HLBank Research Highlights

Trading idea: SUNWAY: Values resurface after recent pullback; Grossly oversold

HLInvest
Publish date: Thu, 19 Oct 2017, 10:42 AM
HLInvest
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This blog publishes research reports from Hong Leong Investment Bank

  • Values resurface after recent pullback. Sunway’s share prices tumbled 16.3% from all time high of RM1.96 (15 Sep) to end at RM1.64 on 17 Oct as investors took profit following the ex-date of bonus shares and warrants (27 Sep) as well as the 3 sen dividend (13 Oct).
  • Our institutional research maintains a BUY rating on Sunway with a SOP TP of RM2.25 as we believe the stock should be rerated and trade closer to its peers such as IJM (18.5x FY18 P/E) and Gamuda (15.6x FY18 P/E) given its diversified income stream and declassification from property sector (now Trading and services).
  • At a FY18 P/E of 12.8x (24% lower than its peers 17x), we opine that Sunway is a deep value stock with mature investment properties and the underappreciated trading and healthcare segments, and supported by attractive DY18 of 4% (vs 2.2% for IJM and Gamuda).
  • Grossly oversold with key supports at RM1.56-1.60. We believe Sunway’s undemanding valuation and attractive DY have provided a sufficient margin of safety and cushion further sharp share price decline, supported by steeply grossly oversold indicators. We expect the stock to find a floor near RM1.60 (50% FR) and RM1.56 (200-d SMA) territory and trending sideways briefly before staging a technical rebound.
  • A decisive close above immediate resistance at RM1.69 (38.2% FR) will spur prices higher to RM1.79 (23.6%) before reaching to our LT objective at RM1.87 (the RM1.89-1.73 gap down on 27 Sep). Cut loss at RM1.54.

Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 19 Oct 2017

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