Sslee blog

6 months, 12 months and 18 months ROI contest part II

Sslee
Publish date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023, 11:06 PM
Sslee
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This is my blog

Dear all,

Result for the 6 Months ( 15 June 2023 - 15 Dec 2023) ROI contest

    Price (RM) Dividend  Price (RM) ROI
  Stock 15/6/2023 (RM) 15/12/2023 %
OTB YTLPOWER 1.290 0.035 2.460 93.41%
calvintaneng JAYATIASA 0.645 0.017 0.915 44.50%
Philip HARTA 2.230   2.690 20.63%
Felix888 ARMADA 0.440   0.510 15.91%
Study1 PCHEM 6.250 0.080 7.150 15.68%
3iii PBB  3.850 0.090 4.310 14.29%
income TOMEI 1.080   1.220 12.96%
Stony CAPITALA 0.800   0.860 7.50%
Choivo TIMECOM 5.100 0.163 5.280 6.72%
Sslee INSAS 0.835   0.890 6.59%
StartOfTheBull MSC 2.020 0.070 2.010 2.97%
speakup CMSB 1.060   1.070 0.94%
Study2 PETRONM 4.980   4.550 -8.63%
qqq47660 DNEX 0.520   0.395 -24.04%

 

 

  EPS  for last 4 quarters NAPS Price/NAPS PE annualized
Stock Sen Sen Sen Sen RM   past 2 quarter
YTLPOWER 2.45 6.41 13.95 10.47 2.190 1.1233 5.037
JAYATIASA 5.10 1.05 6.21 6.90 1.510 0.6060 3.490
HARTA -0.93 -8.86 -1.54 0.81 1.350 1.9926 -184.247
ARMADA 3.56 3.40 2.01 3.00 1.000 0.5100 5.090
PCHEM 6.00 7.00 8.00 5.00 4.970 1.4386 27.500
PBB  8.83 8.83 8.34 8.76 2.741 1.5722 12.602
TOMEI 7.25 8.56 12.28 7.35 2.890 0.4221 3.107
CAPITALA 6.20 1.40 27.50 -4.30 -2.000 -0.4300 1.853
TIMECOM 6.66 6.23 123.08 5.78 2.220 2.3784 2.049
INSAS 7.20 3.78 5.02 2.98 3.560 0.2500 5.563
MSC 6.20 8.40 6.80 2.80 1.760 1.1420 10.469
CMSB 2.99 3.96 2.45 0.93 2.990 0.3579 15.828
PETRONM -7.90 40.30 14.80 30.33 8.810 0.6300 5.041
DNEX 1.01 -7.60 1.51 0.42 0.580 0.6810 10.233
 
If you look into the top 2 ROI winners, the reason for both of them to outperform others is present of Earning Growth Catalyst.
 
For YTLPOWER, please welcome i3 new blogger on the block dragon328 for his many write-up on YTL on below link.
Dragon Leong blog
Author: dragon328   |   Latest post: Wed, 6 Dec 2023, 12:13 PM
A path to hidden gems in Bursa
 
His write-up reminded me of Choivo Capital style of long-long quantitative analysis (Past, present and future facts and figures) plus Philip style of long-long qualitative analysis (Past, present and future story-telling)
 
 
As for Jayatiasa, the increase in production of FFB for the past 2 quarters in comparison to Year to Year growth and Quarter to Quarter seasonal growth.
Fresh Fruits Bunches (MT)
Quarter end 30 Sept 2023
359,740.00
Quarter end 30 Sept 2022
263,948.00
Quarter end 30 June 2023
224,649.00
 
Fresh Fruits Bunches (MT)
Quarter end 30 June 2023
224,649.00
Quarter end 30 June 2022
188,400.00
Quarter end 31 March 2023
190,360.00
 
Fresh Fruits Bunches (MT)
Quarter end 31 March 2023
190,360.00
Quarter end 31 March 2022
151,243.00
Quarter end 31 Dec 2022
264,967.00
 
Note:
Month Oct 2023 FFB Production (MT): 132,551.00
Month Nov 2023 FFB Production (MT): 114,287.00
 
For local CPO price you can refer below link
Month 2023: Month average CPO price (RM):
Jan: 3,922.00
Feb: 3,908.00
Mar: 4,159.50
Apr: 4,217.50
May: 3,795.50
Jun: 3,525.00
Jul: 3,897.00
Aug: 3,805.00
Sep: 3,727.00
Oct: 3,640.00
Nov: 3,700.50
Dec:
 
As of Hartalega is turnaround play:

 

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 11 of 11 comments

Sslee

I am disappointed with Insas for not increasing the dividend payout. I will wait for the publication of AGM key matter discussed at Insas website before sending in AGM follow up questions.

2023-12-16 10:31

Sslee

Insas is unreasonable undervalued.
At RM 0.89
The price/NAPS is 0.25
PE based on annualized last two quarter EPS is 5.563

2023-12-16 10:35

Sslee

What can we conclude from 6 months ROI study are:
1. In short term the ROI favour present of Earning Growth Catalyst (EPS sudden increase due to increase favorable production/products price)
2. Beaten down stocks that start to turnaround.

2023-12-16 11:16

OTB

Quote from dragon328's report.
YTL Power should rise from current RM1.30 in May 2023 to RM5.00 level by Mar 2025.

The timing of Mar 2025 should be right as by then:
1) PowerSeraya should continue to report strong earnings due to tight supply (Keppel new plant only comes in 1H 2026)
2) Wessex will have its new water tariffs adjusted up substantially for the new 5-year regulatory period due to its enlarged RAB and to compensate the high interest rates it is suffering these 2 years from a higher WACC
3) 1st phase green data centre should have been up and running contribution new earnings stream
4) digital bank business should find its footing after 1 year of operations
5) more visibility in power export timeline to Singapore.
------------------------------
My comments :-
1.) I believe Wessex should be in profit position in 2025.
2.) Green data centre should make profit in 2025.
3.) 5G YES - should be in profit position in 2024.

I believe the EPS for FY 2024 is = 0.42, take a PER=10, the target price of YTLPower should hit 4.20 in FY 2024.

I also believe the EPS for FY 2025 is = 0.50, take a PER=10, the target price of YTLPower should hit 5.00 in FY 2025.

My 2 cents comment only.
The final decision to buy is always yours.
Thank you.

2023-12-16 11:57

Income

Wow, I never expected to beat my Sslee Sir in the competition above. Let’s see next year 2024 results.

2023-12-19 14:28

UlarSawa

Sori Sori. Referee forgotten to announce the winner of 2 competition. Now update the competition. Haiyoh
Correct?


SSLee beat FM philips and Triple Q in the 3 corners fight competition. SSLee insas TP hit tiok first and referee declared SSLee is the winner.

3 weeks ago

UlarSawa

3 corners fight among the heavyduty contenders. Validity 1 year from 8/4/2023. Whoever hit the TP first is the winner irregardless the date is due in one year or not. eg. If PChem hit rm10 in Aug 2023 then FM Philip is considered the winner and referee will declare the winner. Same as the other 2 contenders if they hit first then they are the winner. Haiyoh. Correct?

FM Philip PChem TP rm10
Supporters
1.

SSLee Insas Cantik TP rm1.03
Supporters
1. I3 Auditor
2. Raider

Triple Q Mosquito DNex TP rm0.70
Supporters
1. I3 Auditor

Whoever want to support your choice of contender can add your name into the list. Referee will update it. Boleh?

3 weeks ago

UlarSawa

Stock: [SAPNRG]: SAPURA ENERGY BERHAD

Contract Amendment 9/6/2023
Bon888 requested to change the ID to Felix888. Referee Approved and Signed.


Ladies and Jantanman the Janda Sapura finally ada satu competition between the Promoter Bon888 and Penkritik Bobby. They have decided to accept the term and condition to compete for the next 9 mths. Whoever win one can stay back and the loser has to get lost from Janda Sapura forum. You both cannot change the term until the 9 mths ended and Referee will announce the result 9 mths from today 8/6/2023.

Bon888 the Challenger as long as Janda Sapura hit 7sen will be the winner


Bobby as long Bon888 failed to make Janda Sapura 7 sen within the 9 months Bobby will be the winner.

The rest spectators want to support participant also can add your name you sapot siapa.

3 weeks ago

UlarSawa

Another competition is between Felix and Bobby at Janda Sapura. Felix unable to make Janda Sapura 7sen after the expiry date on 7/3/2024 so Bobby is the winner. Felix is kena kicked out from Janda Sapura forum and cannot step into Janda Sapura whether using Felix or other ID. Haiyoh.
Correct?

3 weeks ago

CaoCao

I'm a person with integrity. I honor my words.

3 weeks ago

UlarSawa

You still appeared at Janda Sapura on 8/3/2024 padahal 7/3/2024 is the deadline. Referee pun very honour arranged a farewell party for you to make a farewell Speech and bid farewell to your comrades and followers leh. Even dedicated a special song to you as a farewell gift leh. Haiyoh. Correct?



https://youtu.be/CziVmYd3TJE?si=RE6kMXP7605nRzNU





Posted by CaoCao > 54 minutes ago | Report Abuse

I'm a person with integrity. I honor my words

3 weeks ago

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