uptrend started in June 2020 till now. Reaching a 8 year high above $4,300 per tonne in early April recently but Rsawit still struggling to break above 30
Even TDM hits 32+ sen. Company have 3 main business segments . plantation , healthcare and others but 90% profit comes from oil palm. Rsawit 100% on oil palm and related products.should earn more
Remember 2 of the world most richest & savvy investors w.buffet & bill gates like investing in farmland now mah!
U can emulate them now too mah....!!
Thats why the 2 richest savvy investors have taken note the point of concern that palmoil & commodity price cannot going up forever like the case of glove & eventually the commodity price will also fall 1 day mah!
To address this issue or concern w.buffet & bill gates, say buy farmland & palmoil plantation, even the commodity price fall, u still have great protection on the value of cheap plantation land & farmland mah..!
If u buy into cheap land, u have both margin of safety accorded by cheap land plus prospect of reaping great profit from high palmoil price loh!
Thus u should Quickly Buy into palmoil plantation now, b4 its price shoot up mah!
Time to be a little bit more contraian in view of mkt at reasonable high level mah!
Warren buffet says inflation is definitely coming in view of low interest interest and speculative sign such as bitcoin, rubbish stock price run up sky high and unrealistic stock valuation & expectation and now raw commodities price run up mah!
Bill Gates already bought alot of farmland at low in preparation & in anticipation for the coming armmagedoom coming mah! Why would one the world tech best richest owner switch alot of his investment into farmland, this bcos farmland or value real estate if it is bought at reasonable low price, u cannot go wrong over longterm bcos the availability of land is limited, u cannot manufacture land like bitcoin mah!
Coming back to msia the equivalent to farmland is oil plantation, u still can get it real cheap & it is paying u reasonably good dividend loh...this is the best defensive & offensive play like bill gates and warren buffet had highlighted mah!
As calvin sifu said timber is at record price & palmoil at record price surely some optimism will spillover to plantation & timber share price mah!
But this up 1 to 2 sen is chicken feed mah, why up so little leh ??
Timber & palmoil share r suffering from lack of production mah and also huge impairment losses on its assets mah & previous falling share price mah! Thus they are jittery on recovery of palmoil & timber share loh!! They want to see actual profit b4 jump in loh!! That means if u base on profit...as indicator that means the share price will be lagging loh!
Then why promote Wtk leh ?? 1. The owner , directors and insiders already accumulating quietly without fanfare mah! 2. The palmoil & timber production volume of wtk, mhc, jtiasa, boustead, ijm plant already creeping up loh...this is further support by the record price of its commodities. Just imagine u have higher prices & higher volume....that will be a very important sign of higher big profit coming mah! 3. The share price already corrected over 3 yrs of downtrend previously, when there is a big shakeout of all the weak holders...u can only grow more optimistic as time past by loh! 4. Wtk is sitting on some prime land that invested at a very low cost near major town & city, they are good development mah! 5. With all the liquidity & quantitative easing & low interest rate environment, u can see big inflation will be coming loh...!! Wtk in commodities business plus very big cheap land bank is a very good inflation protector mah!
Based on the above i think wtk , jayatiasa & ijmplant is the best pick to make profit & this is concur by sifu calvin findings also mah!
Posted by pjseow > May 8, 2021 6:08 PM | Report Abuse
Calvin and Ahbah , Investment timing is very important and be at least medium and long term horizon . Dont buy at the peak . Gloves stocks had came down 50 to 60 % from the peaks in August last year . I did not promote glove counters then because the earnings were still not proven , PE were high . Glove stock prices peak before its ASP peak . There was a 9 months to a year lead of the share prices over its ASPs . Glove stocks had finally PROVEN to deliver fantastic results in the last 3 qtrs after August 2020 while their prices came down 50 % . THeir PE are less than 5 while they will continue to deliver superb results in the next few years with double and tripling of capacities . The palm oil price cannot keep going up forever since it started picking up 2 years ago in 2019 .Likewise , the oil palm counters will peak soon or already peak now before its palm oil ASP peak which may happen in 3 to 6 months time or even earlier . When palm oils ASP came down finally , do the plantation counters have doubling of capacities to compensate for the drop in ASPs ?
From the low of $2,000 per ton CPO price has rebounded to above $4,O00 - 4,500 for the past 5 months .Rsawit is stuck at 28 -30 sen price { based on past pricing 2,200 -2,500 } Rsawit should be hypothetically trading at 40 - 50 pricing. Key shareholders { Tan Sri Diong family holding 56% and Sarawak State 5.6+ %} solid backing
From Permafrost to Precipitation, Calvin Tan Research (At what stage is Glove, Steel/Aluminium & Palm Oil Stocks currently?
The Eight Stages of A Hot Air Balloon Stock
NOTE: THIS ALSO APPLY TO CYCLICALS LIKE GLOVES, STEEL/ALUMINIUM & PALM OIL
Stage No. 1. PermaFrost
Snow that is frozen for 2 or more years are called permafrost
perma - as in perma-nent
frost - be freezed over
This is the stage of a really dead stock that no research house will bother. Not a single soul is interested. The exception must be the only one in ten thousand who dare to buy any.
Stage No. 2. Thawing
Frozen Solid Ice starts to thaw or soften a little
A very slight passing glance by some value investors or deep value hunters. Only the very brave who SEE VALUE Will dare to buy some.
Stage No. 3 ICE Now Turning to Cold Water.
Some brave souls dare to venture in. Of course it's cold. Every where people pour scorn and cold water on the stock. Very few pay any attention. Remarks are usually negative. From Remisiers, fund managers, one and all. Same conclusion - the stock is not in their investment radar. So most reject it..
Stage 4. Cold Water no longer cold. It is now at room temperature.
Ha! there is a little attention paid by value investor. For the rest it is neither cold nor hot. So lukewarm response. No longer negative like before. But not positive either. A few hopeful investor starts to accumulate.
Stage 5 Water starts to boil
Ha! the heat or fire cause the water to stir a little now. There is warm and movement.
Company reports a good quarter. Or some great contract awarded - real or assumed. Some by merger news. Some favourable factors due to ringgit crash and strong US Dollar translating into higher profits. Or cheap oil benefiting rubber glove, logistic stock like transport or airline. There is now a stir in the stock.
Newspapers, analysts, experts, punters and all are paying attention now. More people talk about it in internet forum and even the media reports it.
Buyers are coming in and there is a great stir at last. Things are now coming alive. Prices moving upward. Many are making monies.
Stage 6. Boiling Water Turning Very Hot in the kettle. The water now churning in violent waves in the pot or kettle with steaming hot movements.
At long last the stock is very hot. Post after post by i3 forum member. All are universally drawn and sucked in. Like insects flying into bornfire at night there is a red hot wild attraction. As more people telling how they made killings in the stock market even more and more people are drawn into the red hot hot stock.
Those who made money early are now piling more and more monies into the red hot stock. Some even go into margin account to buy more.
Prices leap up to the cheers of all and sundry. Everyone is so happy. Happy in a sure winner. Emotion is now flying high. Any opposing view is slammed down in a frenzy. Reason is now overtaken by exuberance.
Stage No. 7. Hot Steam Rises Up The Sky As Hot Air To Form Cloud
All are now in cloud nine. Naysayers are condemned and proven wrong. The sky is the limit for the price. Can now fly to the moon or mars. More monies piled in. More suckers drawn in by greed.
This is the happiest time for all. But throwing all caution to the wind this is also now the most dangerous time to hold or buy more.
In Bursa every day the hot stock is traded in top 10 volumes
In internet forum this is the stock conversation revolves around day and night. Media reports it and tell why it should go even higher. Experts suddenly appear to tell you this time is different. The sky is the limit. Or the sky is not limit. It should fly to outer space.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
tradersampah
1,081 posts
Posted by tradersampah > 2021-04-21 14:49 | Report Abuse
yeah, sawit now very expensive, stock also cant tahan remains cheap