Intelligent Investor's Notes

INSAS - A Graham Net Net Candidate

Insas’s latest balance sheet as at 31st March2014 was used to compute the net tangible asset and Graham Net Current Asset Values(NCAV) and  Net Net Working Capital

NCAV = Current Asset - Total Liabilities - (Preferred Stock  + Minority Interest)
NNWC = Cash and short-term investments + (0.75 x accounts receivable) + (0.5 x inventory) - total liabilities

NCAV Calculations:
Current Asset = 989,251
Total Liabilities = 349,018
Preferred Stock = 0
Minority Interest = 3,480
Total Equity = 1,179,392
NOSH = 665,649

NCAV = 989,251 - 349,018  =  640,233
NCAV per share = 636,753 * (1,179,392-3480)/1,179,392 / 665,649 = RM0.954

Notes:
  • NCAV is the lowest form of valuation you could possibly do because it ignores everything about the business and just focuses on tangible assets. 

NNWC Calculations:

Cash = 271,834 + 50,285 = 322,119
Cash Equivalents = 245,856 + 6,562 = 252,418
Cash and Equivalents = 322,119 + 252,418 = 574,537

Investment Properties = 157,638
Associate Companies = 134,186
Investment 116,092 + 29,980 = 146,072
Total Investment =  157,638 + 134,186 + 146,072 = 437,896

Account Receiveables = 353,465 + 18,023 + 18,580 = 390,068

Inventory = 13,116

Total Liabilities = 349,018

Minority Interest = 3,480
Total Equity = 1,179,392
NOSH = 665,649

NNWC =  100% of Cash and Equivalents + 100% of Total Investment + 75% of Account Receiveables + 50% of Inventory  - Total Liabilities
            =  574,537 + 437,896 + 0.75* 390,068 + 0.5*13,116 - 349,018 = 962,524
NNWC per share = 962,524 * (1,179,392-3480)/1,179,392/ 665,649 = RM1.44


Notes:
  • Cash and the net net values of quoted and unquoted investments owned are taken as 100% of the book value.  
  • Tax assets, property, plant and equipment, Goodwill and “other assets” are taken as worth nothing.
  • The value of its associate companies is taken as the book value of just 134. At the close of RM2.85 on 29th May 2014 and its 36.44% holding in Inari alone is worth 514m compared to the book value of the associate companies of just 134m, or a difference in value of 55 sen per Insas share. 


Conclusions:
NCAV per Share = 0.954
NNWC per Share = 1.44
Net Asset per Share = 1.77
NTA per Share =  1.77 - (26,051/665,649) = 1.73
Stock Price on 04/06/2014 = RM1.19

The stock price on 04-June-2014, RM1.19 is  17.36% belowit's NNWC price, 1.44. Insas provide us a safe investment option because balance sheet won't change so abruptly, whereas earnings can change drastically quarter to quarter.

Last but not least, let's review this net net candidate based on Graham principles.  Graham suggest to look for a NNWC companies with “Reasonably satisfactory” earnings record and prospects. and “Sound financial condition” Insas has making profit for the last 10 years. It has on average positive free cash flow and a very healthy balance sheet. But, it not able to fullfill graham requirement on
Positive operating cash flow for T4Q  and it might be a Perennial net nets.


Why is Insas trading at such a big discount to its Graham NNWC? 
  1. Investors have not much trust in the management in maximizing minority shareholder value. 
  2. No dividends have been declared until recently, although it has been buying back its shares.

Click here if you may interest to see more graham net net candidate which contributed by kcchongnz.

References:-
Related Stocks
Market Buzz
Discussions
3 people like this. Showing 22 of 22 comments

acg_80

very nicely done and insightful, thank you....dnt like insas thou as they are more into rewarding their own shareholders....if that changes then this is a good company with solid old world biz and tech biz mix.

2014-06-05 18:06

johnny cash

so what rating are you giving to this stock,,trading buy or strong buy or long term buy or fast buy

2014-06-05 19:53

gnat

I rate as HOLD. But I actually sold off. Sell in May and go away. Come back later.

2014-06-05 23:46

stockoperator

Well, Johnny, it should be a trading Buy close up to IV.

2014-06-06 10:50

sephiroth

management very stingy, first 9 months eps almost 20 sen, give 1 sen dividend ???????????

2014-06-06 10:52

ksng0307

why is it investment properties and from associates companies included in your calculation, i thought working capital only involve current assets and current liabilities?

2014-06-06 10:57

stockoperator

Dear Ksng I always feel very funny about this method as if you invest in property or any profit generating hard asset then you are Not qualified as Net Net candidate? Why?

Anyway, i really have to remind myself to respect others investment style.

2014-06-06 11:38

stockoperator

So it means all property companies should sell all their assets on hand in order to become Net Net candidate so that their share price will be fully valued?

2014-06-06 11:42

stockoperator

OR the market is assessing that the management has no intention to give out cash dividend and company has no capability to earn Great profits then the share price and SO the cash on hand is also discounted?

Well, no offend to those who holds the company for trading or investment.

2014-06-06 11:50

kcchongnz

Well done Intelligent Investors. More people seem to pay attention to value investing now.

The quality asset of Insas in cash and cash equivalent, ignoring others, is already worth RM1.44 per share, in book value.

I just like to add that the value of its associate companies is taken as the book value of just 134m as its balance sheet as at 31st March 2014. At RM2.77 on 6th June 2014 and its 36.44% holding in Inari alone is worth a market value of 500m, or a difference in value of 54 sen per Insas share. What about its 20% stake in Gleneagles Medical Center SB and 43.4% Melium Group. What are their market value?

I don't know but it does show that Insas is really undervalued, isn't it?

2014-06-06 12:43

stockoperator

End of day KC it is net asset investing versus Business Value and good Business Practice.

Market is Big enough for everybody here as long as we are Consciously investing.

I know my mistakes of imposing certain values here while ignoring others.

2014-06-06 13:26

NOBY

No doubt Insas is undervalued. But one thing to look out is how soon this deep value can be unlocked ? It requires some material event or activist shareholder to pressure management to change their ways but is it possible without high institutional ownership of the shares ?

2014-06-06 13:58

sephiroth

kcchongnz, need yr assistance to check whether BRIGHT is a graham net net company. thanks

2014-06-06 15:51

Intelligent Investor

hi sephiroth, why not you give a try and share your result with us?

You can refer to http://intelligentinvestor8.blogspot.com/2014/05/valuation-graham-net-net-negative.html or this article for the methods.

And, you need one more thing - the latest result from BRIGHT. And, here you go http://www.klse.my/stock/quarterResult/9938.jsp#stockDetailDiv

2014-06-06 16:06

emperor

Hi, in yr nnwc calculation, where u get the figure for total investment
= 437896? Any master here can help? Thanks in advance.

2014-06-07 12:46

Intelligent Investor

hi emperor, total investment is derrived from below figure

Investment Properties = 157,638
Associate Companies = 134,186
Investment 116,092 + 29,980 = 146,072
Total Investment = 157,638 + 134,186 + 146,072 = 437,896

All the figure was picked up from the latest quarter result - http://www.klse.my/financial/quarterResult/154014.jsp

2014-06-07 14:16

emperor

Thanks for your guidance intelligent investor. Learn a lot from all yr posting, good job and I will follow closely.

2014-06-07 16:16

emperor

Hi Intelligent investor, when calculating the nncw for short term investment,should we use the non current asset investment figure since it is short term?. Logically, shorg term investment are classified as current asset. Corret me if I am wrong. Thanks.

2014-06-07 17:11

Intelligent Investor

hi emperor, all credit goes to kcchongnz. I am following his lecture to produce this writeup.

Graham original version of NNWC is NNWC = Cash and short-term investments + (0.75 x accounts receivable) + (0.5 x inventory) - total liabilities

You may refer to http://intelligentinvestor8.blogspot.com/2014/05/valuation-graham-net-net-negative.html for details.

For INSAS, I have taken some investment fron non current assets because I think it is liquid and shall able to convert to >= 100% of equivalent cash.

Refer to Mr Chong reply on the above, "I just like to add that the value of its associate companies is taken as the book value of just 134m as its balance sheet as at 31st March 2014. At RM2.77 on 6th June 2014 and its 36.44% holding in Inari alone is worth a market value of 500m, or a difference in value of 54 sen per Insas share. What about its 20% stake in Gleneagles Medical Center SB and 43.4% Melium Group. What are their market value?"

I believe it is very conservative for us to take in 100% of the investment value. Based on the market price, it should worth more than what it record on the book and this provide us a huge margin of safety.

But, bear in mind that valuation is more an art than science. And, there is no right or wrong. We have to do our own judgement and make the call.

2014-06-07 20:34

euniceeng

May I know where to find the NOSH? Is not the same as share capital...

2014-12-01 22:33

tc88

Drop of 33% from RM1.2 to RM0.8 now.........what happen?

2015-02-04 18:41

Post a Comment