The company has been consistently making losses since at least FY14 with only FY16 being profitable. However, the profit in FY16 was mainly due to the disposal of its loss-making business in China (of which it recorded a gain on disposal and also reversal of previous years impairment). Excluding the that, FY16 would have also been a loss-making year.
Excluding the RM20.6mil impairment losses on an associate, the company would have delivered a core net loss of RM14.5mil to its shareholders in the 9m18. To think that the company can suddenly turnaround in FY19 might be a bit of a wishful thinking on the part of some investors. Expect further losses in FY19.
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio outside of Integrated Logistics (due to its earnings uncertainties), I would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.9x PE (based on target FY18 profit of RM145mil. 9m profit is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.7x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of the new Myvi and the newly launched SUV Aruz and also the newly revamp Alza in 2H19. The recent announcement of closure and potential disposal of the loss-making alloy wheel manufacturing business alone is expected to boost the company’s profit by an additional RM20mil. I am projecting a profit to shareholder of RM170 mil for FY19 which at the current price values MBMR at only 5.9x PE.
Please go through the analyst reports (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp) and do your own analysis before making any decisions. There are 8 analysts in total covering the stock with most of them having a TP of above RM3 (all have a buy rating). The average TP for the 8 analysts is around RM3.50.
Review of Operations Solar Renewable Energy Projects
The Group had participated in Large Scale Solar 3 tender bids in the financial year ended 2019. The management team who took part in the tender bid have gained enormous experience from the bidding process which helps to enhance their skill and expertise for other large scale solar tender bids in future.
The Group is venturing into a new solar renewable energy business segment, namely Supply Agreement with Renewable Energy, and had registered and obtained approval as investor with Sustainable Energy Development Authority. The Group targets to attain higher growth in revenue and net profit in solar renewable energy business with this new business segment.
Warehousing in Wujiang, PRC
On 19 December 2019, Integrated Logistics (H.K.) Limited, an indirect 70%-owned subsidiary of ILB, had entered into a conditional Share Sale Agreement with SWJ CN Logiport Pte. Ltd. to dispose off the entire 65% equity interest in Integrated Etern Logistics (Suzhou) Co. Limited for a total purchase consideration of RM128.7 million or approximately RMB217.2 million, subject to adjustment sum.
The proceeds expected from the proposed disposal will provide more capital to the Group for the funding of the Group’s working capital and expansion plan which may include (but not limited to) additional solar renewable energy projects where the Group sees growing contribution for the Group’s revenue and profit from the solar energy sector in the years to come.
Warehousing in Dubai, UAE
On 13 February 2019, the Company had entered into a Share Sale Agreement with National Trading & Developing Est. to dispose off the entire 50% equity interest in Integrated National Logistics DWCLLC (“SSA”) for a total purchase consideration of RM50.4 million or approximately United Arab Emirates (“UAE”) Dirhams (“AED”) 45.0 million. The Company had completed the disposal on 2 July 2019.
INL’s accumulated losses since its incorporation up to FYE 2018 amounted to RM146.1 million or approximately AED131.7 million. The projected revenue of INL is also not expected to improve in the near future. ILB will cease to inject future funding into INL and share recurring operating losses of INL going forward.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....