THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

JCY (5161) Posted a 2nd Qtr of Good Profits: Showing a Clear Sign of A Turnaround, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Fri, 23 Aug 2024, 08:02 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,854
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends of i3 Forum (Please read as we type now)

As we expected JCY posted another set of Good Turnaround Profits


Refer Bursa


See


SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30 Jun 2024


INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

30 Jun 2024
30 Jun 2023
30 Jun 2024
30 Jun 2023
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
165,321
133,518
439,179
349,379
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
10,097
-3,331
12,985
-65,065
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
9,886
-3,552
12,586
-60,906
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
9,886
-3,552
12,586
-60,906
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
0.47
-0.17
0.60
-2.89
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00


AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
0.3325
0.3240
From above we see

YoY Revenue up from Rm133,518,000 to Rm165,321,000
Or up Rm31.8 Millions

From a Loss of -Rm3.552 Millions to a Profit of Rm9.886 Millions

Well Done Indeed

Now let us look back at previous Qtr result

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

31 Mar 2024


INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
147,146
104,618
273,858
215,861
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
5,459
-25,329
2,888
-61,734
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
5,346
-25,283
2,700
-57,354
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
5,346
-25,283
2,700
-57,354
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
0.25
-1.20
0.13
-2.72
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00


AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
0.3256
0.3240

Previous Qtr JCY earned 0.25 sen and this Qtr earnings improved to 0.47 sen
or up by 88% Qtr to Qtr

After 8 qtrs of continual losses JCY has shown us 2 good qtrs with Increasing Profits

Now let us go see Inside Balance Sheet



Cash and bank balances 

Rm155,708,000 (2024)

Rm 103,126,000 (2023)


Cash YoY is Up Rm52,582,000 or increased by 50.9%

JCY already Cash Rich

Now More CASH HAS FLOWED IN


Now see Borrowings


Short term borrowings

Rm 34,783,000 (2024)

Rm 44,143,000 (2023)


Borrowings improved by Rm9,360,000

So Borrowings pared down by 21.2%


EXCELLENT!

EXCELLENT!!


CLAP!

CLAP!!

CLAP!!!


Cash Increased And Borrowings Down?

Let's see Total Cash less Debt


So 

Rm155,708,000 - Rm34,784,000


= Rm120.924 Milions


How Much Per Share?

5.74 sen per share net cash


It is rare to see A Tech Company even after 2 years of losses turn into a Net Cash entity


Look forward Refer Bursa


Detailed Analysis for current quarter and cumulative period

The Group has been resilient and returned to profitability in the second quarter ended 31 March

2024 after recording losses for the past two financial years ended 30 September 2022 and 2023.

Net profit for the 6-month financial period ended (“FPE”) 31 March 2024 amounted to RM2.7

million versus a net loss of RM57.4 million for the 6-month FPE 31 March 2023, on the back of a

rise in demand for both hard disk drives (“HDD”) and solid-state drives, coupled with an

improved cost structure.

The positive momentum continues into the current reporting quarter (ended 30th June 2024).

The Group recorded a revenue of RM165.3 million for the reporting period, this represents an

increment of 23.8% in revenue for the reporting quarter compared to the previous year's

corresponding period. The Group recorded a net profit of RM9.9 million for the reporting

quarter, compared to net loss of RM3.6 million recorded in the previous year's corresponding

period. The Group’s two straight quarters of profit is significant given its capacity utilization rate

is just reaching 50% in the current reported quarter.

For the reported quarter, cash generated from operating activities amounted to RM21.8 mil.

Cash balance improved to RM 155.7 mil, with no changes in bank borrowings (RM 34.8 mil).


Note this

 The Group’s two straight quarters of profit is significant given its capacity utilization rate

is just reaching 50% in the current reported quarter.




VERY SIGNIFICANT


TWO STRAIGHT QTRS OF PROFITS BUT UTILIZATION RATE JUST REACHED 50%


IN OTHER WORDS THERE IS MORE ROOM FOR GROWTH



AND HOW DID IT INCREASE BY SUCH GOOD PROFIT MARGINS EVEN THOUGH SALE CAPACITY UP A MODEST SUM


See


FUTURE PROSPECT

The Group recorded a revenue of RM165.3 million for the reporting period, this represents an

increment of 12.4% compared to RM147.1 million revenue recorded in the immediate preceding

quarter ended 31 March 2024. The higher revenue is in line with improved demand from our key

customers.

The Group recorded a net profit of RM9.9 million for the reporting quarter, compared to net

profit of RM5.3 million recorded in the immediate preceding quarter ended 31 March 2024. As

mentioned in B1 above, the company continued to improve its revenue, cost structure and enjoy

economies of scale for some of the products.

The reported quarter total HDD storage market showed a 2% increase Quarter on Quarter (QoQ)

in units shipped and 11% QoQ total Storage Capacity shipped, increasing to 290 Exabytes (EB).

This is the 3rd straight quarter that the industry is seeing unit HDD shipment increase


Read again


The reported quarter total HDD storage market showed a 2% increase Quarter on Quarter (QoQ)

in units shipped and 11% QoQ total Storage Capacity shipped


Total Storage increased by only 2%

BUT UNITS SHIPPED IS 11% IN STORAGE CAPACITY


SO EFFORT INPUT 2% AND OUTPUT IS 11%


UP A 550% MULTIPLE!


JCY HAS LOW COST LABOUR BUT ITS PROFIT MARGIN NOW GOING HIGH 


AN EXCELLENT VIRTUOUS CYCLE OF GROWTH



Calvin further comments,


Now as we Know we are just 2 Years into Covid 19 Recovery from 2022 to 2024


Many DATA CENTERS ARE MUSHROOMING ALL OVER THE WORLD

IT TAKES 2 TO 3 YEARS TO SEE ALL NEW DATA CENTERS COME ON STREAM


AS SUCH THE "FUTURE ORDERS" FOR HDD & SSD ARE YET TO COME IN


NOW SALES STILL IN TRICKLE

LATER WILL BE IN TORRENTS


So We Will Hold JCY & DUFU & Anymore Sell Down on Notion we will buy and average down slowly


Our First Buy Calls


JCY 32 sen

DUFU Rm2.20

NOTION 52.5 sen


Notion still up by a Big Margin While DUFU is the Laggard


Therefore we will add DUFU on Weakness as Well as JCY

And if Notion comes back down then we will slowly add


Please do not simply punt or play contra

Buy only if you can pick up & hold longer term


With Kind Regards to All


Calvin Tan


Please buy/sell after doing your own due Diligence or Consult your Remisier/Fund Manager




Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 3 of 3 comments

calvintaneng

https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/

DC CENTERS DEMAND FOR HDD IS FROM ALL NATIONS ON EARTH (NOT LIMITED TO USA ALONE)

ALL 8 BILLION PEOPLE ON EARTH WILL NEED HDD DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY

https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/

9 hours ago

calvintaneng

https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/

DC CENTERS DEMAND FOR HDD IS FROM ALL NATIONS ON EARTH (NOT LIMITED TO USA ALONE)

ALL 8 BILLION PEOPLE ON EARTH WILL NEED HDD DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY

https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/

9 hours ago

calvintaneng

Since Data Centers will be ready in two or more years time there is a Time lag for more incoming Orders for HDD

This is the time to prepare for more Orders


And since there is 50% capacity for expansion it augurs well for Jcy to capture the upcoming demand

7 hours ago

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