Scientex (SCI)’s 1HFY14 net profit of MYR63.3m was within our and consensus estimates, at 43.3% and 41.8% of the respective full-year forecasts, on taking into account its historically stronger second-half performance. We keep our forecasts for now. Rolling forward our earnings to CY15, we arrive at a new SOP-based FV of MYR7.19. Maintain BUY.
Largely in line. SCI’s 1HFY14 revenue of MYR748.3m (+45.9% y-o-y) was contributed by: i) MYR577.7m in revenue from the manufacturing segment (+57.8% y-o-y; 77.2% of total revenue), and ii) MYR170.6m revenue from the property segment (+16.4% y-o-y; 22.8% of total revenue). The higher turnover at the manufacturing segment was driven mostly by increased demand for SCI’s stretch film products from the Asia-Pacific export market, while the property segment’s higher revenue was attributed to growing demand for SCI’s new property project launches in Johor and Melaka. All in, the company’s 1HFY14 core earnings expanded 25.3% y-o-y to MYR63.3m, making up 43.3% and 41.8% of our and consensus’ full-year estimates respectively. We deem this in line with our expectations on taking into account the group’s historically stronger second-half performance.
Potential DPS of 19.0 sen in 2HFY14. No dividend was declared during the quarter under review. Nonetheless, we expect management to declare a DPS of 19.0 sen in the second half of the year, as we assume a 30% payout ratio. This would likely translate into an annual dividend yield of >3% based on its last closing price. Our projection is based on SCI’s relatively sturdy balance sheet and net gearing of 0.43x as of Jan 2014.
Maintain BUY. With SCI’s results coming in largely in line with our expectations, we make no changes to our earnings estimates at this juncture. We reiterate our BUY recommendation on the stock, with a new SOP-based FV of MYR7.19 (from MYR6.36), as we roll forward our earnings to CY15. We continue to like SCI’s: i) fast-expanding plastic film manufacturing segment, ii) reputable brand name in southern Malaysia’s property market, and iii) committed management team under the founding Lim family.
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Company Profile
Scientex Berhad (SCI) is a manufacturer of industrial packaging with manufacturing facilities in Malaysia and Vietnam. It also has a property development arm with projects concentrated in southern Malaysia.
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