Corporate Malaysia delivered a disappointing set of 2Q 2017 results (Exhibit 1) – with 11% beating and 57% meeting our projections, with 32% coming in below. This compares with 12%, 63% and 25% for "above", "within" and "below" respectively in 1Q 2017.
Against the market consensus, the numbers were equally uninspiring with "above", "within" and "below" at 6%, 54% and 40% respectively, as compared with 13%, 54% and 33% in 1Q 2017.
A number of FBM KLCI Index-linked heavyweights fell short of expectations; they were Tenaga (lumpy deferred tax expenses and higher-than-expected repair and maintenance costs), Digi (lower service revenue growth guidance, from flat to a low-to-mid single-digit decline), HLFG (tax deductions disallowed) and Genting Malaysia (higher operating cost, particularly staff cost, on the opening of new attractions at Resorts World, Genting).
While Maybank met our expectations, we trimmed our forecasts to reflect our revised assumptions of higher credit cost and operating expenses.
FBM KLCI 2017 earnings growth lowered to 4.3% from 7.2%
After factoring the earnings changes, we tweak our FBM KLCI earnings growth forecasts for 2017F and 2018F down to 4.3% and 8.7% (Exhibit 2) respectively, from 7.2% and 8.9% previously.
Meanwhile, in terms of earnings growth forecasts of "all sectors" – a broader but slightly more volatile earnings gauge encompassing the entire universe of our stock coverage – the numbers for 2017F and 2018F have been adjusted to 6.4% and 15.1% respectively, from 10.8% and 13.2% previously.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....