Koon Yew Yin's Blog

Comfort: my target price (revised) - Koon Yew Yin

Koon Yew Yin
Publish date: Sun, 21 Jun 2020, 09:49 AM
Koon Yew Yin
0 1,434
An official blog in i3investor to publish sharing by Mr. Koon Yew Yin.

All materials published here are prepared by Mr. Koon Yew Yin

After I read the following statement from Top Glove quote “Top Glove recently highlighted that 20 per cent of its new capacity would be allocated to spot price, between US$80 and US$100 for 1,000 pieces.” unquote. The price increase is more than double the normal price. That is why Top Glove’s profit is increasing so rapidly.

The increase of the selling does not cost the company anything. It is pure profit. 

To be safe I assume Comfort can only increase its selling price gradually by 33.3% for each quarter of the next 3 quarters.

1st quarter sale Rm 152 million, profit Rm 16.34 million

2nd quarter sale increases 33.3% of Rm 152 = Rm 50.7 million; profit Rm 16,34 + Rm 50.7 = Rm 67 million  

3rd quarter profit Rm 67 + Rm 50.7 million = Rm 117.7 million.

4th quarter profit Rm 117.7 + 50.7 million = Rm 168.4 million.  

Total for the year profit Rm 369.4 million

Total issued shares 580 million

EPS 64 sen

Based on P/E 20 target price Rm 12.28

Based on P/E 15 target price Rm 9.60

Based on P/E 10 target price Rm 6.40

If I based on 100% selling price increase for the 2nd,  3rd and 4th  quarter, Comfort’s profit would be more than what I assumed above.

 

Due to Covid 19 pandemic the demand for gloves far exceeds supply. As a result, the selling price for gloves is going up higher and higher. It is quite safe to assume the Comfort share price should sell at P/E 10.

Moreover, the pandemic is affecting almost all the listed companies. As a result, all the institutional investors have to sell to cut loss almost all their holdings to buy glove stocks so aggressively. That is why the daily traded volumes for clove stocks are much bigger than normal.

Note: I am obliged to inform you that Comfort is one of my major investment holdings. I am not asking you to buy to push up the share price to enrich me. If you do decide to buy, I am not responsible for your profit or loss.           

 

 

Related Stocks
Market Buzz
More articles on Koon Yew Yin's Blog
Why do people riot? - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Aug 19, 2024

On 14th Aug 2024, I posted my article “Why people are rioting across UK”. Now I want to tell you why do people riot?

How much do our MPs and assemblymen earn? - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Aug 19, 2024

If I knew politicians are so well paid, I should have been a politician. A few days ago, one old friend who migrated to Australia about 40 years ago, visited me. He told me that he was a Member of P..

Why are people rioting across UK? - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Aug 14, 2024

Riots have spread across numerous cities and towns in England, and in Belfast in Northern Ireland, over the last week in the worst outbreak of civil disorder in Britain for 13 years. Police have ma...

Can Harris beat Trump? - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Jul 30, 2024

The new poll, conducted between July 22-24 and released Sunday, found that Harris’s approval rating had surpassed Trump’s in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and Michigan. In Michigan, Harris was..

A few people are using my name to cheat people - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Jul 30, 2024

As you can see below, a few people are using my name to promote sale of Initial Public Offer (IPO) shares before and after listing on Bursa Malaysia. You should not buy IPO shares because statistics..

KSL passed TA and FA - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Jul 23, 2024

The most important criteria for share selection are technical analysis and financial analysis. The price chart below shows that KSL's share price has been going up from 88 sen to above RM 2.13...

KSL is cheapest property stock - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Jul 22, 2024

Recently one smart accountant pointed out to me that KP Property has millions of Redeemable Convertible Preference Shares (RCPS). This will affect its share price. I sold all my KPP shares to buy KSL.

Why Malaysians must learn Mandarin? - Koon Yew Yin

Created by Koon Yew Yin | Jul 15, 2024

Currently Bahasa Melayu is taught in all Government sponsored schools. Bahasa Melayu is only good within Malaysia. All our overseas customers do not know Bahasa Melayu. I hope all our politicians...

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 0 of 0 comments

Post a Comment