We maintain BUY on Bank Islam (BI) with a lower fair value (FV) of RM3.10/share from RM3.30/share. Our FV is based on FY23 ROE of 9.3%, leading to a P/BV of 1.0x. No change to our neutral 3-star ESG rating.
We trim our FY22F/23F/24F earnings by 10%/12%/12% to factor in lower net income margin and higher CI ratio assumptions.
1HFY22 earnings were slightly below our expectation, accounting for 43% of our forecast but within consensus, making up 49% of street’s projection. The variance to our estimate was due to lower-than-expected net fund-based income.
The group reported an improvement in 2QFY22 core net profit at RM133mil (+14% QoQ) after adjusting for the additional taxes of Cukai Makmur. The better core net profit was contributed by higher net fund-based income from loan expansion and lower provisions.
Underlying earnings in 6MFY22 of RM249mil fell by 29% YoY due to lower non-fund based income and higher allowances for financing loss. 6M22 non-fund based income was dampened by market volatility which saw revaluation losses on FVTPL securities of RM36mil and FX losses of RM12mil.
Opex grew 8% YoY in 6MFY22, largely driven by higher personnel cost and general expenses.
BI’s gross financing accelerated to 8.0% YoY in 2QFY22 outpacing the industry’s loan expansion of 5.6% YoY.
In the consumer loan segment, house and personal financing remained key contributors. House financing rose by 10.6% YoY while personal financing expanded by 12% YoY. Meanwhile, growth in vehicle financing remained subdued and outstanding credit card receivables climbed by 9% YoY.
CASATIA ratio slipped to 37.8% in 2QFY22 vs. 38.6% in 1QFY22.
The group’s gross impaired loan balances climbed by 13% QoQ, contributed by higher impairment of loans to the household, manufacturing, construction and the transportation, storage and communication sectors.
BI’s gross impaired financing (GIF) ratio rose to 1.1% in 2QFY22 from 1% in 1QFY22.
Credit cost for 6MFY22 of 25bps was within management’s FY22F guidance.
The stock continues to trade at an attractive valuation of FY23 P/BV of 0.8x with a decent dividend yield of 6%. It remains one of the pure full-fledged financial services providers listed on the exchange.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....