WahLau Share Forecast

(Forecast) JAYCORP (7152) & POHUAT (7088) Quarter Report EPS and PE

Wah Lau
Publish date: Sat, 02 Mar 2019, 08:05 PM
Wah Lau
0 41
Share and learn from member here ><"

 

Just sharing for study propose no call buy, Take your own risk in investment ><"

 

Below is some furniture company in Bursa

Last Month Good Results For Furniture Company

LATITUD LIIHEN and HEVEA all 3 furniture company EPS compare last quarter increase 28.46% to 117.51%.

But share price so so only ><"

 

Forecast JAYCORP and POHUAT EPS increase 28.46%.

I select lower increase for LATITUD LIIHEN and HEVEA. 28.46%, and consider JAYCORP and POHUAT EPS increase 28.46%.

POHUAT QoQ EPS increase from 9.5 to 12.20

T4Q EPS=30.83 and PE=5.09 (consider share price RM1.57)

*=.= just base on calculation, any mistake please advice

 

JAYCORP QoQ EPS increase from 4.69 to 5.138

T4Q EPS=12.94 and PE=6.38 (consider share price RM0.825)

 

JAYCORP EPS no increase 4.69 to 6.02

Due to Fire incident JAYCORP loss about 0.9mil, we consider 1.2mil.

=JAYCORP next quarter EPS

=Next quarter net profit ratio X previous EPS

=[(previous next profit increase 28.46% and reduce fire loss)/previous next profit]X previous EPS

=[(6.346mil*1.2846) - 1.2mil)/6.346mil]X4.69

=1.096X4.69

=5.138

 

But JAYCORP some production delays after fire. Losses below RM1mil

Refer https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/12/25/jaycorp-production-delays-expected-following-fire/

 

USD VS RM

For LATITUD LIIHEN and HEVEA

Date

Average

1/7/2018 to 30/9/2018

4.0927

1/10/2018 to 31/12/2018

4.1716

1/1/2019 to 28/2/2019

4.0992

For JAYCORP and POHUAT

Date

Average

1/8/2018 to 31/10/2018

4.1299

1/11/2018 to 31/1/2019

4.1580

1/2/2019 to 28/2/2019

4.0787

 

Trend

POHUAT have yearly trand compare JAYCORP.

POHUAT

 

If JAYCORP EPS > previous quorter it will meet KYY Golden Rule

KYY Golden rule for share selection:

The company must report profit growth for 2 consecutive quarters before I decide to buy it. Moreover, it must be selling below PE 10. 

JAYCORP

 

Pro And Con

Pro

This forecast take lower increasement 28.46%

Con

1.)average USD VS RM for 1/10/2018 to 31/12/2018 is 4.1716 higher than 1/11/2018 to 31/1/2019 with 4.1580, please refer USD VS RM

2.)Different between 1/10/2018 to 31/12/2018 (4,1716) and 1/7/2018 to 30/9/2018 (4.0927)=0.0789,

but different between 1/11/2018 to 31/1/2019 (4.1580) and 1/8/2018 to 31/10/2018 (4.1299)=0.0281.

3.) POHUAT have yearly trend.

 

Suggestions

Any suggestions, please advice and we learn together and thanks.

 

Just sharing for study propose no call buy, Take your own risk in investment ><"

 

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1 person likes this. Showing 12 of 12 comments

Icon8888

A lot of new bloggers recently

2019-03-02 20:37

VenFx

Wonder i3 can do a Article Contestants .

2019-03-02 21:15

ahbah

Suggestion : Furniture counters .... strongest buy now bcos of excellent fundamentals.

2019-03-02 21:56

ahbah

FLBhd, Jaycorp n Pohuat ... potential furniture counters for us to make easy money. Just look out for them. Thanks.

2019-03-06 12:39

ahbah

Pohuat now up 3%. Others coming soon.

2019-03-06 15:32

ahbah

FLBhd now up 5 sen.

2019-03-06 16:33

Wah Lau

USD/MYR direct impact mostly furniture company profit. Set cut loss point in mind as contingency plan and wish u huat ar.

2019-03-06 18:49

ahbah

Thanks for your info.

2019-03-07 12:16

ahbah

Liihen today just turnaround and now is greening.

2019-03-07 12:19

ahbah

Affin Hwang maintains buy on Poh Huat, TP of RM1.71

2019-03-18 09:54

ahbah

Wah Lau's Jaycorp is coming now very strongly lah !

Congratulations.

2019-03-20 11:17

ahbah

Wah Lau's Jaycorp is coming now very strongly !

Congratulations.

2019-03-20 11:19

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