KUALA LUMPUR, May 10 — Think tank Ilham Centre has today predicted that Pakatan Harapan (PH) will likely retain the Kuala Kubu Baru seat in the by-election tomorrow, saying voters' sentiments are largely still unswayed from the last state election.

It also downplayed the effectiveness of Perikatan Nasional's (PN) campaign which focused on identity politics, saying it has reached saturation point and was never effective in a mixed ethnic seat in Selangor.

“Generally, with the trend of support not too far off from the state election, added to the gloomy atmosphere of the voters' reaction to the campaigns, the result would likely be status quo,” it said in a report released today.

The report said that a hardline campaign that focuses on race and religion is ineffective and unsuitable in Kuala Kubu Baru, since Selangor voters respond differently compared to Malay-majority voters in Kedah, Terengganu or Kelantan.

“A careless assault of ethnic and religious narrative may aim for the Malay votes to remain, but at the same time it pushes away non-Malay votes further,” it said.

https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/2024/05/10/ilham-centre-predicts-pakatan-may-keep-kkb-says-perikatans-identity-politics-ploy-already-stale/133588