KESM is well into all-time high territory(previous high was 6.38 in 2000). Parent Sunright is well below all-time high levels(previous high was $2.91 in 1997)
A contra player. If I buy at 5 and sell at 6. Then buy at 7 and sell at 8. Then buy at 9 and sell at 10. How much I earn? A investor player. Buy at 5, wait till 10. How much I earn?
We hosted KESM at our office yesterday which was well attended. Apart from running through the FY16 financial performance, management provided some guidance on its capex plan, which we believe suggests a stronger performance ahead. Although capex declined to RM30m in FY16 (-62% yoy) due to delays by its customers in rolling out new products, capex should normalise to the RM70-80m/per annum range over the next few years.
To recap, KESM’s FY16 revenue grew at a faster 9% YoY compared to the preceding 3 years’ growth of 3-5%. We understand that bulk of the capex over FY14-15 was a contributing factor while the impact from the capex in FY16 should begin to filter through in the coming months. We thus believe that KESM’s earnings momentum should be positive and strong considering the relatively robust automotive business (70-80% of revenue) that underpins its business. KESM is set to release its 1Q17 results by late November
While we have built into our model a flattish EBITDA margin of 33% over FY17-19E, we think that there could potentially be upside to this as we understand that future capex is geared more towards test rather than burn-in, where the former carries better margins. Any pressure on margins is likely to be related to costs involved in obtaining the necessary qualifications and accreditations required in the automotive business although we think that this will generally pay for itself, through higher volumes, in the subsequent years.
We like KESM as we believe it is poised to benefit from the structural growth in the automotive semiconductor space underpinned by rising electronic contents. Risks: enhanced competition and loss of customers.
Sunright owns 48% of KESM or 20.825m shares. The value of the stake with KESM at present price of around RM$9 is around RM$180m or S$60m (Sing Dollars)
There are 122.8m shares in Sunright. So the stake in KESM alone is already worth S$0.49
those that comments bad now diam...me.too bad sold 8.3 n 8.6 level...should hold just 2 days ...miss the ride...wait for consolidation....either break 9 or retreat to 8.5 net week
to Tai KT good! u accumulate at right timining when this stock(4.2) is forming a solid base. this base lasted for nearly 3 months. u have the patience, i missing on this pls update me and others, when future opportunity arrive
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Sebastian Sted Power
3,429 posts
Posted by Sebastian Sted Power > 2016-10-13 15:24 | Report Abuse
previously when 20cents that time, everyday also no volume! Now better a bit. At least got volume