Buy Bumi Armada, says AmResearch

Publish date: Fri, 07 Mar 2014, 11:29 AM
KUALA LUMPUR: AmResearch maintains 'buy' call on Bumi Armada with an unchanged fair value of RM5.15 per share, which implies a FY14F price earnings of 23 times, a 15 per cent premium to oil & gas stocks with market valuations above RM1billion.

AmResearch said Bumi Armada has reportedly teamed up with Keppel Shipyard and Japan's IHI to bid for a for a front-end engineering and design contract on a proposed floating liquefied natural gas (FLNG) project off Equatorial Guinea in Central Africa..

"With a contract potentially worth US$2billion (RM6.6billion), the consortium is bidding against a joint-venture between Texas-based Excelerate and Samsung Heavy Industries for the Block R project operated by London-listed Ophir Energy.

"If successful, this will be the first such conversion project from an old LNG vessel as the first three FLNG projects approved by Petronas in Malaysia and Shell in Australia have all been new build vessels. A final investment decision is expected to be made on the project by mid-2015, with first LNG exports starting in 2018.

"The advantage of a conversion option could reduce the FLNG costs by up to US$500million, which could often mean clearing the final investment decision of oil field operators against the backdrop of ever-escalating development costs.

"Ophir has proposed an FLNG with a capacity of a 2-2.5 million tonne per annum which will be fed with gas from seven subsea wells. The vessel's minimum capacity is based on about 2.6 trillion cubic feet of gas so far discovered in Block R, and a feedstock of about 400 million cubic feet per day."

According to the group's CEO Hassan Basma, a converted FLNG with the capacity of 2 million tonne per annum to 2.5 million tpa could cost US$2billion. Bumi Armada is understood to be offering a self-supporting prismatic type B containment system, with Excelerate focused on a membrane process. But the rival bid by Excelerate and Samsung have proposed a more expensive newbuild FLNG vessel.

AmReserach noted that Bumi Armada is eyeing projects involving floating storage regasification units with average storage capacity of 125,000 cubic metres in Cyprus, Indonesia and Philippines. But the timing of the awards is uncertain at this stage given that the operators are currently negotiating for the sale of gas.

"Bumi Armada is leading the race to supply Eni with an FPSO which could cost up to US$1.5billion for its East Hub project in Block 15/06 off Angola. Additionally, the group is the leading contender for the Madura BD gas condensate FPSO charter and also one of two short-listed candidates for the FPSO charter to Afren's Okoro block off Nigeria."

The stock now trades at an attractive FY14F price earnings of 18 times, which is 10 per cent below its peers' 20 times, said AmResearch.

Labels: ARMADA

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Tang Michael

Am research crooked analysts says buy armada for target price of 5.15 but are selling daily at 3.90 and below.....if you follow thier research you bsnkrupt faster......beware.....

2014-03-07 12:03

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