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Nvidia gives upbeat quarterly forecast

Tan KW
Publish date: Fri, 23 Feb 2024, 07:43 AM
Tan KW
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SAN FRANCISCO: Nvidia Corp has predicted another massive sales gain for the current quarter, helping justify a stock rally that has turned it into one of the world’s most valuable companies.

Revenue in the current period will be about US$24bil, the company said in a statement.

Analysts had predicted US$21.9bil on average. Results in the fourth quarter also sailed past Wall Street estimates.

The shares jumped 6% in extended trading following the announcement. They earlier closed at US$674.72 in New York, leaving them up 36% for the year.

The outlook extends a streak of Nvidia shattering expectations, thanks to insatiable demand for its artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators - highly prized chips that crunch data for AI models.

The technology has helped power a proliferation of chatbots and other generative AI services, which can create text and graphics based on simple prompts.

“Accelerated computing and generative AI have hit the tipping point,” chief executive officer Jensen Huang said in the statement. “Demand is surging worldwide across companies, industries and nations.”

Nvidia’s market capitalisation increased by more than US$400bil this year - bringing its valuation to US$1.67 trillion - as investors bet that the company will remain the prime beneficiary of an AI computing boom.

Nvidia, co-founded by Huang in 1993, got its start as a provider of graphics cards for computer gamers. Its profile blew up in the last two years, when its technology proved adept at handling heavy AI workloads.

The company’s H100 accelerators have become legendary in the tech world, with customers scrambling to get their hands on as many as possible.

Companies such as Amazon.com Inc, Meta Platforms Inc, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc’s Google are Nvidia’s largest customers, accounting for nearly 40% of its revenue, as they rush to invest in hardware for AI computing.

In the fiscal fourth quarter, which ended Jan 28, Nvidia’s revenue more than tripled to US$22.1bil. Profit was US$5.16 a share, minus certain items. Analysts had predicted sales of about US$20.4bil and earnings of US$4.60 a share.

Underscoring the magnitude of its recent growth streak: As recently as 2021, it didn’t generate that much revenue in an entire year.

Nvidia’s data centre division, now by far its largest source of sales, generated US$18.4bil of revenue, up 409% from the same period a year earlier. Gaming chips provided US$2.87bil of sales.

Nvidia is now working to spread its AI technology beyond the big data-centre companies. Huang, 61, has travelled the globe arguing that governments and corporations need their own AI systems - both to protect their data and gain a competitive advantage.

Nvidia announced a deal with Cisco Systems Inc earlier this month that gives it a new distribution channel. As part of that deal, Cisco, the world’s biggest provider of networking gear, will help sell complete AI systems to companies.

But Nvidia faces risks, including mounting competition and a push by some customers to develop their own AI chips.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc recently began selling a line of accelerators called the MI300.

It expects to get revenue of US$3.5bil from that product this year, up from an earlier projection of US$2bil. But Nvidia isn’t standing still. Analysts expect the company to soon unveil more powerful accelerators.

Nvidia also has had to navigate new export rules for chips headed to China, the largest market for semiconductors.

The company has scaled down the capabilities of its products in order to continue to sell to that region, which in the past has accounted for a quarter of revenue.

Chief financial officer Colette Kress said that its projections would have been higher if it weren’t for the China rules.

 - Bloomberg

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