[转贴] 胡立陽：最麻煩一年來了

Tan KW

Publish date: Thu, 18 Feb 2016, 06:10 PM

股市投資專家暨知名作家胡立陽昨（15）日指出，2016年是投資市場近幾年來「最麻煩的一年」，滿布地雷陷阱，多保留現金是今年最重要投資策略，他預測台股猴年指數介於7,200點至8,400點間。

胡立陽強調，很多投資人不了解的是，經過美、日、歐先前輪番寬鬆，全球約有20兆美元（約新台幣672兆元）游資在資本市場四處搜尋投資機會，美國上次升息1碼將引動3兆美元逐漸抽離資本市場，也就是說資金退潮循環才正要開始。

胡立陽建議，台股受美國股市影響極大，投資人可以觀察三項指標，做為判斷行情是否反轉的依據：第一、月線出現12%以上長黑或道瓊指數單月下跌2,000點；第二、道瓊指數月線連三黑；第三、指數由最高點下跌超過20%。若這三項條件都滿足，投資人必須小心市場已經由牛市轉為熊市。

http://udn.com/news/story/7251/1503915-%E8%83%A1%E7%AB%8B%E9%99%BD%EF%BC%9A%E6%9C%80%E9%BA%BB%E7%85%A9%E4%B8%80%E5%B9%B4%E4%BE%86%E4%BA%86

Discussions

1 person likes this. Showing 15 of 15 comments

gray

Asia version Mark Faber.

talk rubbish all the time.

2016-02-18 21:12

super911

He has been predicting market crash since 2104, then 2015, and now 2018....

2016-02-18 23:29

90754248

Do not really understand what he try to say, he said 很多投資人不了解的是，經過美、日、歐先前輪番寬鬆，全球約有20兆美元（約新台幣672兆元）游資在資本市場四處搜尋投資機會, but also said 美國上次升息1碼將引動3兆美元逐漸抽離資本市場，也就是說資金退潮循環才正要開始. if 游資在資本市場四處搜尋投資機會 then why want to 逐漸抽離資本市場?? even if 游資抽離資本市場, they still need to invest the capital or just keep under the pillow?.

2016-02-19 09:08

anaktimur

More like TTB, holding cash since the year 2011...

2016-02-19 13:42

murali

Those cannot make money from stock trading will do stock talkings....

2016-02-19 13:51

Tom

都是“缆叫”。。。。

2016-02-19 14:59

Stanley Yeo

胡立阳说的话，很难信，

2016-02-19 17:33

wqlwqlwqlwqlwql

这叫总有一天回来嘛==‘’

2016-02-19 22:25

gogogogo

看dow j的chart是在高位, 这是真的

2016-02-20 04:54

gogogogo

但股市真的是没有人可准确预测的,不是不可买, 只要小心设定至损点,严历制行就对了。

2016-02-20 07:05

murali

Posted by Earth > Feb 19, 2016 11:10 PM | Report Abuse
.....
不听老人言，吃亏在眼前。祝君好运！

He has been predicting market crash for years...he will be right eventually...dont know when only...just like our local Stock God TTB (since 2012 i think)

2016-02-20 07:22

murali

When he is right eventually, some jokers will just worship him like God and selective forget his wrongs...

2016-02-20 07:28

murali

Just like Dr.Doom Marc Faber..how many times he predicted wrongly??

2016-02-20 07:30

Tom

他就是之前不断预测错了才不断改预言

2016-02-20 17:51

Tom

就是还有很多人想 p他的lp。。。。。

2016-02-20 17:54

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