AmResearch

Parkson Holdings - Temporary closure of loss-making store in Hanoi BUY

kiasutrader
Publish date: Thu, 08 Jan 2015, 09:35 AM

- We reaffirm our BUY recommendation on Parkson Holdings (PHB) with an unchanged fair value of RM3.40/share, pegged to an unchanged PE of 22x FY15F earnings – one standard deviation above its 5-year historical mean PE.

- PHB has temporary closed one of its store at the 72-storey Hanoi Landmark Tower in Vietnam. We are not surprised by the temporary closure of this loss-making store given PHB’s proactive store management.

- This is seen as a positive move, in our view, given that this store has been lossmaking since its opening three years ago, largely due to high rental cost and low footfall traffic.

- We understand that the temporary closure is pending the renegotiation of some long-standing matters with the landlord.

- As mentioned previously, we believe that the swing factor for an improvement in Vietnam’s operation largely hinges on the closure of this loss-making store, in addition to its strategy to improve merchandising mix.

- The continued operating losses at the Hanoi Landmark Tower store has dragged losses further – operating losses for Vietnam and Myanmar doubled to RM3.1mil in 1QFY15 while Vietnam’s SSSG contracted to -5.5% in 1QFY15.

- PHB continues to expand and is earmarked to open a store in Danang on 11 January. Currently, PHB has a total of nine stores in Vietnam including that in Hanoi Landmark Tower.

- All said, we remain committed to the investment thesis of expected improved profitability from a low base, underpinned by improving SSSGs and margin uplift from a proactive store rationalisation and merchandising mix. The key valuation driver lies on the improvement in SSSG for China and monetisation of loss-making retail assets.

- On a positive note, PHB continues to engage in active share buybacks, providing downside risk to its share price.

- Valuation wise, the stock is trading at a forward PE of 16x. Stripping out its net cash, PE stands at an attractive 9x.

Source: AmeSecurities

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ks55

Closure of loss-making store in Hanoi only after 3 years of operation. What does it reflect? Calibre of PHB management substandard? Directors not competent?

What we know is Departmental Store normally sign long term irrevocable lease with landlord. How many years lease was signed? What will the compensation like? What about renovation and one off startup cost? What about staff retrenchment cost?

Is PHB plan for another store in Hanoi? Is PHB plan to exit Hanoi?

How much is the potential write off (Loss) for all the above mentioned cost, excluding preliminary set up cost involving meetings, site visits etc... etc...

As CEO, WC should hold responsible for this failure. If you think he can be forgiven because of his advanced age (72 this year), why not vote him out? If not possible, then cast your votes with your legs. AEON always welcome you!!!

2015-01-08 09:57

haikeyila

yea, strange decision and not clear what 'temporary' means. bad for the company's reputation. then again this is one of the perils of running businesses in countries like vietnam.

2015-01-08 10:23

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