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[转贴]阿笔谈股系列23-浅谈Karyon-你家有用PVC吗?

ahbi
Publish date: Thu, 23 Aug 2018, 03:33 PM

This article first appeared in Investips.my Blog & Facebook, on Aug 23, 2018.

 

Karyon主要业务为生产及销售PVC。大约70%销售国内,30%销售国外。

Karyon所出产的PVC主要用于wire and cable coverings, hose (normal water hoses to chemical and oil resistant hose) 和其他用途。

 

以上是Karyon季报业绩。值得一提的是profit margin有所提升。

 

近期,中国下令减少高污染煤电厂(highly polluting coal-fired plants)生产。因产量减少,所以PVC价格有所上涨。

https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Commodities/Asian-PVC-prices-climb-higher-on-demand-from-China-India

https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2018/01/25/how-china-cut-its-air-pollution

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-pollution-factbox/factbox-china-regions-vow-to-step-up-pollution-crackdown-idUSKCN1IU14F

 

除此以外,印度明年是大选年,所以近期大力推进发展计划,增加PVC需求。

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2018/02/20/2003687895

 

Karyon也在近期完成收购价值RM6.7M freehold industrial land with building。这将扩大现有storage capacity as well as to set up additional and/or new manufacturing line in the future。

 

Karyon RM0.21/share,市值RM99.9M, p/e 9.2, ROE 11.4%, NTA RM0.21/share

Karyon拥有现金大约RM27.9M,总负债RM23.7M。

 

风险

马币下跌,因生产PVC所需的PVC resin是进口的。

油价持续上涨,因PVC resin价格会跟随油价波动。

 

催化剂:

中国政府持续下令,减少高污染工业生产。

 

注:阿笔个人持有该公司股份,但并非该公司董事,顾问或员工。以上投资分析,纯属阿笔个人意见和观点。任何人因看此文章而造成任何投资损失,阿笔恕不负责。

 

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djibaok

One of the best ching chong article views on karyon. BRAVO!!

2018-08-24 11:28

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