DUMPING)
NOW THAT ECRL & BANDAR MALAYSIA JOBS WILL BE REVIVED BOTH CEMENT AND LONG STEEL FOR HEAVY INFRAR JOBS WILL RISE IN DEMAND
5) CEMENT PRICES HAVE ALREADY GONE UP BY 12.5% TO 20% AFTER YTL TOOK OVER LAFARGE. NEXT LONG STEEL PRICE MIGHT RISE DUE TO HIGH IRON ORE PRICES
ALL THE FAVOURABLE FACTORS FOR CEMENT AND LONG STEEL ARE NOW BEGINNING TO TURN POSITIVE (LAFARGE, HUME IND & TASEK PRICES RUN FIRST) NEXT TO RUN UP WILL BE LONG STEEL LIKE MASTEEL, ANNJOO, LIONIND & SOUTHERN STEEL
I LIKE MASTEEL BECAUSE IT IS THE ONLY 100% PURE LONG STEEL PLAYER WITH 4 STRONG FACTORS
1) ITS PRICE TO ASSET = HUGE MARGIN OF SAFETY
2) ITS LOCATION = AT THE START OF ECRL IN KLANG
3) ITS COMPETITIVE EDGE = USING SCRAP IRON AS RAW MATERIAL
4) ITS BALANCE SHEET: IT AVOIDED HIGH BANK BORROWINGS BUT RAISE CAPITAL BY PRIVATE PLACEMENT
AND THE BEST OF ALL IS ITS PRICE
AT 50 SEN MASTEEL HAS REACHED NEAR ROCK BOTTOM FROM ITS RECENT PEAK AT RM1.90
Yes Masteel at current price will go down first until firm news of ECRL & BM, which est. in end year. Before that you could find other stock to gain, why need to put your money in hanging & stagnant?
PS: Don't forget G20 Meeting outcome may send market in turmoil again.
Saitama Yes Masteel at current price will go down first until firm news of ECRL & BM, which est. in end year. Before that you could find other stock to gain, Before that you could find other stock to gain, Before that you could find other stock to gain, why need to put your money in hanging & stagnant?
PS: Don't forget G20 Meeting outcome may send market in turmoil again. 16/06/2019 7:04 AM
#Before that you could find other stock to gain....#P.S: Don't forget G20 Meeting outcome may send market in turmoil again...Hey Saitama what talking you???? Are you high or what?
KUALA LUMPUR (June 17): Cement manufacturers said today that cement prices in Peninsular Malaysia, which have been falling since 2016, have reached a level that is not sustainable, amid the various cost increases the industry is facing.
The Cement and Concrete Association of Malaysia said this in a statement today in response to various recent reports about cement price adjustments, though it said it cannot comment as cement prices that are independently set by each cement manufacturer based on their respective circumstances.
While it said its members understand the concerns expressed by their customers and participants in the construction industry, it stressed that the cement industry is highly capital intensive and hence needs to have a reasonable return on its investments in order to be able to meet the expectations of all its stakeholders.
In the statement, it also highlighted that the industry has been suffering from cost increases such as higher electricity tariffover the past few years following the withdrawal of the special industrial tariff or SIT, and the implementation of the imbalance cost past through or ICPT mechanism.
In addition, it said packing materials have become costlier following the increase in pulp prices, while imported fuel materials, engineering spares as well as equipment have further compounded the problem of rising costs.
"While the industry has been absorbing these cost increases, cement prices in Peninsular Malaysia have been on a downward trend since 2016 and have reached the level that is not sustainable.
"As a result of the significant margin erosion brought about by the declining cement prices and cost increases, the cement manufacturers have incurred significant losses and negative cash flows for the past many quarters.
"Collectively, the cement industry provides hundreds of thousands of jobs directly and indirectly. These jobs will be put at risk if the industry continues to operate at a loss," the association added.
According to news reports, cement suppliers have been notifying their customers that cement prices will be going up between 40% and 50% from July, with some taking effect from Saturday (June 15).
It was also reported that the Finance Ministry and the Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs Ministry (KPDNHEP) will meet over the 50% price hike, after the Real Estate and Housing Developers Association Malaysia (Rehda), Penang Master Builders & Building Materials Dealers Association (PMBBMDA) and Federation of Malaysian Manufacturers (FMM) met with Finance Minister Lim Guan Eng yesterday here over the matter.
NO WONDER LAFARGE UP SO MUCH
NEXT LONG STEEL PLAYERS LIKE MASTEEL, ANNJOO & SOUTHERN STEEL WILL ALSO ASK FOR PRICE INCREASE DUE TO ECRL NEW IMPETUS
If klse index rising but this masteel does Not follow it, it means that it will go down and masteel company can buy back it’s own shares at cheaper price too...bad news right !!!!
Investrader, pls wait longer if ppl is right about Calvin and masteel, the lowest price should be 35 cents, i Don’t u to make loss like Me. If u want minimise losses, pls buy at 35 cents
Publicinvest promoto buy on ssteel, pls sell coz the traders in public invest are selling their shares to us so that we chak sei kai...eat dead chicken meaning
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
TheContrarian
9,508 posts
Posted by TheContrarian > 2019-06-13 16:24 | Report Abuse
Go, go, go Masteel.