Homeritz’s 4QFY15 revenue of RM38.11m (+15% yoy) was translated into PATAMI of RM6.64m (+28% yoy). This took FY15 PATAMI to RM23.55m (+16% yoy), accounting for 91% of our full year estimation.
Deviations
Higher than expected operating expenses.
Dividends
A final single tier tax-exempt dividend of 2.5 sen was declared in 4Q (FY14: 3.1 sen).
Highlights
FY08/15 review… The group achieved revenue of RM146.42m, an increase of 15.1% yoy, mainly due to growth in volume of sales and stronger US$. Its PATAMI improved 27% yoy, from RM20.25m in FY14 to RM25.70m in FY15.
4QFY15 review… Revenue increased 14.7% yoy. PBT was up 44% yoy to RM8.95m in 4QFY15, from RM6.23m in 4QFY14. The improved performance in 4QFY15 compared to 4QFY4 was attributed to the strengthening US$.
Stronger USD… Based on our ec onomist’s projection, RM would remain weak until end-2015. Our MYR yearend forecast is now revised to RM4.30/US$ from RM4.00/US$. Sensitivity analysis shows that every RM0.10/US$ appreciation will boost FY16 net profit by about 6%.
Risks
USD weakness against RM; high raw material prices; high labour costs; unexpected economic downturn; and production or operational risks.
Forecasts
Unchanged, pending update from management.
Rating
Maintain BUY
Posi tives: 1) the group would benefit from strong US$; (2) its revenue and PATAMI are expected to grow at CAGR of 11% and 27% respectively from FY14 to FYE17; (3) forecasted FY16 net cash per share of 16.6sen; and (4) still attractive FY16E DY of 4.5%, based on 40% payout ratio.
Valuation
We maintain our BUY recommendation as well as our target price of RM1.42.
Our valuation is pegged to unchanged P/E multiple of 11x of CY16 EPS.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....