1Q19 core earnings slumped 74% yoy to RM3.3m in tandem with drastically lower volume loadings which led to a 50% revenue decline. This was on the back of moderate growth in smartphone sales and certain customers unexpectedly stopped shipments towards end of Mar 2019 in order to deplete existing inventories in its supply chain.
On qoq basis, core earnings fell 87% caused by the South East Asia market; sales from SEA (c.90-95% of sales) halved amidst cooling demand for non-Android smartphones. Overall, 1Q19 core earnings was only 7% and 4.6% of ours and consensus’ 2019F figures accordingly.
We cut our 2019F by 18% to reflect lower volume loadings. We expect sales to remain weak amidst slower orders from a key customer.
Maintain SELL on the stock with a lower TP of RM1.30 (from RM1.55) (WACC: 8%, terminal growth rate: 3%). Historically, the trades at 30- 35x PE. However, the implied PE for our valuation is at 23.5x; we believe is justified due to its huge exposure to non-android smartphone supply chain and uncertainties from the US China trade tension.
Source: BIMB Securities Research - 2 May 2019
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