Pantech will become more interesting once its latest quarter report is out by the end of July. It should hv not problem hitting 1.20 in Aug because it is very much a laggard.
Pantech is saying that the export of its stainless steel pipes to US will be affected. However, Pantech expects about 3% of its revenue for FYE2014 be affected. Kudos to Pantech in taking mitigation activities/initiatives eg. increasing output of other products such as stainless steel fittings and exploring other markets for its products.
minimal affect 3% of revenue but 30% of capacity ? the suit is continued or decision to ban import effective oct? one type of product affected ie stainless steel welded pipes increase other type ie stainless steel fittings hope can stay on course
"We are working with our legal advisors on the best approach towards the suit even though we have not injured any business or businesses in the US and have always upheld integrity in our business transactions"
Out of PSA’s capacity of 1,000 tonnes per month, it exports only 300 tonnes (30%) of stainless steel pipes per month to the U.S. The remaining 70% of the production are not affected by the anti-dumping suit.
Other production are remained unaffected! I don't think it will affect the share price much tomorrow.
In any case, Pantech has taken measures to mitigate the potential loss in revenue which is not significant. Just hope to hear announcements that it has secured new contracts in the future.
Btw , sometime bad news is good news. Maybe it will have minima effect for the 1st2 days but it will rebound beautifully on the coming days. Good stock never dies. My guess!
Out of PSA’s capacity of 1,000 tonnes per month, it exports only 300 tonnes (30%) of stainless steel pipes per month to the U.S. The remaining 70% of the production are not affected by the anti-dumping suit.
Other production are remained unaffected! I don't think it will affect the share price much tomorrow.
Posted by ykinvestor > Jun 28, 2013 11:01 PM | Report Abuse
Pantech is a share that you can collect at current level and keep it for at least 6 months to see a good return i.e. hitting 1.40.
Dear Ykinvestor,
What is your opinion on this suit ? How much impact on profit ? You still think that the price will hit 1.40 by this year.
Hi Ooi, when the analyst was making the TP 1.43 (with PE of 12), the steel division is still in red. So I think the US suit will not give much impact to the overall group profit. The Pantech Management team is an excelent team in execution, thus I believe they will mitigate the impact to the minimum. So I am still optimistic that it will still go over 1.40 by year end. The coming quarter result will certainly give us more clues. I am sure the share will become hot again after the result.
Pantech (PGHB) told Bursa Malaysia yesterday that the US Government may impose anti-dumping measures on welded stainless steel pipes from Malaysia, Vietnam and Thailand. We believe the impact to PGHB’s bottom-line will be muted as its stainless steel pipe division is small. If the market reacts negatively to this piece of news, we advise investors to BUY PGHB shares on any price weakness, with our MYR1.43 FV unchanged as the company’s growth pace remains intact.
- A precautionary step. PGHB is exercising good corporate governance by warning its investors of the potential of such a negative outcome although the decision on the impending measures has yet to be made.
- Minimal impact. We advise investors to stay calm as we believe that such a negative announcement may only make a minimal impact. From the announcement, it would seem that the company expects such curbs to have a less than 3% impact on its FY14F revenue. Although PGHB exports 30% of its 1k tonnes of stainless steel pipes to the US monthly, the impact is muted as stainless steel pipes make up under 10% of PGHB’s net profit. To mitigate the anticipated negative impact, PGHB has begun on a plan to increase the production of higher-margin stainless steel fittings by three-fold by the second half of FY14F. Nonetheless, as our forecast has not incorporated any contribution from its stainless steel division, we believe that the anticipated anti-dumping measures should not undermine our earnings estimates for PGHB.
- Outlook remains bright. We believe PGHB’s outlook is still bright as its trading and carbon steel fittings manufacturing divisions are still stable. Its UK unit, Nautic Steel, is poised for stronger growth in FY14F as more capacity would be installed once the company acquires a new factory to widen its product range and in turn boost its profitability.
- BUY on weakness, MYR1.43 FV. Should the market react negatively to the company’s announcement, we would advise investors to accumulate PGHB shares on price weakness as the company’s outlook is still robust. We maintain our BUY call on PGHB, with our FV unchanged at MYR1.43, pegged to a 13x FY14F P/E.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
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Posted by cheah6638 > 2013-06-27 23:05 | Report Abuse
Only time will tell.