We maintain HOLD on Mynews Holdings (Mynews) with an unchanged fair value ofRM0.49/share, which is based on a FY24F P/BV of 1.6x. The P/BV of 1.6x is 0.5SD below the 5- year mean of 1.7x. Our fair value of RM0.49/share also reflects an unchanged neutral ESG rating of 3-stars.
Mynews FY23’s net loss of RM10mil was smaller than our expectations and consensus of RM13mil. The variance came largely from stronger-than-expected sales driven by an increase in the number of outlets.
We maintain our FY24F-FY25F numbers and introduce FY26F earnings estimate.
FY23 revenue rose by 16% to RM730mil on the back of a higher number of outlets and an increase in average selling prices. These coupled with a gross margin improvement of 1%-point from better sales mix, resulted in net losses declining by 41% to RM10mil in FY23.
QoQ, 4QFY23 revenue was muted. However, Mynews was able to return to the black with a net profit of RM0.9mil (vs. 3QFY23 net loss of RM2.2mil) mainly due to improvements in operational efficiencies and lower costs, particularly at its FPC.
Despite the turnaround in 4QFY23, we remain cautious on Mynews. We think that the group’s outlook is challenging in the near-term due to: (i) a longer-than-expected gestation period for its CU stores as competition with the other convenience stores is stiff, (ii) higher operational and depreciation costs from the new outlets and (iii) a slowdown in consumer spending caused by inflationary pressures.
Mynews currently trades at a FY24F P/BV of 1.7x, which is in line with the 5-year average.
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