【每周一：大行晨报】Monday Morning Brief
9月30日 - 头条财经 ATFX 大行晨报
9月30日头条财经ATFX 大行晨报
澳洲利率趋向历史低位
美国第二季GDP年率终值，符合市场预期2%。美国8月耐用品订单，个人支出和核心物价指数下跌。8月个人收入和9月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值则出现增长。反映美国经济维持温和，消费力仍然强劲。美元指数由98升至99水平。美国国债收益率回顺，收益率倒挂现象缓和。
明日澳洲联储银行利率决议。市场估计澳洲联储银行，将会减息25个基点，指标利率由1%降低至0.75%，进一步挑战澳洲历史上最低水平。
经济数据未如理想
今年澳洲联储银行在6月和7月两度减息25个基点，合共50个基点。从过去一季澳洲经济数据表现观察，一直未如理想。从7月份始，澳元走势下行。虽然9月份澳洲联储银行鹰派言论，曾经穏定澳元投资信心，澳元反弹。可惜在中美贸易战持续，影响澳洲资源出口，澳洲内部经济和通脤持续放缓，估计澳洲联储银行再次减息。澳元走势持续在调整浪中，短期有机会下探0.6715和0.6685支持。若议息结果后，澳元走势逆转，反弹并且突破0.6815，走势方向将可以改变。
ATFX 亚太区首席分析师 林铭添
如有查询可电邮至cs.gm@atfx.com或WeChat ID: ATFX_China
更多资讯：https://www.atfx.com/gm/zh-hant/
法律声明：ATFX 是 AT Global Markets（ATGM, 注册编号24226 IBC 2017）使用的商用名称 。ATGM 是位於圣文森特和格林纳丁斯的国际商业公司。注册地址 : the Financial Services Centre, Stoney Ground, Kingstown, St.Vincent & the Grenadines.
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