TIATE COVERAGE Greatech Technology (GREATEC MK) Direct Proxy To Growth With Unique Positioning For Fourth Industrial Revolution Greatech offers an unique proposition beyond the typical ATE, which also automates processes in production lines. Its strategic exposure in the solar, medical and automotive industries offers better dynamics to weather cyclicality vs peers. Besides the new facility in Bayan Lepas, the group has also started construction of its Batu Kawan plant and new offices in the US, with completion targeted in 2021, to support growth beyond. Initiate coverage with BUY and target price of RM4.80. Still ample growth with strong orderbook visibility until 2021. First Solar (FS), the biggest revenue contributor to Greatech Technology (Greatech), is still transitioning its high-performance, eco-efficient Series 6 photovoltaic (PV) modules from the Series 4 PV modules. FS reiterated in its May 20 briefing that the ongoing Series 6 capacity ramp-up remains unchanged with capex of US$450m-550m in 2020. This is supported by an intact 12.3GW contracted backlogs and a 7.5GW in mid-to-late stage opportunity pipeline. As the largest automated equipment supplier for FS, we believe Greatech could continue to ride on FS’ growth, as evidenced by its strong ytd orderbook of RM215m. Portfolio diversification with exposure to strategic sectors to smoothen cyclicality. The group has made efforts to venture into other sectors beyond the solar industry which has been its bread-and-butter business. Note that its R&D activities for the assembly of battery modules and packs for automotive applications are translating into orders now. Meanwhile, under the medical segment, new R&D projects involving automation solutions for diabetes and inhaler related products, will contribute to revenue from 2020. This portfolio exposure, which offers the blend of high growth (robust demand for solar energy) and resiliency (EV battery and medical), provides the group flexibility in adjusting to cyclicality. Capacity relocation and expansion to support strong earnings growth. Besides the new operational facility - Plot 287A (built-up 75,000sf) - which will be used to cater to new customers in different sectors, Greatech has started construction of its Batu Kawan plant with completion targeted in Feb 21. The group will move from its rented premises to the 130,000sf plant which is at close proximity to the group’s head office in Bayan Lepas. The group is also setting up offices in the US and Europe to provide engineering sales and service support to customers; with expenses at <RM10m but providing huge door-opening potential. The new business from the EV battery and medical segments, with potential revenue of >RM50m in 2020, is a testament to it. Initiate coverage with BUY and target price of RM4.80, based on 30.0x 2021F PE, which implies a PEG ratio of 0.7x. Note that the ascribed PE is also at 10% discount from the industry forward PE. Its unique value proposition as opposed to peers has made it a scarce ATE player in the technology space. Resilient earnings base, superior growth outlook and its new business venture will support a 3-year (2018-21) net profit CAGR of 46%. The stock is currently trading close to +1SD above its the industry’s 5-year mean PE of 24.0x, but we believe its above-sector growth alongside strategic portfolio proposition would justify a higher valuation, not to mention the valuation re-rating from a potential transfer to the Bursa Main Market in 4Q20. Thursday, 2 July 2020 BUY Share Price Target Price Upside 24.0% COMPANY DESCRIPTION Greatech Technology manufactures automated equipment. Its products range from single automated equipment to a production line system which comprises multiple automated equipment. STOCK DATA GICS sector Bloomberg ticker Shares issued (m) Market cap (RMm) Market cap (US$m) 3-mth avg daily t'over (US$m) KEY FINANCIALS Year to 31 Dec (RMm) Net Turnover EBITDA Operating Profit Net Profit (Reported/Actual) Net Profit (Adjusted) EPS (sen) PE (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Dividend Yield (%) Net Margin (%) Net Debt/(Cash) to Equity (%) Interest Cover (x) ROE (%) Consensus Net Profit UOBKH/Consensus (x) Source: Greatech, Bloomberg, UOB Kay Hian 2020F 2021F 255.0 330.0 91.8 119.9 141.8 84.7 110.8 132.7 4.0 0 3.0 0 2.0 0 1.0 0 0.0 0 30 20 Volume(m) 10 0 Jul 19 Sep 19 Source: Bloomberg ANALYST
Greatec is my baby. TP1- 4.35, TP2- 5.06, TP3- 6.20. @TanCL88, Only the smart investors will know Greatec is a potential stock. Those Sohai and sour grape investors will tend to talk nonsense.
Advancecon signs second MoU for solar energy venture
KUALA LUMPUR (June 30): Earthworks and civil engineering services provider Advancecon Holdings Bhd has signed a second memorandum of understanding (MoU) for its solar energy venture.
In a statement dated June 29, Advancecon said its wholly-owned subsidiary Advancecon Solar Sdn Bhd inked the MoU with Melaka-based automotive and industrial product distributor YHI Manufacturing (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd for the installation of solar photovoltaic system with a total generation capacity of 2,663.28 kWp under the Net Energy Metering (NEM) scheme.
Soon Greatec will be promoted to the Main Board of Bursa. Most fund managers put the fair value of a listed share as the prospective EPS ( in this case EPS for y/e 31Dec 2020) x PE ratio which is 49 ( per KLscreener). Assuming the earnings growth is 20% then EPS for 2020 is 9.62 cents x 1.20 = 11.54 cents x 49 = RM5.65, which is the fair value in the eyes of most fund managers. Normally the PE multiple for Main Board counter is higher than ACE Board. Vitrox is in the same sector but is on the Main Board and has PE multiple of 60. If we apply this PE of 60 then there is further upside. Wishing all a happy week of investing in Greatec.
Cool Jay the reason Dufu and Penta share is going up fast now is bcoz they have announced bonus issue in their agm. Unfortunately, Greatech didn't announce any good news lately.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Bullacent
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Posted by Bullacent > 2020-07-03 14:06 | Report Abuse
Good day until next week heheh